Estrela Amadora vs Porto Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal

Estádio José Gomes Sun, 26 Apr - 12:00 AM

Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora Estrela Amadora

Versus

Porto POR

KICKOFF : Sun, 26 Apr - 12:00 AM

Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Estrela Amadora welcomes Porto to the Estádio José Gomes for a Liga Portugal regular season encounter in the 2025/2026 campaign. The visitors sit atop the league table in 1st place, wielding a formidable power score of 37.98 against the hosts' 15.04, creating a substantial 22.9-point advantage. Form scores further highlight the disparity, with Porto at 33.11 compared to Estrela's 9.89, signaling consistent excellence versus inconsistency. As 15th-placed Estrela battles relegation pressures, Porto seeks to solidify their lead. The home venue offers faint hope, but structural imbalances favor the Dragons overwhelmingly. Set-piece analysis lacks xG data, relying on low-confidence proxies for both sides, obscuring potential aerial threats. This fixture tests Estrela's resolve against Porto's superior machinery.

TL;DR

Structural: Porto tops the Liga Portugal table in 1st place, while Estrela Amadora languishes in 15th.
Form: Porto's form score of 33.11 towers over Estrela Amadora's 9.89.
Squad: Porto's squad boasts a 37.98 power score versus Estrela Amadora's 15.04.
Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this matchup.
Transition: Transition metrics are not provided in available data.
Set pieces: Set-piece stats use low-confidence proxies with no xG available for either team.
xVariable: xG variables remain unavailable due to disabled add-on.
Market: Projection split: Estrela Amadora 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Porto 0% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

J. Rodrigues Carromeu

VS

F. Farioli

1.05

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

2.5

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

3

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

3 - 1 - 9

9

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Estrela Amadora

0%

Draw

0%

Porto

0%

Team Power Ranking

15.04

37.98

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Estrela Amadora

Porto

Power Score

15.04

37.98

League Position

15

1

Global Rank

-

-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs

Estrela Amadora — Opponent-weighted form score

Porto — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Estrela Amadora Porto

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Estrela Amadora Estrela Amadora Home

13 matches

Porto POR Away

Match Record

3

Wins

9

1

Draws

1

9

Losses

3

Goals

10

Goals Scored

28

28

Goals Conceded

10

-18

Goal Difference

+18

Expected Goals

0

xG

0

0

xGA

0

Data last updated: 2026-04-19T02:05:02+00:00

General Information

Date & Time

Apr 26, 2026, 12:00 AM

Competition

2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 31 · Regular Season

Stadium

Estádio José Gomes

Capacity

9000

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Manager ▼

J. Rodrigues Carromeu Coach

Squad ▼

40

Renan Ribeiro Goalkeeper

22

David Allen Grilo Goalkeeper

13

Eduardo dos Santos Haesler Goalkeeper

1

Diogo de Carvalho Pinto Goalkeeper

5

Issiar Dramé Defender

17

Jefferson Anilson Silva Encada Defender

14

Bernardo Schappo Defender

24

Bruno Alberto Langa Defender

30

Luan Patrick Wiedthauper Defender

2

Yahya Kalley Defender

3

Gabriel Miranda Rodrigues Defender

25

Stefan Leković Defender

21

Max Scholze Defender

83

Otavio Manoel Galdino Fernandes Defender

6

Kevin Höög-Jansson Midfielder

19

Paulo Daniel Valente Moreira Midfielder

28

Tom Moustier Midfielder

8

Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho Midfielder

63

Alexandre Mussolo Sola Midfielder

39

Eddy Gueladan Doué Midfielder

9

Rodrigo Cunha Pereira de Pinho Attacker

11

Jovane Eduardo Borges Cabral Attacker

10

Ianis Stoica Attacker

26

Bilal Brahimi Attacker

20

Sydney van Hooijdonk Attacker

77

Leandro Antonetti Attacker

99

Abraham Marcus Attacker

18

Jorge Monteiro Meireles Attacker

70

Chilohem Chukwuma Onuoha Attacker

17

Mathew Gbomadu Attacker

80

Alisson Souza de Jesus Attacker

Manager ▼

F. Farioli Coach

Squad ▼

14

Cláudio Pires Morais Ramos Goalkeeper

24

João Paulo Santos da Costa Goalkeeper

99

Diogo Meireles Costa Goalkeeper

3

Thiago Emiliano da Silva Defender

5

Jan Bednarek Defender

12

Zaidu Sanusi Defender

4

Jakub Piotr Kiwior Defender

18

Nehuén Pérez Defender

74

Francisco Sampaio Moura Defender

20

Alberto Oliveira Baio Defender

52

Martim Moreira Moutinho Fernandes Defender

21

Dominik Prpić Defender

42

Seko Fofana Midfielder

13

Pablo Paulino Rosario Midfielder

10

Gabriel Veiga Novas Midfielder

22

Alan Varela Midfielder

8

Victor Froholdt Midfielder

86

Rodrigo Mora Carvalho Midfielder

26

Luuk de Jong Attacker

75

Yann Karamoh Attacker

11

Eduardo Gabriel Aquino Cossa Attacker

29

Terem Igobor Moffi Attacker

17

Borja Sainz Eguskiza Attacker

9

Samuel Omorodion Aghehowa Attacker

27

Deniz Gül Attacker

77

Oskar Pietuszewski Attacker

7

William Gomes Carvalho Santos Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Porto holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Porto a 22.9-point edge. Projection probabilities are unavailable or insufficient in the available data for this fixture. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.