FC Midtjylland vs Nottingham Forest Prediction, Preview and Stats

Europe flag 2025/2026 Europa League, Europe
MCH Arena Thu, 19 Mar - 5:45 PM
Europa League
FC Midtjylland FCM
1 Winner 2
Nottingham Forest NFO
Full Time: Finished on Penalties Thu, 19 Mar 5:45 PM
Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 2 - 2
Gue-sung Cho - 2'
Aral Şimşir - 4'
Edward Chilufya - 6'
Martin Erlić - 69'
Goal
|
Goal
Morgan Gibbs-White - 1'
Ibrahim Sangaré - 3'
Neco Williams - 5'
Nicolás Domínguez - 40'
Ryan Yates  - 52'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. FC Midtjylland 1–0 Nottingham Forest. The result saw FC Midtjylland take the points. FC Midtjylland showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 52%–48%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: FC Midtjylland showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
  • Market: FC Midtjylland 32.8% | Draw 28.6% | Nottingham Forest 38.7%.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
FC Midtjylland M. Tullberg
M. Tullberg
VS
Nottingham Forest V. de Oliveira Lopes Pereira
V. de Oliveira Lopes Pereira
2.44
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.83
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nottingham Forest Rank: 84 W
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 78 W
Brann Rank: 67 D
Genk Rank: 76 W
Roma Rank: 83 L
Celtic Rank: 77 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Utrecht Rank: 71 W
Malmö FF Rank: 62 W
Sturm Graz Rank: 68 D
Porto Rank: 87 W
FC Midtjylland Rank: 79 L
Real Betis Rank: 82 D
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home FC Midtjylland
32.78%
Draw
28.57%
Away Nottingham Forest
38.65%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
78.9
83.17
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
FC Midtjylland
Nottingham Forest
Power Score
78.9
83.17
League Position
3
13
Global Rank
64
40

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
FC Midtjylland Opponent-weighted form score
Nottingham Forest Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) FC Midtjylland Nottingham Forest

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

FC Midtjylland

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Nottingham Forest

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

FC Midtjylland ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Nottingham Forest
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
27.31
47.71
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
47.71
27.31
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
FC Midtjylland -2.07 Efficiency Index
vs
Nottingham Forest +2.07 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
FC Midtjylland
Nottingham Forest
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

FC Midtjylland ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Nottingham Forest
Created Set-piece attacking threat
FC Midtjylland Nottingham Forest
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
3.00 3.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
FC Midtjylland Nottingham Forest
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
3.00 3.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
FC Midtjylland
Nottingham Forest
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

FC Midtjylland FCM Home
2 matches
Nottingham Forest NFO Away
Match Record
2
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
2
Goals
4
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
4
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-20T00:06:56+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
E. Olafsson
Iceland
16 E. Olafsson
O. Diao
Substitution
Senegal
4 O. Diao
M. Erlić
Croatia
6 M. Erlić
M. Bech Sørensen
Denmark
22 M. Bech Sørensen
V. Jensen
Denmark
55 V. Jensen
P. Billing
Substitution
Denmark
8 P. Billing
P. Bravo Landazuri
Colombia
19 P. Bravo Landazuri
D. Castillo
Ecuador
21 D. Castillo
V. Byskov Andreasen
Substitution
Denmark
20 V. Byskov Andreasen
D. Osorio Osorio
Substitution
Chile
11 D. Osorio Osorio
J. dos Santos Júnior
Substitution
Brazil
74 J. dos Santos Júnior
S. Ortega Moreno
Germany
27 S. Ortega Moreno
F. Rodrigues
Brazil
4 F. Rodrigues
N. Milenković
Substitution
Serbia
31 N. Milenković
Z. Abbott
England
44 Z. Abbott
D. Bakwa
Substitution
France
29 D. Bakwa
N. Domínguez
Substitution
Argentina
16 N. Domínguez
R. Yates
England
22 R. Yates
D. Ndoye
Substitution
Switzerland
14 D. Ndoye
J. Mcatee
Substitution
England
24 J. Mcatee
O. Giraud-Hutchinson
Substitution
Jamaica
21 O. Giraud-Hutchinson
L. Lucca
Italy
20 L. Lucca

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 19, 2026, 05:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Europa League, Europe · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 2 - 2
Stadium
MCH Arena
Capacity
12152
Attendance
10554
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Felix Zwayer

Statistics

Possession
FCM
50%
NFO
50%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
1 Big Chances Created 2
3 Shots 8
44 Dangerous attacks 58
52 Possession 48
4 Corners 11
22 Free kicks 23
4 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

24 Successful Headers 20
26 Throwins 20
28 Dribble Attempts 18
14 Successful Dribbles 8
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 44
0 Hit Woodwork 1
12 Goal Kicks 8
0 Assists 2
5 Substitutions 6
151 Ball Safe 130
0 Injuries 2
9 Goal Attempts 16

Attacking

96 Attacks 139
1 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

75 Successful Passes Percentage 76
372 Successful Passes 353
89 Long Passes 81
37 Successful Long Passes Percentage 32
33 Successful Long Passes 26
7 Key Passes 17
497 Passes 467

Defensive

74 Duels Won 75
22 Tackles 26
11 Interceptions 10
7 Saves 2

Build-up

16 Total Crosses 21
4 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

22 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 5

Lineup

Referee : Felix Zwayer

Starting XI

16
Elías Ólafsson
Elías Ólafsson Goalkeeper
4
Ousmane Diao
Ousmane Diao Defender
13
Adam Gabriel
Adam Gabriel
Defender91'
6
Martin Erlić
Martin Erlić Defender
22
Mads Bech Sørensen
Mads Bech Sørensen Defender
55
Victor Bak
Victor Bak Defender
8
Philip Billing
Philip Billing Midfielder
58
Aral Şimşir
Aral Şimşir
Midfielder46'
11
Darío Osorio
Darío Osorio Midfielder
14
Edward Chilufya
Edward Chilufya
Attacker103'
19
Pedro Bravo
Pedro Bravo Midfielder
20
Valdemar Byskov
Valdemar Byskov Midfielder
3
Han-beom Lee
Han-beom Lee
Defender46'
21
Denil Castillo
Denil Castillo Midfielder
74
Júnior Brumado
Júnior Brumado Attacker
10
Gue-sung Cho
Gue-sung Cho
Attacker56'
Referee : Felix Zwayer

Starting XI

27
Stefan Ortega
Stefan Ortega Goalkeeper
4
Morato
Morato Defender
31
Nikola Milenković
Nikola Milenković Defender
5
Murillo
Murillo
Defender61'
44
Zach Abbott
Zach Abbott Defender
14
Dan Ndoye
Dan Ndoye Midfielder
3
Neco Williams
Neco Williams
Defender61'
16
Nicolás Domínguez
Nicolás Domínguez Midfielder
6
Ibrahim Sangaré
Ibrahim Sangaré
Midfielder91'
22
Ryan Yates
Ryan Yates Midfielder
29
Dilane Bakwa
Dilane Bakwa Midfielder
34
Ola Aina
Ola Aina
Defender75'
20
Lorenzo Lucca
Lorenzo Lucca Attacker
21
Omari Hutchinson
Omari Hutchinson Attacker
10
Morgan Gibbs-White
Morgan Gibbs-White
Midfielder61'
24
James McAtee
James McAtee Attacker
8
Elliot Anderson
Elliot Anderson
Midfielder75'

Events

2ND-HALF
118'
Event
Ryan Yates 
Goal ruled out
114'
Event
Elliot Anderson
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
Event
Edward Chilufya Darío Osorio
11th Substitution
103'
Event
Martin Erlić
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
102'
94'
Event
Murillo
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Adam Gabriel Ousmane Diao
9th Substitution
91'
91'
Event
Ibrahim Sangaré Nicolás Domínguez
10th Substitution
Event
Pedro Bravo
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
88'
75'
Event
Ola Aina  Dilane Bakwa
7th Substitution
75'
Event
Elliot Anderson James McAtee
8th Substitution
Event
Darío Osorio
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
71'
Event
Martin Erlić
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
69'
61'
Event
Neco Williams Dan Ndoye
6th Substitution
61'
Event
Murillo Nikola Milenković
4th Substitution
61'
Event
Morgan Gibbs-White Omari Hutchinson 
5th Substitution
Event
Gue-sung Cho Júnior Brumado
3rd Substitution
56'
52'
Event
Ryan Yates 
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Júnior Brumado
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
51'
Event
Aral Şimşir Philip Billing
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Han-beom Lee Valdemar Byskov
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
40'
Event
Nicolás Domínguez
Header / 1st Goal
Event
Edward Chilufya
OffTarget
6'
5'
Event
Neco Williams
Scored
Event
Aral Şimşir
OffTarget
4'
3'
Event
Ibrahim Sangaré
Scored
Event
Gue-sung Cho
OffTarget
2'
1'
Event
Morgan Gibbs-White
Scored

Match Commentary

120
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity squandered. Pedro Bravo from FC Midtjylland attempted a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area.
120
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be two minutes of stoppage time.
120
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Morgan Gibbs-White of Nottingham Forest attempted a header from the center of the box but sent it wide to the left. The assist came from Ola Aina.
120
Update Update
The additional time in the second half has concluded, with the score standing at FC Midtjylland 1 and Nottingham Forest 2.
120
Update Update
The penalty shootout is now underway, with FC Midtjylland trailing Nottingham Forest 1-2.
120
Update Update
Penalty opportunity wasted! The score remains FC Midtjylland 1, Nottingham Forest 2. Aral Simsir from FC Midtjylland strikes the left post with his right foot.
120
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! FC Midtjylland 1, Nottingham Forest 2 - Ibrahim Sangaré steps up and successfully converts the penalty for Nottingham Forest, striking the ball with his right foot into the top right corner of the net.
120
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! FC Midtjylland 1, Nottingham Forest 2 - Neco Williams steps up for Nottingham Forest and successfully scores the penalty with a right-footed shot.
120
Update Update
The penalty shootout concludes with FC Midtjylland scoring 1 and Nottingham Forest securing 3, resulting in a final score of 2-3.
120
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! FC Midtjylland 1, Nottingham Forest 2 - Morgan Gibbs-White scores for Nottingham Forest, successfully converting the penalty with a right-footed shot into the left corner of the net.
120
Update Update
Penalty opportunity wasted! The score remains FC Midtjylland 1, Nottingham Forest 2. Cho Gue-Sung from FC Midtjylland strikes the left post with his right foot.
120
Attempt Attempt
Penalty attempt unsuccessful. Edward Chilufya from FC Midtjylland took a shot with his right foot, but it sailed over the goal.
118
Update Update
Offside call against Nottingham Forest. Ryan Yates has been caught offside.
116
Update Update
Ola Aina commits a foul against Nottingham Forest.
116
Update Update
Cho Gue-Sung from FC Midtjylland has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
115
Update Update
Adam Gabriel from FC Midtjylland committed a foul.
115
Update Update
Neco Williams from Nottingham Forest earned a free kick on the left side of the field.
114
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Elliot Anderson from Nottingham Forest has been shown a yellow card.
114
Update Update
Edward Chilufya from FC Midtjylland commits a handball.
113
Update Update
Opportunity wasted! Adam Gabriel from FC Midtjylland attempted a header from the center of the penalty area but couldn't find the target. The assist came from Aral Simsir.
112
Update Update
Murillo from Nottingham Forest committed a foul.
112
Update Update
Cho Gue-Sung of FC Midtjylland earned a free kick in an offensive position.
111
Update Update
Denil Castillo of FC Midtjylland committed a foul.
111
Update Update
Elliot Anderson of Nottingham Forest has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
109
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
108
Update Update
Aral Simsir from FC Midtjylland was awarded a free kick on the left side of the field.
108
Update Update
Match interruption due to an injury to Ryan Yates from Nottingham Forest.
108
Update Update
Ibrahim Sangaré committed a foul against a player from Nottingham Forest.
105
Update Update
Neco Williams from Nottingham Forest earned a free kick in the defensive area.
105
Update Update
Adam Gabriel from FC Midtjylland committed a foul.
105
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to FC Midtjylland after a deflection off Stefan Ortega.
105
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to FC Midtjylland after a play that resulted in a save by Stefan Ortega.
105
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be one minute of stoppage time.
105
Update Update
The first half of extra time has concluded, with the score standing at FC Midtjylland 1, Nottingham Forest 2.
105
Update Update
The second half of extra time is underway with the score at FC Midtjylland 1, Nottingham Forest 2.
103
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Midtjylland: Edward Chilufya comes on to replace Darío Osorio.
103
Update Update
Offside call against Nottingham Forest. Morgan Gibbs-White has been flagged for being offside.
102
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Martin Erlic from FC Midtjylland has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
102
Update Update
Match interruption due to an injury to Martin Erlic from FC Midtjylland.
102
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
98
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Ryan Yates from Nottingham Forest attempted a left-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area.
95
Update Update
Adam Gabriel from FC Midtjylland has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
95
Update Update
Neco Williams committed a foul for Nottingham Forest.
94
Update Update
Murillo committed a foul on a Nottingham Forest player.
94
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Murillo of Nottingham Forest has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
94
Update Update
Denil Castillo from FC Midtjylland was awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
92
Update Update
Elliot Anderson from Nottingham Forest has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
92
Update Update
Darío Osorio from FC Midtjylland committed a foul.
91
Update Update
Ibrahim Sangaré from Nottingham Forest earned a free kick on the left side of the pitch.
91
Update Update
Offside call against Nottingham Forest. Lorenzo Lucca has been caught in an offside position.
91
Update Update
Ibrahim Sangaré committed a foul against Nottingham Forest.
90
Update Update
Offside call against FC Midtjylland. Ousmane Diao has been flagged for being in an offside position.
90
Update Update
Murillo from Nottingham Forest earned a free kick in the defensive area.
90
Update Update
The first half of extra time is underway, with the score at FC Midtjylland 1, Nottingham Forest 2.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Midtjylland: Adam Gabriel comes on to replace Ousmane Diao.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Nottingham Forest: Ibrahim Sangaré replaces Nicolás Domínguez.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded with the final score: FC Midtjylland 1, Nottingham Forest 2.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Nottingham Forest after Martin Erlic allowed the ball to go out.
90
Update Update
Cho Gue-Sung committed a foul against FC Midtjylland.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be four minutes of stoppage time.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Nottingham Forest after Martin Erlic allowed the ball to go out.
89
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to FC Midtjylland after Morato allowed the ball to go out.
88
Update Update
Pedro Bravo from FC Midtjylland committed a foul.
88
Update Update
Ryan Yates from Nottingham Forest earned a free kick in an offensive position.
88
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Pedro Bravo of FC Midtjylland has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
86
Update Update
The attempt on goal was thwarted. Ryan Yates from Nottingham Forest headed the ball from the middle of the penalty area, but it was blocked. The assist came from Elliot Anderson, who delivered a cross.
86
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Morgan Gibbs-White from Nottingham Forest took a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area that went just wide to the left. The chance was set up by Ryan Yates following a corner kick.
85
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive effort underway. Ola Aina of Nottingham Forest takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but Elías Ólafsson of FC Midtjylland makes a save, stopping the ball at the top center of the goal. The assist came from Morgan Gibbs-White.
85
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Nottingham Forest after Elías Ólafsson allowed the ball to go out.
85
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to FC Midtjylland after Neco Williams allowed the ball to go out.
84
Update Update
Elliot Anderson committed a foul on a Nottingham Forest player.
84
Update Update
Denil Castillo from FC Midtjylland has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
83
Update Update
Opportunity squandered. Denil Castillo of FC Midtjylland attempted a header from the middle of the penalty area.
81
Attempt Attempt
A shot is deflected. Pedro Bravo from FC Midtjylland attempts a right-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but it's blocked. The assist came from Victor Bak Jensen.
81
Update Update
Elliot Anderson from Nottingham Forest was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
81
Update Update
Darío Osorio from FC Midtjylland committed a foul.
81
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Cho Gue-Sung from FC Midtjylland takes a left-footed shot from a challenging angle on the left side, but Stefan Ortega of Nottingham Forest makes a save, directing the ball to the left corner.
79
Corner Corner
Another offensive push. Morgan Gibbs-White from Nottingham Forest takes a left-footed shot from the center of the box, but Elías Ólafsson of FC Midtjylland makes a save in the right corner. The assist came from Murillo.
77
Update Update
Ola Aina from Nottingham Forest has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
77
Update Update
Victor Bak Jensen from FC Midtjylland committed a foul.
75
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Nottingham Forest: Ola Aina replaces Dilane Bakwa due to an injury.
75
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Nottingham Forest: Elliot Anderson replaces James McAtee.
74
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to FC Midtjylland after a defensive play by Neco Williams.
73
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
71
Update Update
James McAtee from Nottingham Forest earned a free kick in the defensive area.
71
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Darío Osorio from FC Midtjylland has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
71
Update Update
Match interruption due to an injury to Dilane Bakwa from Nottingham Forest.
71
Update Update
James McAtee from Nottingham Forest earned a free kick in the defensive area.
70
Update Update
Nicolás Domínguez from Nottingham Forest committed a foul.
70
Update Update
Darío Osorio from FC Midtjylland was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
69
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! FC Midtjylland has found the net, making it 1-2 against Nottingham Forest. Martin Erlic scored with a left-footed strike from the middle of the box, sending the ball into the upper part of the goal.
68
Update Update
Opportunity wasted. Cho Gue-Sung of FC Midtjylland attempted a header from the center of the penalty area but failed to score. The cross was provided by Mads Bech.
64
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity. Nicolás Domínguez from Nottingham Forest attempted a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sailed high and to the right after a corner kick.
63
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Nottingham Forest after a foul by Darío Osorio.
61
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Nottingham Forest: Murillo replaces Nikola Milenkovic.
61
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Nottingham Forest: Morgan Gibbs-White comes on to replace Omari Hutchinson.
61
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Nottingham Forest: Neco Williams comes on to replace Dan Ndoye.
61
Update Update
Ryan Yates from Nottingham Forest earned a free kick in the defensive area.
61
Update Update
Pedro Bravo from FC Midtjylland committed a foul.
60
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Denil Castillo of FC Midtjylland attempted a header from close range but couldn't convert.
58
Update Update
Cho Gue-Sung of FC Midtjylland has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
58
Update Update
Dan Ndoye committed a foul against Nottingham Forest.
57
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. James McAtee from Nottingham Forest takes a left-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it's blocked.
57
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Nottingham Forest after a play that resulted in Lee Han-Beom giving it away.
56
Update Update
The pause has ended. They’re set to resume play now.
56
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Midtjylland: Cho Gue-Sung comes on to replace Júnior Brumado.
55
Update Update
Match halted due to an injury to Nicolás Domínguez from Nottingham Forest.
52
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! FC Midtjylland 0, Nottingham Forest 2. Ryan Yates scores for Nottingham Forest with a left-footed strike from outside the penalty area, finding the top right corner of the net. The assist came from James McAtee.
51
Update Update
Júnior Brumado committed a foul against FC Midtjylland.
51
Update Update
Martin Erlic from FC Midtjylland has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
51
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Júnior Brumado of FC Midtjylland has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
51
Update Update
Nikola Milenkovic from Nottingham Forest has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
51
Update Update
Lorenzo Lucca from Nottingham Forest committed a foul.
50
Update Update
Aral Simsir from FC Midtjylland has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
50
Update Update
Ryan Yates from Nottingham Forest committed a foul.
48
Update Update
Offside call against Nottingham Forest. Omari Hutchinson has been flagged for being offside.
46
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Darío Osorio of FC Midtjylland attempted a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area that went just wide to the left. The assist came from Lee Han-Beom.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be one minute of stoppage time.
45
Update Update
The second half is underway with the score at FC Midtjylland 0, Nottingham Forest 1.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Midtjylland: Aral Simsir comes on to replace Philip Billing.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Midtjylland: Lee Han-Beom comes on to replace Valdemar Byskov.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with the score at FC Midtjylland 0, Nottingham Forest 1.
45
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Omari Hutchinson from Nottingham Forest takes a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area. However, the attempt is thwarted by Elías Ólafsson, the goalkeeper for FC Midtjylland, who makes a save right in the middle of the goal. The assist for this play comes from Nicolás Domínguez.
40
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Nottingham Forest takes the lead against FC Midtjylland, making it 1-0. Nicolás Domínguez scores with a header from the center of the penalty area, directing it into the top right corner of the net. The assist came from Nikola Milenkovic, who also headed the ball following a corner kick.
40
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Nottingham Forest after Elías Ólafsson allowed the ball to go out.
40
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive move unfolds as James McAtee from Nottingham Forest takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area. The attempt is expertly stopped in the right corner by Elías Ólafsson of FC Midtjylland, with the assist coming from Omari Hutchinson.
39
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Dilane Bakwa of Nottingham Forest took a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sailed over the goal. The assist came from Lorenzo Lucca.
37
Update Update
Denil Castillo from FC Midtjylland committed a foul.
37
Update Update
Nicolás Domínguez from Nottingham Forest earned a free kick in the defensive area.
36
Update Update
Lorenzo Lucca of Nottingham Forest has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
36
Update Update
Philip Billing committed a foul against FC Midtjylland.
35
Update Update
Nicolás Domínguez from Nottingham Forest committed a foul.
35
Update Update
Philip Billing from FC Midtjylland earned a free kick in an offensive position.
34
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Nottingham Forest after Denil Castillo allowed the ball to go out.
34
Update Update
Offside call against Nottingham Forest. Nicolás Domínguez is caught offside.
34
Attempt Attempt
A shot is denied. James McAtee from Nottingham Forest attempts a left-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but it's intercepted.
32
Corner Corner
Opportunity squandered. Ryan Yates of Nottingham Forest attempted a header from the center of the box but sent it wide to the left. The assist came from Omari Hutchinson, who delivered a cross following a corner kick.
32
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Nottingham Forest after Martin Erlic allowed the ball to go out.
31
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity squandered. Lorenzo Lucca of Nottingham Forest attempted a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it sailed over the goal and to the left. The assist came from Nikola Milenkovic, who set him up with a header.
29
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Nottingham Forest after Victor Bak Jensen allowed the ball to go out of play.
28
Update Update
Pedro Bravo from FC Midtjylland committed a foul.
28
Update Update
Omari Hutchinson from Nottingham Forest earned a free kick in an offensive position.
26
Update Update
Ousmane Diao from FC Midtjylland committed a foul.
26
Attempt Attempt
Ryan Yates from Nottingham Forest strikes the crossbar with a left-footed shot taken from the center of the penalty area. The assist came from James McAtee, who played a precise through ball.
26
Update Update
Dan Ndoye from Nottingham Forest has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
25
Attempt Attempt
A header attempt from Mads Bech of FC Midtjylland is thwarted. The shot, taken from the right side of the penalty area, is blocked. The assist came from Valdemar Byskov, who delivered a cross.
24
Update Update
Denil Castillo from FC Midtjylland earned a free kick on the right side of the field.
24
Update Update
Morato commits a foul on a Nottingham Forest player.
23
Update Update
Another offensive effort underway. Nicolás Domínguez from Nottingham Forest heads the ball from the center of the box, but Elías Ólafsson of FC Midtjylland makes a save, catching it in the top center of the goal. The assist came from Dan Ndoye.
22
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Nottingham Forest after Elías Ólafsson allowed the ball to go out.
22
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Lorenzo Lucca from Nottingham Forest takes a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area. The attempt is expertly denied by Elías Ólafsson of FC Midtjylland, who makes a save to his left. The assist came from Morato.
21
Update Update
Darío Osorio from FC Midtjylland committed a foul.
21
Update Update
James McAtee from Nottingham Forest has been awarded a free kick on the right flank.
19
Update Update
Ryan Yates from Nottingham Forest earned a free kick in the offensive zone.
19
Update Update
Philip Billing from FC Midtjylland committed a foul.
17
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Nottingham Forest after Denil Castillo allowed the ball to go out.
16
Update Update
Júnior Brumado from FC Midtjylland committed a foul.
16
Update Update
Zach Abbott from Nottingham Forest earned a free kick on the right flank.
12
Update Update
Nikola Milenkovic of Nottingham Forest has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
12
Update Update
Denil Castillo of FC Midtjylland has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
12
Update Update
Dilane Bakwa commits a foul against Nottingham Forest.
12
Update Update
Júnior Brumado from FC Midtjylland committed a foul.
10
Update Update
Júnior Brumado from FC Midtjylland committed a foul.
10
Update Update
Nikola Milenkovic from Nottingham Forest earned a free kick in the defensive area.
10
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to FC Midtjylland after James McAtee allowed the ball to go out.
8
Update Update
Nikola Milenkovic committed a foul against Nottingham Forest.
8
Update Update
Júnior Brumado of FC Midtjylland has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
7
Update Update
Darío Osorio from FC Midtjylland committed a foul.
7
Update Update
Nikola Milenkovic from Nottingham Forest has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
4
Update Update
Lorenzo Lucca of Nottingham Forest commits a handball.
2
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Dilane Bakwa from Nottingham Forest takes a left-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, coming agonizingly close to finding the back of the net. The assist was provided by Omari Hutchinson.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: FC Midtjylland exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.