Catanzaro vs Empoli Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
Mon, 9 Mar - 12:08 AM
Serie B
Catanzaro
CAT
3
2
2
Empoli
EMP
Full Time
Mon, 9 Mar
12:08 AM
Filippo Pittarello - 56', 63'
Tommaso Cassandro - 73'
|
Salvatore Elia - 1'
Marco Nasti - 15'
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Apr 17
CONTEXT
Match is finished. Catanzaro 3–2 Empoli. The result saw Catanzaro take the points. Catanzaro showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 64%–36%.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Catanzaro showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
-
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
-
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
-
Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
-
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
-
Event impact: No major event distortion.
-
Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
V. Crezzini
Referee
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
14.44
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
2
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.24
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.16
G. Mokhtar
1st Assistant
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
14.44
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
2
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.24
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.16
A. El Filali
2nd Assistant
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
14.44
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
2
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.24
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.16
L. Massimi
4th Official
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
14.44
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
2
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.24
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.16
A. Aquilani
VS
A. Dionisi
1.72
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.13
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Frosinone
Rank:
D
Virtus Entella
Rank:
W
Mantova
Rank:
W
Pescara
Rank:
W
Reggiana
Rank:
W
Südtirol
Rank:
L
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Frosinone
Rank:
D
Reggiana
Rank:
D
Juve Stabia
Rank:
L
Palermo
Rank:
L
Modena
Rank:
D
Carrarese
Rank:
L
0
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 2
2
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Catanzaro
44.16%
Draw
28.23%
Empoli
27.61%
Movement
Changes since opening
Catanzaro
+1.47%
Draw
-0.05%
Empoli
-1.42%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
56.32
38.79
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Catanzaro
Empoli
Power Score
56.32
38.79
League Position
5
13
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Catanzaro
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Empoli
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Catanzaro Empoli
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Catanzaro
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Empoli
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Catanzaro
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Empoli
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
29.61
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
18.47
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Catanzaro
+1.09
Efficiency Index
vs
Empoli
-1.09
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Catanzaro
Empoli
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Catanzaro
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Empoli
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Catanzaro
Empoli
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
—
vs
—
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Catanzaro
Empoli
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
—
vs
—
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Catanzaro
Empoli
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Catanzaro
CAT
Home
1
matches
Empoli
EMP
Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
0
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-03-09T00:08:35+00:00
TEAM FORMATION
No team formation data available.
General Information
Date & Time
Mar 09, 2026, 12:08 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Stadium
Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
Capacity
15000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Valerio Crezzini
Gamal Mokhtar
A. El Filali
Luca Massimi
Statistics
Possession
CAT
61%
EMP
39%
Top Statistics
3
Goals
2
4
Big Chances Created
1
6
Shots
2
59
Dangerous attacks
33
64
Possession
36
9
Corners
1
26
Free kicks
9
1
Yellow Cards
2
Match Overview
11
Successful Dribbles Percentage
47
9
Dribble Attempts
15
2
Assists
2
17
Throwins
16
1
Goal Kicks
8
55
Ball Safe
56
1
Successful Dribbles
7
10
Goal Attempts
5
5
Substitutions
5
0
Hit Woodwork
1
Attacking
120
Attacks
90
2
Big Chances Missed
0
Possession
43
Successful Long Passes Percentage
35
19
Successful Long Passes
18
89
Successful Passes Percentage
75
497
Successful Passes
243
556
Passes
322
15
Key Passes
3
44
Long Passes
51
Defensive
17
Tackles
19
0
Saves
3
12
Interceptions
8
Build-up
37
Total Crosses
15
9
Accurate Crosses
4
Discipline
13
Fouls
25
1
Offsides
0
Events
2ND-HALF
N'Dri Koffi → Filippo Pittarello
10th Substitution
90+1'
Matias Antonini
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
86'
Ruggero Frosinini → Pietro Iemmello
8th Substitution
84'
Marco Pompetti → Simone Pontisso
9th Substitution
84'
84'
Flavio Bianchi → Marco Curto
7th Substitution
Tommaso Cassandro
Right foot shot / 5th Goal
73'
Patrick Nuamah → Mattia Liberali
6th Substitution
72'
66'
Daniel Fila → Edoardo Saporiti
5th Substitution
Filippo Pittarello
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
63'
58'
Lorenzo Ignacchiti → Rareș Ilie
4th Substitution
Filippo Pittarello
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
56'
Gabriele Alesi → Marco D'Alessandro
1st Substitution
46'
46'
Antonio Candela → Salvatore Elia
2nd Substitution
46'
Nicolas Haas → Gerard Yepes
3rd Substitution
1ST-HALF
24'
Luca Magnino
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
17'
Gerard Yepes
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
17'
4th Yellowcard
15'
Marco Nasti
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
1'
Salvatore Elia
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
CONCLUSION
Structural assessment: Catanzaro exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.