Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction, Preview and Stats

Germany flag 2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
Stadion im Borussia-Park Today - 5:30 PM
Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach BMG
Versus
FSV Mainz 05 M05
KICKOFF : Today - 5:30 PM
Round 30 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Borussia Mönchengladbach welcome FSV Mainz 05 to Stadion im Borussia-Park for a crucial Bundesliga regular season clash in the 2025/2026 campaign. The Foals, perched in 15th position, face an uphill battle against 10th-placed Mainz, who arrive with superior firepower. Mainz's power score of 35.15 dwarfs Gladbach's 18.64, granting the visitors a commanding 16.5-point edge. Recent form mirrors this disparity, with Mainz at 30.28 versus the hosts' modest 13.89. Lacking recent outing details, both sides enter on current trajectories. League standings underscore Mainz's mid-table solidity against Gladbach's relegation skirmish. Set-piece metrics remain elusive due to low-confidence proxies and absent xG data, leveling that aspect. Home advantage might rally the Borussia-Park faithful, yet Mainz's metrics suggest control. Expect a tactical duel where visitors' edge could prevail.

TL;DR

  • Structural: FSV Mainz 05 possesses a 16.5-point power advantage over Borussia Mönchengladbach.
  • Form: Visitors hold a form score of 30.28, surpassing the hosts' 13.89.
  • Squad: Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 15th in the league, trailing FSV Mainz 05 in 10th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play data unavailable in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece stats rely on low-confidence proxies for both squads with no xG available.
  • xVariable: xG data absent, limiting advanced variable insights.
  • Market: Borussia Mönchengladbach 42.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.5% (Δ+0%) | FSV Mainz 05 31.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Borussia Mönchengladbach E. Polanski
E. Polanski
VS
FSV Mainz 05 U. Fischer
U. Fischer
1.23
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.32
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
RB Leipzig Rank: L
Heidenheim Rank: D
FC Köln Rank: D
St. Pauli Rank: W
FC Bayern München Rank: L
FC Union Berlin Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
SC Freiburg Rank: L
TSG Hoffenheim Rank: W
Eintracht Frankfurt Rank: W
Werder Bremen Rank: W
VfB Stuttgart Rank: D
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Rank: D
15
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
15 - 11 - 11
11
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Borussia Mönchengladbach
42.33%
Draw
26.53%
Away FSV Mainz 05
31.14%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
18.64
35.15
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Borussia Mönchengladbach
FSV Mainz 05
Power Score
18.64
35.15
League Position
15
10
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Borussia Mönchengladbach — Opponent-weighted form score
FSV Mainz 05 — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Borussia Mönchengladbach FSV Mainz 05

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 37 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Borussia Mönchengladbach BMG Home
37 matches
FSV Mainz 05 M05 Away
Match Record
15
Wins
11
11
Draws
11
11
Losses
15
Goals
50
Goals Scored
43
43
Goals Conceded
50
+7
Goal Difference
-7
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-19T01:04:44+00:00

STARTING XI

Pitch
M. Nicolas
Germany
33 M. Nicolas
J. Scally
United States
29 J. Scally
N. Elvedi
Switzerland
30 N. Elvedi
F. Cristian Chiarodia
Italy
2 F. Cristian Chiarodia
L. Ullrich
Germany
26 L. Ullrich
P. Sander
Germany
16 P. Sander
Y. Engelhardt
Germany
6 Y. Engelhardt
F. Honorat
France
9 F. Honorat
R. Reitz
Germany
27 R. Reitz
K. Stöger
Austria
7 K. Stöger
H. Tabakovic
Switzerland
15 H. Tabakovic
D. Batz
Germany
33 D. Batz
D. Kohr
Germany
31 D. Kohr
S. Posch
Austria
4 S. Posch
D. Vieira da Costa
Germany
21 D. Vieira da Costa
K. Sano
Japan
6 K. Sano
P. Mwene
Austria
2 P. Mwene
P. Nebel
Germany
8 P. Nebel
S. Kawasaki
Japan
24 S. Kawasaki
N. Veratschnig
Austria
22 N. Veratschnig
S. Becker
Suriname
23 S. Becker
P. Tietz
Germany
20 P. Tietz

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 19, 2026, 05:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion im Borussia-Park
Capacity
54057
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Martin Thomsen
Patrick Kessel
Lukas Benen
Tobias Welz

Lineup

Referee : Tobias Welz

Starting XI ▼

33
Moritz Nicolas
Moritz Nicolas Goalkeeper
7.09
2
Fabio Chiarodia
Fabio Chiarodia Defender
6.63
26
Lukas Ullrich
Lukas Ullrich Defender
6.56
29
Joe Scally
Joe Scally Defender
6.63
30
Nico Elvedi
Nico Elvedi Defender
6.94
6
Yannik Engelhardt
Yannik Engelhardt Midfielder
6.81
16
Philipp Sander
Philipp Sander Midfielder
6.94
27
Rocco Reitz
Rocco Reitz Midfielder
6.88
7
Kevin Stöger
Kevin Stöger Attacker
6.72
9
Franck Honorat
Franck Honorat Attacker
6.88
15
Haris Tabakovic
Haris Tabakovic Attacker
6.93
Referee : Tobias Welz

Starting XI ▼

33
Daniel Batz
Daniel Batz Goalkeeper
7.07
4
Stefan Posch
Stefan Posch Defender
6.84
21
Danny da Costa
Danny da Costa Defender
6.81
31
Dominik Kohr
Dominik Kohr Defender
6.8
6
Kaishu Sano
Kaishu Sano Midfielder
6.98
8
Paul Nebel
Paul Nebel Midfielder
6.9
24
Sota Kawasaki
Sota Kawasaki Midfielder
6.56
2
Phillipp Mwene
Phillipp Mwene Attacker
6.62
20
Phillip Tietz
Phillip Tietz Attacker
6.5
22
Nikolas Veratschnig
Nikolas Veratschnig Attacker
6.49
23
Sheraldo Becker
Sheraldo Becker Attacker
6.84

CONCLUSION

FSV Mainz 05 enter as clear favorites, leveraging their 16.5-point power lead and stronger form to challenge Borussia Mönchengladbach at home. The Foals' 15th-place perch demands a response, but Mainz's 10th standing and higher metrics point to dominance. Absent detailed set-piece or xG insights, raw advantages favor the away side in transitions and efficiency voids. Home crowd energy could spark Gladbach, yet visitors' consistency likely tips the scales. A narrow Mainz victory seems probable, extending their mid-table push while deepening hosts' woes.

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