Elfsborg vs IFK Göteborg Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Borås Arena Mon, 6 Apr - 12:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Elfsborg ELF
2 Winner 0
IFK Göteborg GOT
Full Time Mon, 6 Apr 12:00 PM
Round 1 Regular Season
T. Silverholt - 59'
J. Magnússon - 65'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

The match between Elfsborg and IFK Göteborg has finished, with Elfsborg securing a 2-0 victory at full-time. The teams were deadlocked at 0-0 heading into the halftime break before the home side ultimately found their breakthrough in the second half. Pre-match market expectations narrowly favored Elfsborg with a 40.4% win probability, compared to a 31.6% chance for IFK Göteborg and a 28% likelihood of a draw. Despite IFK Göteborg being recognized as the historically stronger team and dominating the ball with 60% possession compared to Elfsborg's 40%, the home side was able to capitalize on their limited time on the ball. Expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, meaning it cannot be determined if the final outcome was consistent with the underlying offensive metrics. However, the home win was still fully aligned with the pre-match market predictions. Elfsborg's victory represented a significant deviation, outperforming baseline performance projections by 59.6%. Meanwhile, the overall efficiency shift during the match was entirely in line with expectations. The contest was played cleanly, with no red cards issued to either side, ensuring numerical equality throughout the full ninety minutes.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Elfsborg showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
V. Wolf
V. Wolf
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 13.38
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.81
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
M. Hallin
M. Hallin
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 13.38
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.81
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
D. Gustavsson
D. Gustavsson
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 13.38
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.81
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
N. Karlsson
N. Karlsson
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 13.38
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.81
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Elfsborg B. Hamberg
B. Hamberg
VS
IFK Göteborg S. Billborn
S. Billborn
0.75
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.75
0.75 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hammarby Rank: 69 L
AIK Rank: 58 L
Sirius Rank: 59 L
Öster Rank: 42 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.75 i
Last 6 Opponents
Norrköping Rank: 46 W
Djurgården Rank: 65 D
Halmstad Rank: 48 W
Mjällby Rank: 70 L
15
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
15 - 17 - 10
10

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Elfsborg
40.39%
Draw
28.01%
Away IFK Göteborg
31.6%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
55.96
57.2
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Elfsborg
IFK Göteborg
Power Score
55.96
57.2
League Position
3
14
Global Rank
597
558

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Elfsborg — Opponent-weighted form score
IFK Göteborg — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Elfsborg IFK Göteborg

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Elfsborg

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

IFK Göteborg

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Elfsborg ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy IFK Göteborg
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
43.38
23.50
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
23.50
43.38
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Elfsborg +2.08 Efficiency Index
vs
IFK Göteborg -2.08 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Elfsborg
IFK Göteborg
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Elfsborg ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy IFK Göteborg
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Elfsborg IFK Göteborg
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Elfsborg IFK Göteborg
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Elfsborg
IFK Göteborg
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Elfsborg
vs
IFK Göteborg
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Elfsborg IFK Göteborg
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Elfsborg 0.32
IFK Göteborg 0.29
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Elfsborg IFK Göteborg
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Elfsborg 0.00
IFK Göteborg 0.04
Elfsborg
IFK Göteborg
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 42 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Elfsborg ELF Home
42 matches
IFK Göteborg GOT Away
Match Record
15
Wins
10
17
Draws
17
10
Losses
15
Goals
56
Goals Scored
55
55
Goals Conceded
56
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-07T00:01:49+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
I. Pettersson
Sweden
31 I. Pettersson
S. Holmén
Substitution
Sweden
8 S. Holmén
R. Wikström
Sweden
6 R. Wikström
T. Poppler-Isherwood
Sweden
4 T. Poppler-Isherwood
S. Hedlund
Substitution
Sweden
15 S. Hedlund
J. Magnússon
Iceland
18 J. Magnússon
S. Olsson
Sweden
10 S. Olsson
N. Hult
Sweden
23 N. Hult
T. Silverholt
Substitution
Sweden
11 T. Silverholt
P. Frick
Substitution
Sweden
17 P. Frick
A. Zeneli
Substitution
Kosovo
9 A. Zeneli
E. Bishesari
Sweden
25 E. Bishesari
A. Jallow
Sweden
17 A. Jallow
A. Erlingmark
Sweden
3 A. Erlingmark
J. Bager
Substitution
Denmark
5 J. Bager
F. Eriksson
Sweden
18 F. Eriksson
F. Ottosson
Substitution
Sweden
16 F. Ottosson
D. Kjær Kruse
Denmark
15 D. Kjær Kruse
T. Heintz
Norway
14 T. Heintz
K. Thordarson
Substitution
Iceland
23 K. Thordarson
S. Alioum Moubarak
Substitution
Cameroon
11 S. Alioum Moubarak
A. Bergmark-Wiberg
Sweden
29 A. Bergmark-Wiberg

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 06, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 1 · Regular Season
Stadium
Borås Arena
Capacity
17800
Attendance
14344
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ , Clear
Referees
Victor Wolf
Mikael Hallin
Daniel Gustavsson
Niclas Karlsson

Statistics

Possession
ELF
45%
GOT
55%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
4 Big Chances Created 0
12 Shots 6
47 Dangerous attacks 42
40 Possession 60
6 Corners 7
7 Free kicks 12
1 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

49 Ball Safe 57
71 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50
21 Throwins 29
10 Successful Dribbles 4
14 Dribble Attempts 8
0 Hit Woodwork 1
11 Goal Attempts 6
11 Goal Kicks 11
2 Assists 0
5 Substitutions 4

Attacking

2 Big Chances Missed 0
84 Attacks 96

Possession

38 Successful Long Passes 19
54 Successful Long Passes Percentage 34
76 Successful Passes Percentage 83
255 Successful Passes 422
337 Passes 508
71 Long Passes 56
11 Key Passes 6

Defensive

1 Saves 3
35 Duels Won 35
7 Interceptions 12
7 Tackles 11

Build-up

3 Accurate Crosses 5
15 Total Crosses 27

Discipline

3 Offsides 1
12 Fouls 7

Lineup

Referee : Victor Wolf

Starting XI ▼

31
Isak Pettersson
Isak Pettersson Goalkeeper
4
Thomas Isherwood
Thomas Isherwood Defender
6
R. Wikström
R. Wikström Defender
8
Sebastian Holmén
Sebastian Holmén Defender
2
Rufai Mohammed
Rufai Mohammed
Defender82'
10
S. Olsson
S. Olsson Midfielder
15
Simon Hedlund
Simon Hedlund Midfielder
25
A. Sigurpálsson
A. Sigurpálsson
Attacker69'
18
J. Magnússon
J. Magnússon Midfielder
23
Niklas Hult
Niklas Hult Midfielder
9
Arbër Zeneli
Arbër Zeneli Attacker
20
Gottfrid Rapp
Gottfrid Rapp
Midfielder74'
11
T. Silverholt
T. Silverholt Attacker
19
Julius Beck
Julius Beck
Midfielder69'
17
Per Frick
Per Frick Attacker
21
Leo Östman
Leo Östman
Attacker74'
Referee : Victor Wolf

Starting XI ▼

25
Elis Bishesari
Elis Bishesari Goalkeeper
3
August Erlingmark
August Erlingmark Defender
5
Jonas Bager
Jonas Bager Defender
4
Rockson Yeboah
Rockson Yeboah
Defender82'
17
Alexander Jallow
Alexander Jallow Defender
18
Felix Eriksson
Felix Eriksson Defender
11
Saidou Alioum Moubarak
Saidou Alioum Moubarak Midfielder
9
Max Fenger
Max Fenger
Attacker69'
14
Tobias Heintz
Tobias Heintz Midfielder
15
David Kruse
David Kruse Midfielder
16
Filip Ottosson
Filip Ottosson Midfielder
8
Imam Jagne
Imam Jagne
Midfielder69'
23
Kolbeinn Thórdarson
Kolbeinn Thórdarson Midfielder
26
Benjamin Brantlind
Benjamin Brantlind
Midfielder69'
29
Adam Bergmark-Wiberg
Adam Bergmark-Wiberg Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
90+3'
Event
Imam Jagne
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Rufai Mohammed → Sebastian Holmén
8th Substitution
82'
82'
Event
Rockson Yeboah → Jonas Bager
9th Substitution
Event
Leo Östman → Per Frick
6th Substitution
74'
Event
Gottfrid Rapp → Arbër Zeneli
7th Substitution
74'
Event
A. Sigurpálsson → Simon Hedlund
5th Substitution
69'
Event
Julius Beck → T. Silverholt
1st Substitution
69'
69'
Event
Imam Jagne → Filip Ottosson
4th Substitution
69'
Event
Benjamin Brantlind → Kolbeinn Thórdarson
2nd Substitution
69'
Event
Max Fenger → Saidou Alioum Moubarak
3rd Substitution
Event
J. Magnússon
Header / 2nd Goal
65'
Event
Sebastian Holmén
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
62'
Event
T. Silverholt
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
59'
57'
Event
Alexander Jallow
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
42'
Event
7th Yellowcard
42'
Event
Kolbeinn Thórdarson
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
39'
Event
6th Yellowcard
39'
Event
Jonas Bager
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Elfsborg exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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