Ceuta vs Racing Santander Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube Sun, 26 Apr - 7:00 PM
La Liga 2
Ceuta Ceuta
Versus
Racing Santander RAC
KICKOFF : Sun, 26 Apr - 7:00 PM
Round 37 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, mid-table Ceuta hosts league leaders Racing Santander in a La Liga 2 regular season clash during the 2025/2026 campaign. Racing Santander enters as the stronger side, boasting a power score of 31.85 against Ceuta's 21.9, translating to a clear 10-point advantage. Their form scores further underscore this dominance, with Racing at 23.78 compared to Ceuta's modest 13.06. While Racing occupies the top spot, Ceuta sits 10th, highlighting the gap in consistency and overall quality. Detailed metrics like efficiency and set-piece performance remain unavailable due to low-confidence proxies and absent xG data, limiting granular insights into attacking transitions or defensive resilience. Nonetheless, Racing's superior standing suggests they control the structural narrative, potentially exploiting Ceuta's vulnerabilities in open play. This matchup pits ambition against stability, with Racing aiming to extend their lead.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Racing Santander possesses a 10-point power advantage over Ceuta and leads the La Liga 2 table in 1st place while Ceuta sits 10th.
  • Form: Racing Santander's form score stands at 23.78, significantly higher than Ceuta's 13.06.
  • Squad: Racing Santander's higher power score of 31.85 reflects stronger squad depth compared to Ceuta's 21.9.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: No specific transition metrics are available due to limited data.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece data shows low confidence with proxies used and no xG available for Ceuta or Racing Santander.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables are unavailable as the add-on is not enabled.
  • Market: Baseline split: Ceuta 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Racing Santander 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Ceuta J. Romero Gil
J. Romero Gil
VS
Racing Santander J. López Menéndez
J. López Menéndez
1.28
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.84
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Zaragoza Rank: D
Real Sociedad II Rank: D
SD Eibar Rank: L
Burgos Rank: D
Cádiz Rank: W
Leganés Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Sociedad II Rank: W
Almería Rank: W
FC Andorra Rank: L
Sporting Gijón Rank: W
Real Zaragoza Rank: L
Albacete Rank: L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Ceuta
0%
Draw
0%
Away Racing Santander
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
21.9
31.85
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Ceuta
Racing Santander
Power Score
21.9
31.85
League Position
10
1
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Ceuta — Opponent-weighted form score
Racing Santander — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Ceuta Racing Santander

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Ceuta Ceuta Home
1 matches
Racing Santander RAC Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
1
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-19T02:12:14+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
G. Vallejo Delgado
13 G. Vallejo Delgado
A. Caparrós Guzmán
4 A. Caparrós Guzmán
C. Hernández Alarcón
6 C. Hernández Alarcón
J. Matos García
3 J. Matos García
C. Redruello Nimo
16 C. Redruello Nimo
A. Tuhami
23 A. Tuhami
Y. Bodiger
14 Y. Bodiger
M. Illescas Montaño
12 M. Illescas Montaño
A. Ahmed Ahmed
7 A. Ahmed Ahmed
M. Fernández Sánchez
9 M. Fernández Sánchez
K. De La Fuente
18 K. De La Fuente
Lars Eriksson
13 Lars Eriksson
J. Salinas Viadero
32 J. Salinas Viadero
J. Castro Urdín
5 J. Castro Urdín
J. Hernando Riol
4 J. Hernando Riol
P. Ramón Parra
21 P. Ramón Parra
G. Puerta Molano
19 G. Puerta Molano
M. Gueye
14 M. Gueye
I. Vicente Elorduy
10 I. Vicente Elorduy
P. Canales Urtasun
18 P. Canales Urtasun
A. Martín García
11 A. Martín García
G. Guliashvili
7 G. Guliashvili

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 37 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
Capacity
6500
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

13
Guillermo Vallejo
Guillermo Vallejo Goalkeeper
6.82
18
Konrad de la Fuente
Konrad de la Fuente Attacker
6.69
7
Aisar Ahmed
Aisar Ahmed Attacker
6.67
9
Marcos Fernández
Marcos Fernández Centre Forward
6.9
16
Carlos Redru
Carlos Redru Left Back
6.35
23
Anuar
Anuar Central Midfield
6.74
4
Albert Caparrós
Albert Caparrós Right Back
6.57
14
Yann Bodiger
Yann Bodiger Central Midfield
6.62
3
José Matos
José Matos Left Back
6.71
6
Carlos Hernández
Carlos Hernández Right Back
6.83
12
Marino Illescas
Marino Illescas Central Midfield
6.87

Starting XI ▼

13
Simon Eriksson
Simon Eriksson Goalkeeper
6.62
7
Giorgi Guliashvili
Giorgi Guliashvili Centre Forward
6.94
10
Iñigo Vicente
Iñigo Vicente Left Wing
7.45
19
Gustavo Puerta
Gustavo Puerta Defensive Midfield
6.94
21
Pablo Ramón
Pablo Ramón Right Back
6.68
32
Jorge Salinas
Jorge Salinas Left Back
6.69
11
Andrés Martín
Andrés Martín Right Wing
7.29
14
Maguette Gueye
Maguette Gueye Defensive Midfield
6.69
4
Manu Hernando
Manu Hernando Right Back
6.76
5
Javi Castro
Javi Castro Left Back
6.79
18
Peio Canales
Peio Canales Attacking Midfield
7.05

CONCLUSION

Racing Santander's elevated power and form metrics position them as favorites to navigate this fixture successfully, leveraging their league-leading status against a Ceuta side struggling for momentum in 10th. Without detailed efficiency or set-piece breakdowns, the focus shifts to Racing's ability to dominate possession and transitions, exploiting any home-side lapses. Ceuta must summon a resilient defensive structure to counter the visitors' quality, but the 10-point gulf suggests Racing will edge proceedings. Expect a controlled away performance that reinforces their title credentials.

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