FC Köln vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction, Preview and Stats

Germany flag 2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
RheinEnergieStadion Sat, 25 Apr - 1:30 PM
Bundesliga
FC Köln KOE
Versus
Bayer 04 Leverkusen B04
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 1:30 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

FC Köln hosts Bayer 04 Leverkusen at RheinEnergieStadion in a Bundesliga regular season clash during the 2025/2026 campaign. Leverkusen enters as the clear stronger side, wielding a substantial 14.7-point power advantage with a score of 31.52 against Köln's 16.81. This structural edge aligns with their higher league standing at 6th compared to Köln's 12th place. Form further tilts the scales, as Leverkusen's 24.89 rating dwarfs Köln's 13.72, suggesting recent momentum favors the visitors. While detailed efficiency and set-piece metrics remain unavailable due to low-confidence proxies, Leverkusen's overall dominance positions them to control proceedings. Köln will need a Herculean home effort to counter this disparity, leveraging crowd support in a venue known for its electric atmosphere.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Bayer 04 Leverkusen possesses a 14.7-point power advantage over FC Köln with scores of 31.52 versus 16.81.
  • Form: Leverkusen leads in form with a 24.89 score compared to Köln's 13.72.
  • Squad: Leverkusen ranks 6th in the Bundesliga while Köln sits 12th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: No specific transition metrics provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece data unavailable due to low confidence and proxy usage.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable as add-on not enabled.
  • Market: FC Köln 23.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 23.7% (Δ+0%) | Bayer 04 Leverkusen 53% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
FC Köln R. Wagner
R. Wagner
VS
Bayer 04 Leverkusen K. Hjulmand
K. Hjulmand
0.87
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.65
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
St. Pauli Rank: D
Werder Bremen Rank: W
Eintracht Frankfurt Rank: D
Borussia Mönchengladbach Rank: D
Hamburger SV Rank: D
Borussia Dortmund Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Augsburg Rank: L
Borussia Dortmund Rank: W
VfL Wolfsburg Rank: W
Heidenheim Rank: D
FC Bayern München Rank: D
SC Freiburg Rank: D
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 5 - 17
17
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home FC Köln
23.26%
Draw
23.71%
Away Bayer 04 Leverkusen
53.03%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
16.81
31.52
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
FC Köln
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Power Score
16.81
31.52
League Position
12
6
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
FC Köln — Opponent-weighted form score
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) FC Köln Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 29 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

FC Köln KOE Home
29 matches
Bayer 04 Leverkusen B04 Away
Match Record
7
Wins
17
5
Draws
5
17
Losses
7
Goals
28
Goals Scored
52
52
Goals Conceded
28
-24
Goal Difference
+24
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-19T02:11:30+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 01:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
RheinEnergieStadion
Capacity
50000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

20
Ron-Robert Zieler
Ron-Robert Zieler Goalkeeper
1
Marvin Schwäbe
Marvin Schwäbe Goalkeeper
44
Matthias Köbbing
Matthias Köbbing Goalkeeper
3
Dominique Heintz
Dominique Heintz Defender
4
Timo Hübers
Timo Hübers Defender
15
Luca Jannis Kilian
Luca Jannis Kilian Defender
2
Joël Schmied
Joël Schmied Defender
39
Cenk Özkacar
Cenk Özkacar Defender
32
Kristoffer Lund Hansen
Kristoffer Lund Hansen Defender
28
Sebastian Søraas Sebulonsen
Sebastian Søraas Sebulonsen Defender
33
Rav van den Berg
Rav van den Berg Defender
22
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey Defender
11
Florian Kainz
Florian Kainz Midfielder
17
Alessio Castro-Montes
Alessio Castro-Montes Midfielder
5
Tom Krauß
Tom Krauß Midfielder
18
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson Midfielder
6
Eric Martel
Eric Martel Midfielder
8
Denis Huseinbasic
Denis Huseinbasic Midfielder
34
Fayssal Harchaoui
Fayssal Harchaoui Midfielder
27
Felipe Chávez Somocursio
Felipe Chávez Somocursio Midfielder
9
Ragnar Ache
Ragnar Ache Attacker
7
Gian-Luca Waldschmidt
Gian-Luca Waldschmidt Attacker
30
Marius Bülter
Marius Bülter Attacker
37
Linton Maina
Linton Maina Attacker
16
Jakub Kamiński
Jakub Kamiński Attacker
29
Jan Thielmann
Jan Thielmann Attacker
38
Youssoupha Niang
Youssoupha Niang Attacker
40
Fynn Schenten
Fynn Schenten Attacker
19
Malek El Mala
Malek El Mala Attacker
13
Said El Mala
Said El Mala Attacker

Squad ▼

28
Janis Blaswich
Janis Blaswich Goalkeeper
36
Niklas Lomb
Niklas Lomb Goalkeeper
1
Mark Flekken
Mark Flekken Goalkeeper
18
Jonas Omlin
Jonas Omlin Goalkeeper
20
Alejandro Grimaldo García
Alejandro Grimaldo García Defender
21
Lucas Vázquez Iglesias
Lucas Vázquez Iglesias Defender
12
Edmond Fayçal Tapsoba
Edmond Fayçal Tapsoba Defender
5
Loïc Badé
Loïc Badé Defender
4
Jarell Quansah
Jarell Quansah Defender
15
Tim Oermann
Tim Oermann Defender
13
Arthur Augusto de Matos Soares
Arthur Augusto de Matos Soares Defender
41
Issa Traoré
Issa Traoré Defender
16
Axel Tape-Kobrissa
Axel Tape-Kobrissa Defender
24
Aleix García Serrano
Aleix García Serrano Midfielder
7
Jonas Hofmann
Jonas Hofmann Midfielder
8
Robert Andrich
Robert Andrich Midfielder
25
Exequiel Alejandro Palacios
Exequiel Alejandro Palacios Midfielder
10
Malik Tillman
Malik Tillman Midfielder
6
Ignacio Ezequiél Agustín Fernández Carballo
Ignacio Ezequiél Agustín Fernández Carballo Midfielder
30
Ibrahim Maza
Ibrahim Maza Midfielder
14
Patrik Schick
Patrik Schick Attacker
11
Martin Terrier
Martin Terrier Attacker
23
Nathan Tella
Nathan Tella Attacker
19
Ernest Poku
Ernest Poku Attacker
17
Eliesse Ben Seghir
Eliesse Ben Seghir Attacker
42
Montrell Amare Culbreath
Montrell Amare Culbreath Attacker
35
Christian Michel Kofane
Christian Michel Kofane Attacker

CONCLUSION

Leverkusen's pronounced power and form superiority, coupled with a higher league position, makes them the team to beat at RheinEnergieStadion. Köln faces an uphill battle, relying on home advantage and defensive resilience amid absent advanced metrics. The visitors' structural dominance suggests they can dictate tempo and exploit transitions effectively. Expect Leverkusen to capitalize on their edge for a controlled performance, though Köln's desperation could spark moments of chaos. This matchup underscores Bundesliga's competitive depth, but data points firmly toward an away-inclined outcome.

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