Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia Prediction, Preview and Stats

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio José Gomes Fri, 20 Mar - 8:15 PM
Liga Portugal
Estrela Amadora Estrela Amadora
4 Winner 0
Casa Pia Casa Pia
Full Time Fri, 20 Mar 8:15 PM
Round 27 Regular Season
Rodrigo Pinho - 12' (P), 45+3'
Abraham Marcus - 37'
Eddy Doué - 76'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

The match between Estrela Amadora and Casa Pia has finished with a resounding 4-0 victory for the home side. Estrela Amadora dominated early on, taking a commanding 3-0 lead into the half-time break. The game was played without any major disciplinary disruptions, as neither team received a red card. The final scoreline was heavily supported by the underlying metrics, making the outcome consistent with the expected goals (xG). Estrela Amadora generated a massive 3.17 xG compared to a mere 0.42 xG for Casa Pia. The hosts also edged the tempo of the game, holding 53% of the possession to Casa Pia's 47%. Furthermore, the match's efficiency shift was entirely in line with the data, resulting in a clinical four-goal display. Heading into the fixture, Casa Pia was designated as the slightly stronger team overall. However, the pre-match market slightly favored the hosts with a 36.2% win probability compared to Casa Pia's 32.8%, alongside a 31.1% chance of a draw. Because the hosts secured the victory, the outcome was ultimately market aligned. Despite this alignment, the massive blowout still represented a significant deviation level (63.8%) in favor of Estrela Amadora when compared to baseline pre-match expectations.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Estrela Amadora showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was consistent with expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Aligned with xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Estrela Amadora N. Silva Soto Lopes
N. Silva Soto Lopes
VS
Casa Pia Á. Pacheco
Á. Pacheco
1.05
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.9
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rio Ave Rank: 62 L
Gil Vicente Rank: 70 D
AVS Rank: 56 D
Tondela Rank: 61 L
Vitória Guimarães Rank: 71 L
Santa Clara Rank: 67 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Estoril Rank: 69 D
Moreirense Rank: 67 D
Famalicão Rank: 73 L
Arouca Rank: 65 W
Nacional Rank: 63 D
Porto Rank: 88 W
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 0 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Estrela Amadora
36.16%
Draw
31.08%
Away Casa Pia
32.76%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
60.57
63.58
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia
Power Score
60.57
63.58
League Position
14
15
Global Rank
470
373

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Estrela Amadora — Opponent-weighted form score
Casa Pia — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Estrela Amadora Casa Pia

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Estrela Amadora

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Casa Pia

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Estrela Amadora ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Casa Pia
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
47.08
19.47
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
19.47
47.08
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Estrela Amadora +2.80 Efficiency Index
vs
Casa Pia -2.80 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Estrela Amadora
vs
Casa Pia
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Estrela Amadora Casa Pia
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+1.00 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Estrela Amadora Casa Pia
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Estrela Amadora Estrela Amadora Home
5 matches
Casa Pia Casa Pia Away
Match Record
3
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
3
Goals
9
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
9
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-27T12:21:20+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
R. Ribeiro
Brazil
40 R. Ribeiro
M. Scholze
Germany
21 M. Scholze
L. Wiedthauper
Brazil
30 L. Wiedthauper
B. Schappo
Substitution
Brazil
14 B. Schappo
B. Langa
Mozambique
24 B. Langa
E. Doué
Substitution
France
39 E. Doué
K. Höög-Jansson
Sweden
6 K. Höög-Jansson
R. Oliveira Botelho
Substitution
Brazil
8 R. Oliveira Botelho
A. Marcus
Nigeria
99 A. Marcus
R. Pereira de Pinho
Substitution
Brazil
9 (C) R. Pereira de Pinho
I. Stoica
Substitution
Romania
10 I. Stoica
P. Sequeira Mejías
Costa Rica
1 P. Sequeira Mejías
A. Geraldes de Barros
Portugal
18 (C) A. Geraldes de Barros
D. Bandeira
Substitution
Angola
3 D. Bandeira
J. Goulart Silva
Portugal
4 J. Goulart Silva
A. Conté
Portugal
5 A. Conté
R. Brito
Substitution
Portugal
8 R. Brito
S. Pérez Cardona
Colombia
42 S. Pérez Cardona
G. Larrazabal Goikoetxea
Spain
72 G. Larrazabal Goikoetxea
D. Rocha Livramento do Rosario
Substitution
Netherlands
10 D. Rocha Livramento do Rosario
C. Dias Moreira
Substitution
Brazil
90 C. Dias Moreira
J. Livolant
Substitution
France
29 J. Livolant

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 20, 2026, 08:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 27 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio José Gomes
Capacity
9000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ , Clear
Referees
Hélder Miguel Azevedo Malheiro
Hugo André Pires Ribeiro
Hugo Alexandre França Luís Coimbra
Flávio Miguel Gomes Azevedo Duarte

Statistics

Possession
Estrela Amadora
54%
Casa Pia
46%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 0
6 Big Chances Created 1
23 Shots 8
39 Dangerous attacks 23
53 Possession 47
6 Corners 1
19 Free kicks 18
3 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

18 Successful Headers 14
9 Goal Kicks 13
12 Throwins 19
12 Dribble Attempts 11
1 Penalties 0
5 Substitutions 5
2 Assists 0
20 Goal Attempts 9
79 Ball Safe 74
2 Injuries 0
6 Successful Dribbles 5
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 45

Attacking

93 Attacks 98
3 Counter Attacks 1
2 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

413 Passes 359
50 Long Passes 40
334 Successful Passes 275
81 Successful Passes Percentage 77
16 Key Passes 6
13 Successful Long Passes 17
26 Successful Long Passes Percentage 43

Defensive

14 Interceptions 11
13 Tackles 16
2 Saves 4

Build-up

10 Total Crosses 12
5 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

17 Fouls 17
3 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Hélder Miguel Azevedo Malheiro

Starting XI ▼

40
Renan Ribeiro
Renan Ribeiro Goalkeeper
6.64
14
Bernardo Schappo
Bernardo Schappo Defender
6.28
83
Otavio Manoel Galdino Fernandes
Otavio Manoel Galdino Fernandes
Defender83'
6.38
21
Max Scholze
Max Scholze Defender
7.05
24
Bruno Langa
Bruno Langa Defender
6.86
30
Luan Patrick
Luan Patrick Defender
7.03
6
Kevin Höög Jansson
Kevin Höög Jansson Midfielder
6.65
8
Robinho
Robinho Midfielder
6.58
63
Alex Sola
Alex Sola
Midfielder68'
6.35
39
Eddy Doué
Eddy Doué Midfielder
7.95
28
Tom Moustier
Tom Moustier
Midfielder83'
6.65
9
Rodrigo Pinho
Rodrigo Pinho (C) Attacker
2
9.07
11
Jovane Cabral
Jovane Cabral
Attacker67'
6.96
10
Ianis Stoica
Ianis Stoica Attacker
7.66
18
Jorge Meireles
Jorge Meireles
Attacker75'
6.84
99
Abraham Marcus
Abraham Marcus Attacker
9.8
Referee : Hélder Miguel Azevedo Malheiro

Starting XI ▼

1
Patrick Sequeira
Patrick Sequeira Goalkeeper
6.26
3
Kaly
Kaly Defender
4.71
6
José Fonte
José Fonte
Defender39'
5.79
4
João Goulart
João Goulart Defender
6
18
André Geraldes
André Geraldes (C) Defender
6.11
5
Abdu Conté
Abdu Conté Midfielder
6.4
8
Rafael Brito
Rafael Brito Midfielder
6.41
24
Iyad Mohamed
Iyad Mohamed
Midfielder57'
6.9
42
Seba Pérez
Seba Pérez Midfielder
6.33
72
Gaizka Larrazabal
Gaizka Larrazabal Midfielder
6.53
10
Dailon Livramento
Dailon Livramento Attacker
6.23
21
Tiago Morais
Tiago Morais
Attacker39'
6.68
29
Jérémy Livolant
Jérémy Livolant Attacker
6.64
99
Clau Mendes
Clau Mendes
Attacker77'
6.82
90
Cassiano
Cassiano Attacker
6.5
11
João Marques
João Marques
Midfielder57'
6.55

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Alex Sola
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
85'
85'
Event
Seba Pérez
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Tom Moustier → Eddy Doué
9th Substitution
83'
Event
Otavio Manoel Galdino Fernandes → Bernardo Schappo
10th Substitution
83'
77'
Event
Clau Mendes → Jérémy Livolant
8th Substitution
Event
Eddy Doué
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
76'
Event
Jorge Meireles → Ianis Stoica
7th Substitution
75'
Event
Alex Sola → Robinho
6th Substitution
68'
Event
Jovane Cabral → Rodrigo Pinho
5th Substitution
67'
57'
Event
João Marques → Cassiano
3rd Substitution
57'
Event
Iyad Mohamed → Rafael Brito
4th Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Rodrigo Pinho
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
45+3'
Event
7th Yellowcard
45+1'
Event
Robinho
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
45+1'
39'
Event
José Fonte → Kaly
1st Substitution
39'
Event
Tiago Morais → Dailon Livramento
2nd Substitution
Event
Abraham Marcus
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
37'
Event
Bernardo Schappo
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
18'
Event
Rodrigo Pinho
Left foot shot / 1st Penalty
12'
4'
Event
Kaly
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
4'
Event
6th Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Clau Mendes commits a foul for Casa Pia.
90
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Clau Mendes from Casa Pia heads the ball from close range, but it goes wide to the right.
90
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
90
Update Update
Match temporarily halted - Estrela.
90
Update Update
João Goulart from Casa Pia commits a foul.
90
Update Update
Jovane Cabral from Estrela earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
90
Update Update
Max Scholze from Estrela earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
90
Update Update
Clau Mendes commits a foul for Casa Pia.
90
Update Update
Max Scholze from Estrela is awarded a free kick in the defensive zone.
90
Update Update
Jorge Meireles from Estrela earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded, with Estrela defeating Casa Pia by a score of 4-0.
90
Update Update
Kevin Höög Jansson from Estrela is awarded a free kick in the defensive zone.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be three minutes of stoppage time.
89
Update Update
Iyad Mohamed from Casa Pia committed a foul.
89
Update Update
Bruno Langa from Estrela earns a free kick on the left flank.
88
Attempt Attempt
The shot was blocked. Clau Mendes from Casa Pia took a left-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but Renan Ribeiro from Estrela made a save right in the middle of the goal. The assist came from Tiago Morais.
86
Update Update
Tom Moustier from Estrela commits a foul.
86
Update Update
João Marques from Casa Pia is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
86
Update Update
João Marques from Casa Pia is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
85
Update Update
João Goulart from Casa Pia commits a foul.
85
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Seba Pérez from Casa Pia receives a yellow card.
85
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Alex Sola from Estrela receives a yellow card.
85
Update Update
Jorge Meireles from Estrela earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
84
Update Update
Jorge Meireles from Estrela earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
84
Update Update
João Goulart from Casa Pia commits a foul.
83
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Estrela: Otávio comes on to take the place of Bernardo Schappo.
83
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Estrela: Tom Moustier comes on to replace Eddy Doué, who is leaving the field due to an injury.
83
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
82
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! José Fonte of Casa Pia took a left-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but it sailed high and to the left of the goal. The chance was created by Iyad Mohamed after a set piece.
82
Update Update
The game is currently paused due to an injury to Eddy Doué from Estrela.
81
Update Update
João Marques from Casa Pia earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
81
Update Update
Alex Sola from Estrela committed a foul.
81
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Iyad Mohamed from Casa Pia takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it goes just wide to the right. He was set up by Gaizka Larrazabal.
79
Update Update
Jovane Cabral from Estrela earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
79
Update Update
Seba Pérez commits a foul for Casa Pia.
78
Update Update
Tiago Morais from Casa Pia is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
78
Update Update
Luan Patrick from Estrela commits a foul.
77
Update Update
Clau Mendes from Casa Pia earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Casa Pia: Clau Mendes comes on to take the place of Jérémy Livolant.
77
Update Update
Alex Sola from Estrela commits a foul.
76
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Estrela leads 4-0 against Casa Pia. Eddy Doué scores for Estrela with a right-footed shot from just a few yards out after a quick counterattack.
75
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Estrela: Jorge Meireles comes on to take the place of Ianis Stoica.
73
Update Update
Estrela has been flagged for offside. Ianis Stoica has been caught in an offside position.
72
Attempt Attempt
Shot on goal denied. Jovane Cabral from Estrela takes a right-footed attempt from outside the penalty area, but the goalkeeper makes the save.
72
Update Update
Iyad Mohamed from Casa Pia committed a foul.
72
Update Update
Alex Sola from Estrela is awarded a free kick in the defensive zone.
72
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Ianis Stoica from Estrela took a right-footed shot from the center of the box that just went wide of the top right corner. He was assisted by Eddy Doué.
72
Update Update
Foul committed by Tiago Morais of Casa Pia.
72
Update Update
Max Scholze from Estrela earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
70
Update Update
Offside call against Estrela. Abraham Marcus has been flagged for being in an offside position.
70
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Marcus Abraham from Estrela took a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sailed high and to the left of the goal. He was set up by Max Scholze.
69
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Jovane Cabral from Estrela heads the ball from the center of the box, but it sails over the crossbar. The chance was set up by a cross from Abraham Marcus.
68
Update Update
Ianis Stoica from Estrela earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
68
Update Update
João Goulart from Casa Pia committed a foul.
68
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Estrela: Alex Sola comes on to take the place of Robinho.
67
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Estrela: Jovane Cabral comes on to take the place of Rodrigo Pinho.
66
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
65
Update Update
The game is currently on hold due to an injury to Rodrigo Pinho from Estrela.
64
Update Update
Seba Pérez from Casa Pia is awarded a free kick in the defensive zone.
64
Update Update
Rodrigo Pinho from Estrela commits a foul.
63
Update Update
Iyad Mohamed from Casa Pia committed a foul.
63
Update Update
Iyad Mohamed from Casa Pia committed a foul.
62
Update Update
Bruno Langa from Estrela is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
61
Update Update
Abraham Marcus from Estrela earns a free kick on the left side of the field.
61
Update Update
Offside call against Estrela. Robinho has been flagged for being in an offside position.
61
Update Update
João Marques from Casa Pia commits a foul.
60
Update Update
José Fonte commits a foul for Casa Pia.
60
Update Update
Rodrigo Pinho from Estrela is awarded a free kick in the opponent's half.
57
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Casa Pia: João Marques comes on to take the place of Cassiano.
57
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Casa Pia: Iyad Mohamed comes on to take the place of Rafael Brito.
56
Update Update
Rafael Brito from Casa Pia is awarded a free kick on the right side of the field.
56
Update Update
Rafael Brito from Casa Pia is awarded a free kick on the right flank.
54
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Tiago Morais from Casa Pia takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it goes wide.
53
Update Update
Patrick Sequeira from Casa Pia earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
53
Update Update
Patrick Sequeira from Casa Pia is awarded a free kick in the defensive zone.
51
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Kevin Höög Jansson of Estrela had a close-range header that went wide to the right. The chance was set up by Ianis Stoica, who delivered a cross after a corner kick.
51
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Ianis Stoica from Estrela heads the ball from just a short distance but it goes wide to the left. The cross was delivered by Abraham Marcus.
50
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Estrela, following a foul by Seba Pérez.
50
Attempt Attempt
The shot is deflected. Ianis Stoica from Estrela tries a right-footed effort from the left side of the penalty area, but it's blocked.
48
Update Update
Tiago Morais from Casa Pia commits a foul.
48
Update Update
Bruno Langa from Estrela earns a free kick on the left side of the field.
45
Update Update
Robinho commits a foul against Estrela.
45
Update Update
Kevin Höög Jansson from Estrela earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be two minutes of stoppage time added.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Estrela leads 3-0 against Casa Pia. Rodrigo Pinho scores with a right-footed strike from the center of the penalty area, placing the ball into the bottom left corner. The assist came from Abraham Marcus, who set him up with a precise through ball after a corner kick.
45
Update Update
Patrick Sequeira from Casa Pia earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Robinho from Estrela receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
45
Update Update
The first half concludes with Estrela leading Casa Pia by a score of 3-0.
45
Update Update
Seba Pérez from Casa Pia earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
45
Update Update
Cassiano from Casa Pia commits a foul.
45
Update Update
Offside call against Casa Pia. Cassiano has been flagged for being in an offside position.
45
Update Update
Cassiano from Casa Pia is awarded a free kick on the left side of the field.
45
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Estrela, following a foul by Gaizka Larrazabal.
45
Update Update
The second half is underway with Estrela leading Casa Pia 3-0.
44
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Estrela after João Goulart's defensive play.
43
Update Update
Seba Pérez commits a foul for Casa Pia.
43
Update Update
Abraham Marcus from Estrela is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
41
Update Update
Jérémy Livolant from Casa Pia earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
41
Update Update
Jérémy Livolant from Casa Pia earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
39
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Rodrigo Pinho from Estrela heads the ball from the center of the box, but it goes just over the crossbar. The cross was delivered by Ianis Stoica.
39
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Casa Pia: José Fonte comes on to take the place of Khaly.
39
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Casa Pia: Tiago Morais comes on to take the place of Dailon Livramento.
37
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Estrela leads 2-0 against Casa Pia. Abraham Marcus scores with a left-footed strike from the center of the box, sending the ball into the bottom right corner.
35
Attempt Attempt
Eddy Doué from Estrela takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but Patrick Sequeira of Casa Pia makes a great save, diving to his left to stop the ball. The opportunity was set up by Ianis Stoica.
35
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Casa Pia after Luan Patrick allowed the ball to go out of play.
33
Update Update
Khaly from Casa Pia earns a free kick in their own half.
33
Update Update
Kevin Höög Jansson commits a foul against Estrela.
33
Update Update
Jérémy Livolant from Casa Pia is awarded a free kick in their own half.
33
Update Update
Eddy Doué from Estrela commits a foul.
30
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Abdu Conté from Casa Pia took a left-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but it went off target.
27
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Rodrigo Pinho from Estrela takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sails high and to the left of the goal.
27
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Marcus Abraham from Estrela took a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area after a quick counterattack, but it went wide.
27
Attempt Attempt
A shot attempt is thwarted. Marcus Abraham from Estrela takes a left-footed strike from the middle of the penalty area, but it's blocked. The assist came from Rodrigo Pinho.
25
Update Update
Robinho from Estrela earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
25
Update Update
Robinho from Estrela earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
23
Update Update
Robinho commits a foul against Estrela.
23
Update Update
Rafael Brito from Casa Pia earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
22
Update Update
Eddy Doué from Estrela commits a foul.
22
Update Update
Cassiano from Casa Pia earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
21
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Ianis Stoica from Estrela took a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it went wide to the left.
20
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Jérémy Livolant from Casa Pia takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it goes wide.
18
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Bernardo Schappo from Estrela receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
18
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Bernardo Schappo from Estrela receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
18
Update Update
Jérémy Livolant from Casa Pia earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
18
Update Update
Cassiano from Casa Pia committed a foul.
18
Update Update
Robinho commits a foul on Estrela.
17
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Ianis Stoica from Estrela took a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area.
16
Update Update
Seba Pérez from Casa Pia is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
16
Update Update
Seba Pérez from Casa Pia is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
15
Update Update
Jérémy Livolant from Casa Pia is awarded a free kick in the defensive zone.
15
Update Update
Eddy Doué from Estrela commits a foul.
12
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Estrela takes the lead 1-0 against Casa Pia. Rodrigo Pinho from Estrela successfully scores the penalty, striking it with his left foot into the bottom left corner of the net.
10
Update Update
Seba Pérez from Casa Pia has given away a penalty following a foul committed inside the box.
10
Update Update
Penalty awarded to Estrela. Ianis Stoica is fouled inside the box.
8
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Rodrigo Pinho from Estrela took a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it went wide to the right. The assist came from Max Scholze.
7
Attempt Attempt
A shot is deflected. Kevin Höög Jansson from Estrela takes a left-footed strike from the left side of the six-yard area, but it's blocked.
7
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Estrela, following a concession by Gaizka Larrazabal.
7
Attempt Attempt
A shot attempt is thwarted. Ianis Stoica from Estrela fires a right-footed strike from the left side of the penalty area, but it's blocked.
6
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Estrela after Cassiano allowed the ball to go out.
6
Corner Corner
A shot on goal was thwarted. Rodrigo Pinho from Estrela took a right-footed strike from the middle of the penalty area, but it was expertly saved by Patrick Sequeira of Casa Pia, who reached up to deny it in the top right corner. The assist came from Eddy Doué.
5
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Estrela after Khaly allowed the ball to go out.
4
Update Update
Khaly commits a foul for Casa Pia.
4
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Renan Ribeiro from Estrela receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
4
Update Update
Rodrigo Pinho from Estrela earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
3
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Rodrigo Pinho from Estrela took a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it went wide.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Estrela Amadora exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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