Casa Pia vs Sporting Braga Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal

Estádio Pina Manique Thu, 23 Apr - 7:15 PM

Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Casa Pia

Sporting Braga SBR

KICKOFF : Thu, 23 Apr - 7:15 PM

Round 26 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the Estádio Pina Manique, Casa Pia hosts Sporting Braga during the 2025/2026 Liga Portugal regular season. Casa Pia, rooted in 16th position, confronts a daunting challenge against fourth-placed Braga, who possess a substantial 19.6-point power advantage (37.06 vs. 17.48). Recent form underscores this gap, with Braga's 25.5 score dwarfing Casa Pia's 10.83. The home side struggles amid relegation pressures, while visitors chase higher honors. Advanced data remains sparse, featuring low-confidence set-piece proxies without xG insights. Braga emerges as the clear stronger team, poised to exploit structural disparities in this uneven contest. Historical venue dynamics favor resilience from Casa Pia, yet Braga's momentum suggests dominance.

TL;DR

Structural: Sporting Braga enjoys a 19.6-point power advantage over 16th-placed Casa Pia, who sit well below 4th-placed visitors.
Form: Braga's form rating stands at 25.5, surpassing Casa Pia's modest 10.83.
Squad: Power scores highlight Braga's superior squad depth at 37.06 against Casa Pia's 17.48.
Efficiency: No efficiency metrics available for either team in this fixture.
Transition: Transition play data unavailable, limiting analysis of counter-attacking potential.
Set pieces: Set-piece stats rely on low-confidence proxies without xG for both sides.
xVariable: xG data absent, preventing evaluation of underlying performance variables.
Market: Baseline split: Casa Pia 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Sporting Braga 0% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

Á. Pacheco

C. Vicens

0.86

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

2.05

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

3 - 0 - 4

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Casa Pia

Draw

Sporting Braga

Team Power Ranking

17.48

37.06

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Casa Pia

Sporting Braga

Power Score

17.48

37.06

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Casa Pia — Opponent-weighted form score

Sporting Braga — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Casa Pia Sporting Braga

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Casa Pia Casa Pia Home

7 matches

Sporting Braga SBR Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-5

Goal Difference

Expected Goals

xGA

Data last updated: 2026-04-17T02:05:58+00:00

General Information

Date & Time

Apr 23, 2026, 07:15 PM

Competition

2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 26 · Regular Season

Stadium

Estádio Pina Manique

Capacity

7000

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Manager ▼

Á. Pacheco Coach

Squad ▼

Ricardo Jorge Cecilia Batista Goalkeeper

—

Rodrigo Moura Nascimento Goalkeeper

Patrick Gilmar Sequeira Mejías Goalkeeper

Ivan Mandić Goalkeeper

José Miguel da Rocha Fonte Defender

André Geraldes de Barros Defender

Abdu Conté Defender

Gaizka Larrazabal Goikoetxea Defender

João Pedro Goulart Silva Defender

Kaique Rocha Lima Defender

David Sousa Albino Defender

Pedro Silva Rosas Defender

Domingos José Gabriel Bandeira Defender

Sebastián Pérez Cardona Midfielder

Lawrence Ofori Midfielder

Rafael Brito Midfielder

Iyad Mohamed Midfielder

Kevin Estiven Prieto Machado Midfielder

Jérémy Livolant Attacker

Cassiano Dias Moreira Attacker

—

Francisco Pedro Tiago Silva Attacker

Kelian Nsona Wa Saka Attacker

Claudio Mendes Vicente Attacker

Dailon Rocha Livramento do Rosario Attacker

Tiago Fontoura Fonseca Morais Attacker

João Miguel Vieira Freitas Silva Marques Attacker

Xander Severina Attacker

Oluwakorede David Osundina Attacker

Manager ▼

C. Vicens Coach

Squad ▼

Tiago Magalhães Sá Goalkeeper

Lukáš Horníček Goalkeeper

Alaa Bellaarouch Goalkeeper

Sikou Niakate Defender

Paulo André Rodrigues de Oliveira Defender

Víctor Gómez Perea Defender

Gustaf Lagerbielke Defender

Leonardo Filipe Cruz Lelo Defender

Leon Adrian Barišić Defender

Bright Akwo Arrey-Mbi Defender

Jónatas Xavier Zamith Oliveira Noro Defender

Florian Grillitsch Midfielder

João Filipe Iria Santos Moutinho Midfielder

Vitor Carvalho Vieira Midfielder

Rodrigo Zalazar Martínez Midfielder

Demir Ege Tıknaz Midfielder

Gorby Jean Baptiste Midfielder

Diego Henrique Oliveira Rodrigues Midfielder

Mario Dorgeles Midfielder

Yanis da Rocha Midfielder

Gabriel Silva Moscardo de Salles Midfielder

Ricardo Jorge Luz Horta Attacker

Francisco José Navarro Aliaga Attacker

Amine El Ouazzani Attacker

Pau Victor Delgado Attacker

Gabriel Martínez Aguilera Attacker

João Soares Aragão Attacker

Sandro Miguel Rodrigues Vidigal Attacker

CONCLUSION

Sporting Braga arrives as overwhelming favorites, leveraging superior power, form, and league standing to target victory at Casa Pia's home. The 19.6-point edge signals potential for control, though Estádio Pina Manique could inspire a gritty home response. Absent detailed metrics on efficiency, transitions, or set pieces, focus shifts to Braga's clear talent superiority. Casa Pia must summon defensive resolve against a high-flying attack. Expect Braga to dictate terms and secure points in this mismatch.

STANDINGS

CONTEXT