FC Andorra vs SD Eibar Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Nou Estadi a Encamp Sat, 21 Mar - 3:15 PM
La Liga 2
FC Andorra AND
0 Winner 1
SD Eibar EIB
Full Time Sat, 21 Mar 3:15 PM
Round 31 Regular Season
|
Goal
Peru Nolaskoain - 38'

CONTEXT

The match has concluded with SD Eibar securing a 1-0 away victory over FC Andorra. The visitors took the lead in the first half, going into the break up 1-0, and successfully defended their narrow advantage until the final whistle. This result represented a significant deviation from pre-match expectations. Going into the fixture, the market slightly favored the home side, giving FC Andorra a 36.8% win probability. There was a 31% chance of a draw and a 32.2% likelihood for an SD Eibar victory. Because the away side defied these probabilities, the final outcome did not align with the pre-match market. On the pitch, FC Andorra completely dictated the tempo, recording a massive 73% possession compared to SD Eibar's 27%. Expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, meaning it cannot be determined if the final outcome was consistent with the quality of chances created. Despite this, the teams' efficiency shift remained in line with historical baselines. Finally, the match progressed smoothly without severe disciplinary interference, as zero red cards were shown to either side.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: SD Eibar showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
FC Andorra C. Manso Rubio
C. Manso Rubio
VS
SD Eibar B. San José Gil
B. San José Gil
1.17
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.27
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sporting Gijón Rank: 64 W
Córdoba Rank: 65 W
Real Zaragoza Rank: 59 W
Almería Rank: 70 L
Real Sociedad II Rank: 63 L
Castellón Rank: 66 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: 68 L
Racing Santander Rank: 71 W
Real Zaragoza Rank: 59 D
Sporting Gijón Rank: 65 W
Almería Rank: 70 W
Granada Rank: 67 D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 2 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home FC Andorra
36.81%
Draw
31.03%
Away SD Eibar
32.16%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
56.37
68.53
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
FC Andorra
SD Eibar
Power Score
56.37
68.53
League Position
15
9
Global Rank
463
232

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
FC Andorra — Opponent-weighted form score
SD Eibar — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) FC Andorra SD Eibar

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

FC Andorra

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

SD Eibar

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

FC Andorra ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy SD Eibar
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
23.29
21.11
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
21.11
23.29
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
FC Andorra +0.22 Efficiency Index
vs
SD Eibar -0.22 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
FC Andorra
SD Eibar
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

FC Andorra ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy SD Eibar
Created Set-piece attacking threat
FC Andorra SD Eibar
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
FC Andorra SD Eibar
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
FC Andorra
SD Eibar
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

FC Andorra AND Home
5 matches
SD Eibar EIB Away
Match Record
1
Wins
2
2
Draws
2
2
Losses
1
Goals
4
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
4
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-27T12:22:30+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
J. Owono Ngua Akeng
Equatorial Guinea
13 J. Owono Ngua Akeng
Á. Petxarroman Eizaguirre
Substitution
Spain
2 Á. Petxarroman Eizaguirre
G. Alonso Moreno
Substitution
Spain
4 G. Alonso Moreno
D. Alende López
Spain
23 (C) D. Alende López
I. García de Albéniz Crecente
Spain
19 I. García de Albéniz Crecente
M. Kim
Substitution
Spain
29 M. Kim
M. Costa
Spain
18 M. Costa
D. Villahermosa Martínez
Substitution
Spain
6 D. Villahermosa Martínez
J. Cerdà Amengual
Spain
21 J. Cerdà Amengual
L. De León Billar
Substitution
Uruguay
11 L. De León Billar
A. García Lopéz
Spain
16 A. García Lopéz
J. Magunagoitia Blasco
Spain
13 J. Magunagoitia Blasco
A. Arbilla Zabala
Spain
23 (C) A. Arbilla Zabala
J. Amador Silos
Substitution
Portugal
15 J. Amador Silos
P. Nolaskoain Esnal
Spain
8 P. Nolaskoain Esnal
S. Cubero Ezcurra
Spain
2 S. Cubero Ezcurra
L. Olaetxea Ibaibarriaga
Spain
14 L. Olaetxea Ibaibarriaga
S. Álvarez Díaz
Substitution
Spain
6 S. Álvarez Díaz
J. Corpas Serna
Spain
17 J. Corpas Serna
J. Martón Ansó
Substitution
Spain
20 J. Martón Ansó
M. Ares Djalo
Substitution
Spain
18 M. Ares Djalo
J. Bautista Orgilles
Substitution
Spain
9 J. Bautista Orgilles

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 21, 2026, 03:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Nou Estadi a Encamp
Capacity
5500
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Alonso De Ena Wolf
Aleksandar Ivaylov Angelov
Rubén Porras Rico
S. Fernández Pérez

Statistics

Possession
AND
68%
EIB
32%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 1
7 Shots 2
60 Dangerous attacks 14
73 Possession 27
5 Corners 4
11 Free kicks 8
4 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

11 Goal Attempts 3
61 Ball Safe 41
18 Dribble Attempts 13
3 Goal Kicks 12
17 Throwins 19
56 Successful Dribbles Percentage 62
1 Hit Woodwork 2
0 Assists 1
10 Successful Dribbles 8
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

127 Attacks 78
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

49 Long Passes 65
732 Passes 260
91 Successful Passes Percentage 69
669 Successful Passes 179
7 Key Passes 4
63 Successful Long Passes Percentage 40
31 Successful Long Passes 26

Defensive

8 Tackles 22
2 Interceptions 7
1 Saves 3

Build-up

13 Total Crosses 8
1 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
1 Fouls 5

Lineup

Referee : Alonso De Ena Wolf

Starting XI ▼

13
Jesús Owono
Jesús Owono Goalkeeper
6.44
2
Álex Petxarroman
Álex Petxarroman Defender
6.97
17
Thomas Carrique
Thomas Carrique
Defender70'
6.69
4
Gael Alonso
Gael Alonso Defender
7.12
9
Manu Nieto
Manu Nieto
Attacker85'
6.55
19
Imanol García de Albéniz
Imanol García de Albéniz Defender
6.73
23
Diego Alende
Diego Alende (C) Defender
6.68
6
Dani Villahermosa
Dani Villahermosa Midfielder
6.28
14
Sergio Molina
Sergio Molina
Midfielder46'
6.84
18
Marc Doménech
Marc Doménech Midfielder
7.31
29
Min-su Kim
Min-su Kim Midfielder
6.04
3
Yeray Cabanzón
Yeray Cabanzón
Attacker46'
7.42
11
Lautaro de León
Lautaro de León Attacker
6.5
15
Aingeru Olabarrieta
Aingeru Olabarrieta
Attacker70'
6.44
16
Jastin Garcia
Jastin Garcia Attacker
7.01
21
Josep Cerdà
Josep Cerdà Attacker
6.63
Referee : Alonso De Ena Wolf

Starting XI ▼

13
Jonmi Magunagoitia
Jonmi Magunagoitia Goalkeeper
7.23
2
Sergio Cubero
Sergio Cubero Defender
6.9
8
Peru Nolaskoain
Peru Nolaskoain Defender
7.5
15
Jair Amador
Jair Amador Defender
6.67
24
Juan Bernat
Juan Bernat
Defender85'
6.45
23
Anaitz Arbilla
Anaitz Arbilla (C) Defender
7.6
6
Sergio Álvarez
Sergio Álvarez Midfielder
6.8
5
Javi Martínez
Javi Martínez
Midfielder85'
6.54
14
Lander Olaetxea
Lander Olaetxea Midfielder
7.17
17
José Corpas
José Corpas Midfielder
7.18
18
Adu Ares
Adu Ares Midfielder
6.85
16
Ander Madariaga
Ander Madariaga
Midfielder73'
6.54
20
Javi Martón
Javi Martón Midfielder
6.73
11
Jon Magunazelaia
Jon Magunazelaia
Midfielder85'
6.39
9
Jon Bautista
Jon Bautista Attacker
6.68
10
Jon Guruzeta
Jon Guruzeta
Midfielder73'
6.52

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
11th Yellowcard
90+3'
90+1'
Event
10th Yellowcard
90+1'
Event
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
89'
Event
9th Yellowcard
89'
Event
Jon Magunazelaia
Time wasting / 6th Yellowcard
Event
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
87'
Event
Manu Nieto → Gael Alonso
10th Substitution
85'
85'
Event
Jon Magunazelaia → Javi Martón
8th Substitution
85'
Event
Juan Bernat → Jair Amador
7th Substitution
85'
Event
Javi Martínez → Sergio Álvarez
9th Substitution
80'
Event
8th Yellowcard
80'
Event
Time wasting / 4th Yellowcard
73'
Event
Ander Madariaga → Adu Ares
6th Substitution
73'
Event
Jon Guruzeta → Jon Bautista
5th Substitution
Event
Thomas Carrique → Álex Petxarroman
3rd Substitution
70'
Event
Aingeru Olabarrieta → Lautaro de León
4th Substitution
70'
67'
Event
Jonmi Magunagoitia
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Gael Alonso
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
51'
Event
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
51'
Event
Sergio Molina → Dani Villahermosa
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Yeray Cabanzón → Min-su Kim
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
38'
Event
Peru Nolaskoain
Left foot shot / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: SD Eibar exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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