Como vs Pisa Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia Sun, 22 Mar - 11:30 AM
Serie A
Como COM
5 Winner 0
Pisa PIS
Full Time Sun, 22 Mar 11:30 AM
Round 30 Regular Season
Assane Diao  - 7'
Anastasios Douvikas  - 29'
Martin Baturina - 48'
Nico Paz - 75'
Máximo Perrone - 81'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

The match has officially finished, with Como securing a decisive 3-0 full-time victory over Pisa. Como controlled the fixture early on, carrying a comfortable 2-0 advantage into the halftime break before adding a third goal in the second half. This result was firmly aligned with the pre-match market, which heavily favored the home side with a 72.5% implied probability of winning, compared to an 18% chance for a draw and a mere 9.5% for a Pisa win. Despite being the recognized stronger team, Como's commanding performance still registered as a significant deviation in their favor. The underlying metrics fully supported the final scoreline, as the outcome was completely consistent with the expected goals data. Como generated a solid 1.62 xG while suffocating Pisa, holding the visitors to a minimal 0.51 xG. The home side completely dictated the tempo, controlling a massive 73% of possession compared to Pisa's 27%. The overall efficiency shift remained strictly in line with the statistics, as Como confidently capitalized on their attacking sequences. The match concluded without any red cards, ensuring the one-sided result was a true reflection of Como's sheer dominance.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Como showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was consistent with expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Aligned with xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Como F. Fàbregas i Soler
F. Fàbregas i Soler
VS
Pisa O. Hiljemark
O. Hiljemark
1.73
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.58
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Juventus Rank: 85 W
AC Milan Rank: 87 D
Fiorentina Rank: 77 L
Atalanta Rank: 86 D
Torino Rank: 74 W
Lazio Rank: 81 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Bologna Rank: 80 L
Fiorentina Rank: 77 L
AC Milan Rank: 87 L
Hellas Verona Rank: 65 D
Sassuolo Rank: 74 L
Inter Rank: 90 L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 3 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Como
72.51%
Draw
18.02%
Away Pisa
9.46%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
84.89
55.59
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Como
Pisa
Power Score
84.89
55.59
League Position
4
20
Global Rank
35
315

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Como — Opponent-weighted form score
Pisa — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Como Pisa

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Como

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Pisa

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Como ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Pisa
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
22.12
32.41
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
32.41
22.12
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Como -1.09 Efficiency Index
vs
Pisa +1.09 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Como
Pisa
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Como
vs
Pisa
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Como Pisa
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Como Pisa
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Como
Pisa
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Como COM Home
7 matches
Pisa PIS Away
Match Record
2
Wins
2
3
Draws
3
2
Losses
2
Goals
12
Goals Scored
10
10
Goals Conceded
12
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-27T12:23:51+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-5-2
Pitch
J. Butez
France
1 J. Butez
I. Brempt
Belgium
77 I. Brempt
D. Santos Silva
Substitution
Brazil
34 D. Santos Silva
M. Kempf
Germany
2 M. Kempf
A. Moreno Pérez
Spain
18 A. Moreno Pérez
M. Perrone
Argentina
23 M. Perrone
L. Da Cunha
Substitution
France
33 (C) L. Da Cunha
A. Diao Diaoune
Substitution
Senegal
38 A. Diao Diaoune
N. Paz Martínez
Argentina
10 N. Paz Martínez
J. Rodríguez Caraballo
Substitution
Spain
17 J. Rodríguez Caraballo
A. Douvikas
Substitution
Greece
11 A. Douvikas
N. Andrade
Brazil
12 N. Andrade
S. Canestrelli
Substitution
Italy
5 S. Canestrelli
R. Albiol Tortajada
Spain
39 R. Albiol Tortajada
A. Caracciolo
Italy
4 (C) A. Caracciolo
S. Angori
Italy
3 S. Angori
E. Akinsanmiro
Substitution
Nigeria
14 E. Akinsanmiro
M. Höjholt
Denmark
8 M. Höjholt
F. Loyola
Substitution
Chile
35 F. Loyola
M. Marcel Léris
Algeria
7 M. Marcel Léris
M. Tramoni
Substitution
France
10 M. Tramoni
S. Moreo
Substitution
Italy
32 S. Moreo

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 22, 2026, 11:30 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Capacity
13602
Attendance
11137
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ , Clear
Referees
Vito Mastrodonato
Domenico Fontemurato
Giuseppe Mucera
Luca Pairetto

Statistics

Possession
COM
68%
PIS
32%

Top Statistics

5 Goals 0
2 Big Chances Created 0
6 Shots 3
43 Dangerous attacks 35
73 Possession 27
7 Corners 1
6 Free kicks 5
0 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

76 Ball Safe 62
10 Goal Attempts 3
9 Successful Headers 10
23 Throwins 21
17 Dribble Attempts 10
41 Successful Dribbles Percentage 40
3 Goal Kicks 7
7 Successful Dribbles 4
3 Injuries 1
3 Assists 0
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

155 Attacks 46

Possession

632 Successful Passes 197
93 Successful Passes Percentage 79
679 Passes 248
20 Successful Long Passes 17
30 Long Passes 35
67 Successful Long Passes Percentage 49
11 Key Passes 4

Defensive

21 Tackles 24
7 Interceptions 8
0 Saves 2

Build-up

20 Total Crosses 14
5 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

5 Fouls 6
2 Offsides 3

Lineup

Referee : Luca Pairetto

Starting XI ▼

1
Jean Butez
Jean Butez Goalkeeper
6.77
2
Marc Oliver Kempf
Marc Oliver Kempf Defender
7.25
18
Alberto Moreno
Alberto Moreno Defender
6.9
34
Diego Carlos
Diego Carlos Defender
7.56
5
Edoardo Goldaniga
Edoardo Goldaniga
Defender77'
6.72
77
Ignace Van der Brempt
Ignace Van der Brempt Defender
6.83
10
Nico Paz
Nico Paz Midfielder
8.23
17
Jesús Rodríguez
Jesús Rodríguez Midfielder
6.47
20
Martin Baturina
Martin Baturina
Midfielder37'
7.61
23
Máximo Perrone
Máximo Perrone Midfielder
7.51
33
Lucas Da Cunha
Lucas Da Cunha (C) Midfielder
7.18
6
Maxence Caqueret
Maxence Caqueret
Midfielder59'
6.77
38
Assane Diao
Assane Diao Midfielder
8.6
19
Nicolas Kühn
Nicolas Kühn
Attacker77'
7.1
11
Anastasios Douvikas
Anastasios Douvikas Attacker
7.16
7
Álvaro Morata
Álvaro Morata
Attacker59'
6.51
Referee : Luca Pairetto

Starting XI ▼

12
Nícolas
Nícolas Goalkeeper
5.96
4
Antonio Caracciolo
Antonio Caracciolo (C) Defender
5.95
5
Simone Canestrelli
Simone Canestrelli Defender
5.82
19
Samuel Iling-Junior
Samuel Iling-Junior
Attacker76'
6.44
39
Raúl Albiol
Raúl Albiol Defender
6.37
3
Samuele Angori
Samuele Angori Midfielder
5.9
7
Mehdi Léris
Mehdi Léris Midfielder
6.62
8
Malthe Højholt
Malthe Højholt Midfielder
6.41
14
Ebenezer Akinsanmiro
Ebenezer Akinsanmiro Midfielder
6.36
9
Henrik Meister
Henrik Meister
Attacker46'
6.4
35
Felipe Loyola
Felipe Loyola Midfielder
6.31
23
C. Stengs
C. Stengs
Midfielder64'
5.99
10
Matteo Tramoni
Matteo Tramoni Attacker
6.66
36
Gabriele Piccinini
Gabriele Piccinini
Midfielder76'
6.55
32
Stefano Moreo
Stefano Moreo Attacker
5.55
81
Filip Stojilkovic
Filip Stojilkovic
Attacker51'
6.53

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Máximo Perrone
Right foot shot / 5th Goal
81'
Event
Edoardo Goldaniga  → Diego Carlos
9th Substitution
77'
Event
Nicolas Kühn → Assane Diao 
10th Substitution
77'
76'
Event
Gabriele Piccinini → Matteo Tramoni
8th Substitution
76'
Event
Samuel Iling-Junior → Simone Canestrelli
7th Substitution
Event
Nico Paz
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
75'
64'
Event
C. Stengs → Felipe Loyola
6th Substitution
61'
Event
Henrik Meister
Var
Event
Maxence Caqueret → Lucas Da Cunha 
4th Substitution
59'
Event
Álvaro Morata → Anastasios Douvikas 
5th Substitution
59'
51'
Event
Samuele Angori
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
51'
Event
Filip Stojilkovic → Stefano Moreo
3rd Substitution
Event
Martin Baturina
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
48'
46'
Event
Henrik Meister → Ebenezer Akinsanmiro
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Martin Baturina → Jesús Rodríguez
1st Substitution
37'
35'
Event
Simone Canestrelli
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Anastasios Douvikas 
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
29'
Event
Assane Diao 
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
7'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be two minutes of stoppage time.
90
Update Update
Marc Oliver Kempf from Como earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
90
Update Update
Mehdi Léris from Pisa commits a foul.
90
Update Update
Offside call against Como. Nicolas Kühn has been flagged for being offside.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded, with Como dominating the match and finishing with a score of 5-0 against Pisa.
87
Update Update
Offside call against Como. Álvaro Morata has been flagged for being offside.
84
Attempt Attempt
A shot attempt is thwarted. Henrik Meister from Pisa takes a right-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Malthe Højholt.
81
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Como 5, Pisa 0. Máximo Perrone scores for Como with a right-footed shot from just a few yards out.
78
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Como: Edoardo Goldaniga comes on to take the place of Diego Carlos.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Como: Nicolas Kühn comes on to take the place of Assane Diao.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Pisa: Samuel Iling-Junior comes on to take the place of Simone Canestrelli.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Pisa: Gabriele Piccinini comes on to take the place of Mattéo Tramoni.
75
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Como leads 4-0 against Pisa. Nico Paz scores with a left-footed shot from the center of the box, placing the ball into the bottom left corner. The assist came from Alberto Moreno.
73
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
72
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Como after a play that resulted in a deflection off Antonio Caracciolo.
72
Update Update
The game is currently on hold due to an injury to Marc Oliver Kempf from Como.
72
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Álvaro Morata's header from the center of the box goes just over the bar. The chance was set up by Martin Baturina, who delivered a cross after a corner.
70
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
69
Attempt Attempt
Nico Paz's attempt from outside the penalty area is thwarted. The shot, taken with his left foot, was blocked after receiving a setup from Martin Baturina.
69
Update Update
The game is currently on hold due to an injury to Raúl Albiol from Pisa.
66
Update Update
Pisa is flagged for offside as Filip Stojilkovic is caught in an offside position.
65
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Como, following a foul by Mehdi Léris.
65
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Diego Carlos from Como took a right-footed shot from the center of the box, but it went wide to the left. The chance was set up by Nico Paz, who delivered a cross after a corner kick.
64
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Pisa: Calvin Stengs comes on to take the place of Felipe Loyola.
64
Update Update
Henrik Meister from Pisa is awarded a free kick in his own half of the field.
64
Update Update
Diego Carlos commits a foul - Como.
62
Update Update
Alberto Moreno commits a foul - Como.
62
Update Update
Mehdi Léris from Pisa has been awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
60
Update Update
Offside call against Pisa. Filip Stojilkovic has been flagged for being in an offside position.
59
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Como: Maxence Caqueret comes on to take the place of Lucas da Cunha.
59
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Como: Álvaro Morata comes on to take the place of Tasos Douvikas.
55
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Felipe Loyola from Pisa took a right-footed shot from over 35 yards out, but it went wide to the right after a quick counterattack.
52
Update Update
Offside call against Pisa. Mehdi Léris has been flagged for being in an offside position.
51
Update Update
Assane Diao from Como earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
51
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Pisa: Filip Stojilkovic comes on to take the place of Stefano Moreo.
51
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Samuele Angori from Pisa receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
51
Update Update
Samuele Angori from Pisa commits a foul.
51
Update Update
Assane Diao from Como has been awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
48
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Como leads 3-0 against Pisa. Martin Baturina scores with a right-footed shot from the center of the box, placing it perfectly into the bottom left corner.
46
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Pisa after a deflection off Marc Oliver Kempf.
46
Attempt Attempt
A shot attempt is thwarted. Felipe Loyola from Pisa takes a left-footed strike from the middle of the penalty area, but it's blocked. The assist came from Henrik Meister.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Pisa: Henrik Meister comes on to take the place of Ebenezer Akinsanmiro.
45
Update Update
The second half is underway with Como leading Pisa 2-0.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Diego Carlos - Como.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be two minutes of stoppage time.
45
Update Update
The first half concludes with Como leading Pisa 2-0.
45
Update Update
Nícolas from Pisa earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Como after Raúl Albiol gave it away.
44
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Diego Carlos from Como heads the ball from the center of the box, but it goes over the goal and to the right. The chance was set up by Martin Baturina, who delivered a cross after a corner kick.
37
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
37
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Como: Martin Baturina comes on to replace Jesús Rodríguez, who has been injured.
36
Update Update
The game is currently paused due to an injury to Jesús Rodríguez.
35
Update Update
Simone Canestrelli from Pisa commits a foul.
35
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Simone Canestrelli from Pisa receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
35
Update Update
Tasos Douvikas from Como earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
34
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Como after Mehdi Léris allowed the ball to go out.
34
Update Update
Nícolas from Pisa earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
34
Update Update
Tasos Douvikas from Como earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
34
Update Update
Foul committed by Diego Carlos - Como.
34
Attempt Attempt
The attempt was thwarted. Nico Paz from Como directed a header from the middle of the box, but it was expertly saved by Nícolas in the top center of the goal. The chance was set up by Lucas da Cunha's cross.
33
Update Update
Samuele Angori from Pisa commits a foul.
33
Update Update
Assane Diao from Como earns a free kick on the right side of the field.
32
Attempt Attempt
A shot attempt is thwarted. Antonio Caracciolo from Pisa tries a left-footed strike from the middle of the penalty area, but it gets blocked.
32
Attempt Attempt
The shot is deflected. Felipe Loyola from Pisa tries a right-footed effort from the middle of the penalty area, but it's blocked. He received assistance from Simone Canestrelli.
31
Update Update
Malthe Højholt from Pisa earns a free kick on the right side of the field.
31
Update Update
Foul committed by Jesús Rodríguez - Como.
29
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Como leads 2-0 against Pisa. Tasos Douvikas scores with a right-footed shot from the center of the box, placing the ball into the bottom right corner. The goal came after a quick counterattack, with Assane Diao providing the assist.
29
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Assane Diao from Como took a left-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but it went wide to the left. The chance was set up by Nico Paz during a quick counter-attack.
26
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Mattéo Tramoni from Pisa takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the box, but it sails over the crossbar.
24
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
24
Update Update
The game is currently paused due to an injury to Felipe Loyola from Pisa.
24
Update Update
The game is currently on hold due to an injury to Diego Carlos from Como.
23
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Ignace Van der Brempt from Como took a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but it went wide.
19
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Nico Paz from Como tried to score with a header from the middle of the penalty area, but it went wide.
17
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Como after Simone Canestrelli allowed the ball to go out.
16
Update Update
Felipe Loyola from Pisa commits a foul.
16
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Como after a play that resulted in a deflection off Antonio Caracciolo.
16
Update Update
Nico Paz from Como earns a free kick in the offensive half of the field.
10
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
9
Update Update
The game is currently paused due to an injury to Jesús Rodríguez.
8
Update Update
Jesús Rodríguez - Como - earns a free kick on the left flank.
8
Update Update
Felipe Loyola from Pisa commits a foul.
7
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Como takes the lead with a score of 1-0 against Pisa. Assane Diao fires a left-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, finding the bottom right corner of the net.
2
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Felipe Loyola from Pisa takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it goes wide.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Como exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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