Estoril vs Famalicão Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota Sun, 26 Apr - 12:00 AM

Liga Portugal

Estoril ETR

Famalicão Famalicão

KICKOFF : Sun, 26 Apr - 12:00 AM

Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril hosts Famalicão in a pivotal Liga Portugal regular season clash during the 2025/2026 campaign. Estoril sits 8th in the standings, trailing Famalicão's stronger 5th position, reflecting the visitors' overall edge. Famalicão boasts a superior power score of 27.97 compared to Estoril's 19.12, translating to an 8.9-point advantage that underscores their structural dominance. Recent form further tilts the scales, with Famalicão's 29.06 rating dwarfing Estoril's modest 9.11, suggesting momentum lies away from home. While set piece metrics remain unavailable due to low-confidence proxies and absent xG data, Famalicão's higher league placement hints at better organization in dead-ball situations. Estoril will lean on home advantage to disrupt transitions, but Famalicão's efficiency in open play could prove decisive. This matchup promises tactical intrigue as both sides vie for climbing points.

TL;DR

Structural: Famalicão enjoys a clear structural advantage with a power score of 27.97 over Estoril's 19.12 and occupies 5th place versus 8th.
Form: Famalicão's form score stands at 29.06, significantly outperforming Estoril's 9.11.
Squad: Squad strength aligns with power ratings, favoring Famalicão's higher-rated lineup.
Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this fixture.
Transition: Transition analysis limited by absence of recent outing data for both teams.
Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable with low confidence and no xG for Estoril or Famalicão.
xVariable: xG data not available, relying on proxy metrics with low confidence.
Market: Projection split: Estoril 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Famalicão 0% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

I. Cathro

H. Carvalho Oliveira

1.45

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.59

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

3 - 2 - 4

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Estoril

Draw

Famalicão

Team Power Ranking

19.12

27.97

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Estoril

Famalicão

Power Score

19.12

27.97

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Estoril — Opponent-weighted form score

Famalicão — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Estoril Famalicão

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Estoril ETR Home

9 matches

Famalicão Famalicão Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-6

Goal Difference

Expected Goals

xGA

Data last updated: 2026-04-19T02:05:07+00:00

General Information

Date & Time

Apr 26, 2026, 12:00 AM

Competition

2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 31 · Regular Season

Stadium

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Capacity

8000

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Manager ▼

I. Cathro Coach

Squad ▼

Joel Robles Blázquez Goalkeeper

Martin Turk Goalkeeper

Diogo Alexandre Aranha Dias Goalkeeper

Francisco Reis Ferreira Defender

Pedro Miguel Gaspar Amaral Defender

Gonçalo Faria Costa Defender

Felix Bacher Defender

Ricard Sánchez Sendra Defender

Antef Tsoungui Defender

Kevin Boma Defender

Or Alon Israelov Defender

Pedro Maria Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho Defender

Miguel Ângelo da Silva Rocha Midfielder

Luís Miguel Afonso Fernandes Midfielder

João António Antunes Carvalho Midfielder

Jordan Holsgrove Midfielder

Alejandro Orellana Gómez Midfielder

Nodar Lominadze Midfielder

Rafik Guitane Attacker

Alejandro José Marqués Méndez Attacker

Yanis Begraoui Attacker

Khayon Edwards Attacker

André Filipe Ferreira Lacximicant Attacker

Manager ▼

H. Carvalho Oliveira Coach

Squad ▼

Lazar Carević Goalkeeper

Ivan Zlobin Goalkeeper

Luís Rafael Soares Alves Defender

Justin de Haas Defender

Leonardo Javier Realpe Montaño Defender

Rodrigo Pinheiro Ferreira Defender

Gustavo García dos Santos Defender

P. Bondo Francisco Defender

Vojin Serafimović Defender

Renan Cunha Macêdo Santana Defender

Ibrahima Ba Defender

Tom van de Looi Midfielder

Otar Mamageishvili Midfielder

Mathias De Amorim Midfielder

Gustavo Filipe Alves Freitas Azevedo Sá Midfielder

Marcos Peña Ocaña Midfielder

Diogo Filipe Costa Rocha Attacker

Gil Bastião Dias Attacker

Simon Elisor Attacker

Óscar Aranda Subiela Attacker

Antoine Joujou Attacker

Marcos Vinicios Lopes Moura Attacker

Pedro Miguel Costa Santos Attacker

Roméo Beney Attacker

Umar Abubakar Attacker

CONCLUSION

Famalicão arrives as the stronger side, backed by superior power metrics, form, and league standing, positioning them to exploit Estoril's home vulnerabilities. Estoril's lower ratings suggest challenges in matching the visitors' intensity, particularly without detailed set piece or efficiency insights. Home support may fuel an upset bid through solid defending, yet Famalicão's edge in transitions and overall structure points to control. Expect a contest where discipline and execution separate the teams, with Famalicão's momentum likely carrying the day in this mid-table battle.

STANDINGS

CONTEXT