Brommapojkarna vs AIK Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Grimsta IP Mon, 13 Apr - 5:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna
2 – 2
AIK AIK
Full Time Mon, 13 Apr 5:00 PM
Round 2 Regular Season
Mads Hansen - 62'
Alex Timossi Andersson - 90+5'
Goal
|
Goal
Bersant Celina - 59'
Victor Gonçalves Andersson - 78'

CONTEXT

The match between Brommapojkarna and AIK is finished, ending in a 2-2 draw. The teams were level at 0-0 at halftime, with neither side able to break the deadlock in an even first period. AIK were viewed as the stronger side beforehand, yet the result carried a moderate deviation in relation to their performance. The efficiency shift remained in line with expectations across the full match, and the draw ultimately aligned with the pre-match projection. No red cards were issued to either team, leaving the contest unaffected by major disciplinary events. Brommapojkarna held 44 percent possession while AIK controlled 56 percent. With no expected goals data available, alignment with that metric cannot be determined, but the shared points reflected the anticipated outcome and allowed both sides to take something from the fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: AIK showed a moderate deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
T. Dahlin
T. Dahlin
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 15.38
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.5
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
M. Al Hakim
M. Al Hakim
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 15.38
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.5
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
F. Klyver
F. Klyver
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 15.38
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.5
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
M. Lundgren
M. Lundgren
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 15.38
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.5
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
Brommapojkarna U. Kristiansson
U. Kristiansson
VS
AIK J. Riveiro
J. Riveiro
0.6
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.4
0.6 i
Last 6 Opponents
Häcken Rank: D
Degerfors Rank: L
Halmstad Rank: D
GAIS Rank: L
Värnamo Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.4 i
Last 6 Opponents
Halmstad Rank: W
Halmstad Rank: L
Elfsborg Rank: W
Häcken Rank: D
Hammarby Rank: L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 3 - 15
15

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Brommapojkarna
3.23%
Draw
91.84%
Away AIK
4.93%

Movement

Changes since opening
Brommapojkarna
+3.04%
Draw
+87.26%
AIK
-90.3%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
13.61
21.18
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Brommapojkarna
AIK
Power Score
13.61
21.18
League Position
11
7
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Brommapojkarna — Opponent-weighted form score
AIK — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Brommapojkarna AIK

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Brommapojkarna

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

AIK

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Brommapojkarna ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy AIK
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
30.68
30.45
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
30.45
30.68
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Brommapojkarna +0.02 Efficiency Index
vs
AIK -0.02 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Brommapojkarna
AIK
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Brommapojkarna ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy AIK
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Brommapojkarna AIK
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Brommapojkarna AIK
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Brommapojkarna
AIK
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Brommapojkarna
vs
AIK
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Brommapojkarna AIK
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Brommapojkarna 0.40
AIK 0.23
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Brommapojkarna AIK
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Brommapojkarna 0.03
AIK 0.07
Brommapojkarna
AIK
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • AIK had peak pressure around 63'.
  • AIK started the game with stronger pressure.
Brommapojkarna Pressure AIK Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: AIK reached the top pressure at 63' (66.59).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 18 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna Home
18 matches
AIK AIK Away
Match Record
0
Wins
15
3
Draws
3
15
Losses
0
Goals
13
Goals Scored
48
48
Goals Conceded
13
-35
Goal Difference
+35
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-14T00:01:27+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
K. Cavallius
1 K. Cavallius
A. Andersson
Sweden
21 A. Andersson
J. Simpson
Sweden
23 J. Simpson
A. Troelsen
Denmark
3 A. Troelsen
O. Zandén
Sweden
6 O. Zandén
M. Hansen
Denmark
9 M. Hansen
S. Strand
Sweden
16 S. Strand
K. Barslund
Substitution
Denmark
27 K. Barslund
O. Okeke
Substitution
Norway
7 O. Okeke
D. Isso
Substitution
34 D. Isso
L. Björklund
Sweden
30 L. Björklund
K. Nordfeldt
Sweden
15 K. Nordfeldt
S. Wilson
Kenya
21 S. Wilson
I. Cissé
Ivory Coast
25 I. Cissé
A. Csongvai
Hungary
33 A. Csongvai
C. Pavey
Substitution
12 C. Pavey
A. Ali
Substitution
Sweden
18 A. Ali
J. Hove
Norway
8 J. Hove
D. Beširović
Bosnia and Herzegovina
19 D. Beširović
B. Celina
Substitution
Kosovo
10 B. Celina
Zadok Yohanna
Substitution
36 Zadok Yohanna
T. Ayari
Substitution
Sweden
45 T. Ayari

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 13, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 2 · Regular Season
Stadium
Grimsta IP
Capacity
7343
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Teddy Dahlin
Mohammed Al Hakim
Fredrik Klyver
Marcus Lundgren

Statistics

Possession
Brommapojkarna
45%
AIK
55%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2
3 Big Chances Created 1
5 Shots 3
30 Dangerous attacks 61
44 Possession 56
4 Corners 9
8 Free kicks 5
2 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

21 Throwins 22
45 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50
5 Successful Dribbles 11
11 Dribble Attempts 22
8 Goal Kicks 6
71 Ball Safe 74
3 Substitutions 5
1 Hit Woodwork 0
1 Injuries 1
6 Goal Attempts 8

Attacking

68 Attacks 126
2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

54 Successful Long Passes Percentage 58
33 Successful Long Passes 26
85 Successful Passes Percentage 87
396 Passes 501
7 Key Passes 9
61 Long Passes 45
335 Successful Passes 437

Defensive

40 Duels Won 47
15 Tackles 14
10 Interceptions 5
3 Saves 2

Build-up

13 Total Crosses 25
4 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

5 Fouls 8
2 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Mohammed Al Hakim

Starting XI ▼

1
Leo Cavallius
Leo Cavallius Goalkeeper
6.34
3
Andreas Troelsen
Andreas Troelsen Defender
7.15
6
Oliver Zandén
Oliver Zandén Defender
7.05
21
Alex Timossi Andersson
Alex Timossi Andersson Defender
5.86
23
Jordan Simpson
Jordan Simpson Defender
6.52
7
Obilor Denzel Okeke
Obilor Denzel Okeke Midfielder
6.54
33
Sion Oppong
Sion Oppong
Attacker46'
6.59
9
Mads Hansen
Mads Hansen Midfielder
7.32
16
Simon Strand
Simon Strand Midfielder
6.67
27
Kaare Barslund
Kaare Barslund Midfielder
6.78
4
Oskar Cotton
Oskar Cotton
Defender82'
6.48
30
Lukas Björklund
Lukas Björklund Attacker
7.05
34
David Isso
David Isso Attacker
6.44
14
Kamilcan Sever
Kamilcan Sever
Attacker75'
6.72
Referee : Mohammed Al Hakim

Starting XI ▼

15
Kristoffer Nordfeldt
Kristoffer Nordfeldt Goalkeeper
7.73
12
Charlie Pavey
Charlie Pavey Defender
6.83
5
Lukas Bergquist
Lukas Bergquist
Defender75'
6.48
21
Stanley Wilson
Stanley Wilson Defender
7.13
25
Ibrahim Cissé
Ibrahim Cissé Defender
8.29
33
Áron Csongvai
Áron Csongvai Defender
7.05
8
Johan Hove
Johan Hove Midfielder
7.08
10
Bersant Celina
Bersant Celina Midfielder
7.03
11
Victor Gonçalves Andersson
Victor Gonçalves Andersson
Midfielder74'
6.51
18
Abdihakim Ali
Abdihakim Ali Midfielder
6.84
48
Axel Kouame
Axel Kouame
Midfielder65'
6.63
19
Dino Besirovic
Dino Besirovic Midfielder
7.16
36
Z. Yohanna
Z. Yohanna Midfielder
8.17
4
Sotirios Papagiannopoulos
Sotirios Papagiannopoulos
Defender85'
6.19
45
Taha Ayari
Taha Ayari Attacker
6.71
29
Kevin Filling
Kevin Filling
Attacker65'
6.65

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Alex Timossi Andersson
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
90+5'
88'
Event
Lukas Bergquist
Time wasting / 5th Yellowcard
85'
Event
Sotirios Papagiannopoulos → Z. Yohanna
8th Substitution
Event
Oskar Cotton → Kaare Barslund
7th Substitution
82'
78'
Event
Victor Gonçalves Andersson
Header / 3rd Goal
Event
Kamilcan Sever → David Isso
6th Substitution
75'
75'
Event
Lukas Bergquist → Charlie Pavey
5th Substitution
74'
Event
Victor Gonçalves Andersson → Bersant Celina
4th Substitution
73'
Event
Dino Besirovic
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
65'
Event
Kevin Filling → Taha Ayari
2nd Substitution
65'
Event
Axel Kouame → Abdihakim Ali
3rd Substitution
Event
Mads Hansen
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
62'
59'
Event
Bersant Celina
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Sion Oppong → Obilor Denzel Okeke
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Simon Strand
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
33'
33'
Event
Abdihakim Ali
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Jordan Simpson
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
19'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: AIK exhibited a moderate deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Related Football Previews