Club Brugge vs Anderlecht Prediction, Preview and Stats

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Jan Breydelstadion Sun, 8 Mar - 12:30 PM
Pro League
Club Brugge BRU
2 – 2
Anderlecht ADL
Full Time Sun, 8 Mar 12:30 PM
Nicolò Tresoldi - 42', 85'
Goal
|
Goal
Nathan De Cat - 36'
Tristan Degreef - 53'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Club Brugge 2–2 Anderlecht. The match ended in a draw. Club Brugge showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 69%–31%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Club Brugge showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
E. Lambrechts
E. Lambrechts
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 10.81
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.88
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.19
W. De Cremer
W. De Cremer
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 10.81
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.88
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.19
K. Monteny
K. Monteny
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 10.81
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.88
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.19
J. De Weirdt
J. De Weirdt
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 10.81
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.88
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.19
Club Brugge I. Leko
I. Leko
VS
Anderlecht J. Taravel
J. Taravel
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.55
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Zulte-Waregem Rank: W
La Louvière Rank: L
Genk Rank: W
Gent Rank: W
Dender Rank: W
Sint-Truiden Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
OH Leuven Rank: W
Zulte-Waregem Rank: W
La Louvière Rank: D
Genk Rank: L
Standard Liège Rank: L
Dender Rank: D
22
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
22 - 24 - 22
22

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Club Brugge
66.06%
Draw
20.33%
Away Anderlecht
13.61%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
67.86
52.38
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Club Brugge
Anderlecht
Power Score
67.86
52.38
League Position
2
4
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Club Brugge — Opponent-weighted form score
Anderlecht — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Club Brugge Anderlecht

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Club Brugge

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Anderlecht

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Club Brugge ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Anderlecht
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
40.29
48.06
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
48.06
40.29
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Club Brugge -0.69 Efficiency Index
vs
Anderlecht +0.69 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Club Brugge
Anderlecht
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Club Brugge ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Anderlecht
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Club Brugge Anderlecht
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Club Brugge Anderlecht
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Club Brugge
Anderlecht
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 19 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Club Brugge BRU Home
19 matches
Anderlecht ADL Away
Match Record
8
Wins
3
8
Draws
8
3
Losses
8
Goals
31
Goals Scored
19
19
Goals Conceded
31
+12
Goal Difference
-12
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-09T00:04:14+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 08, 2026, 12:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Stadium
Jan Breydelstadion
Capacity
29975
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Erik Lambrechts
Wesli De Cremer
Kevin Monteny
Jo De Weirdt

Statistics

Possession
BRU
66%
ADL
34%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2
3 Big Chances Created 2
13 Shots 5
76 Dangerous attacks 38
69 Possession 31
11 Corners 2
14 Free kicks 7
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 5
1 Hit Woodwork 1
20 Successful Headers 16
6 Goal Kicks 14
24 Throwins 15
6 Successful Dribbles 4
55 Successful Dribbles Percentage 27
5 Goal Attempts 3
11 Dribble Attempts 15
1 Assists 1
43 Ball Safe 35

Attacking

2 Big Chances Missed 2
133 Attacks 58

Possession

48 Successful Long Passes Percentage 41
599 Passes 272
30 Successful Long Passes 20
85 Successful Passes Percentage 71
20 Key Passes 8
509 Successful Passes 192
62 Long Passes 49

Defensive

6 Interceptions 7
15 Tackles 15
3 Saves 6

Build-up

35 Total Crosses 10
19 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

7 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 1

Events

2ND-HALF
90'
Event
Lucas Hey → Thorgan Hazard
9th Substitution
90'
Event
Ali Maamar → Ludwig Augustinsson
10th Substitution
Event
Hugo Vetlesen → Raphael Onyedika
8th Substitution
89'
86'
Event
Thorgan Hazard
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Nicolò Tresoldi
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
85'
Event
Bjorn Meijer → Joaquin Seys
6th Substitution
78'
Event
Hugo Siquet → Kyriani Sabbe
7th Substitution
78'
77'
Event
Mario Stroeykens → Tristan Degreef
5th Substitution
Event
Mamadou Diakhon → Aleksandar Stanković
3rd Substitution
75'
Event
Romeo Vermant → Carlos Forbs
4th Substitution
75'
65'
Event
Adriano Bertaccini → Nathan De Cat
1st Substitution
65'
Event
Killian Sardella → Ilay Camara
2nd Substitution
63'
Event
Ludwig Augustinsson
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
53'
Event
Tristan Degreef
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
1ST-HALF
Event
Nicolò Tresoldi
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
42'
Event
Christos Tzolis
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
41'
36'
Event
Nathan De Cat
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
27'
Event
Ilay Camara
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Club Brugge exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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