Bologna vs Roma Prediction, Preview and Stats

Europe flag 2025/2026 Europa League, Europe
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Thu, 12 Mar - 5:45 PM
Europa League
Bologna BOL
1 1
Roma ROM
Full Time Thu, 12 Mar 5:45 PM
Federico Bernardeschi - 50'
Goal
|
Goal
Lorenzo Pellegrini - 71'

CONTEXT

The match between Bologna and Roma has officially finished, concluding in a tightly contested 1-1 draw after a goalless first half. Pre-match market indicators slightly favored Roma as the stronger team, giving them a 37.1% implied probability of an away victory, compared to Bologna's 31.6% and a 31.3% chance of a draw. Because Roma failed to secure the full three points, the final outcome was not aligned with the pre-match market. Consequently, this draw represents a significant deviation from expectations, with the deviation primarily falling on Roma. The action on the pitch was exceptionally balanced, which was clearly reflected in the possession statistics. Bologna managed a fractional advantage, holding 51% of the ball compared to Roma's 49%. Expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, meaning it is impossible to assess whether the final scoreline aligned with the underlying shot quality. Despite the unexpected outcome, the overall efficiency shift for both clubs remained in line with standard statistical projections. Finally, the match proceeded without any major disciplinary disruptions, as zero red cards were issued to either team.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Roma showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
E. Beitinger
E. Beitinger
1st Assistant 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 12.69
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.06
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.19
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Sven Jablonski
Sven Jablonski
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 12.69
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.06
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.19
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
H. Osmers
H. Osmers
4th Official 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 12.69
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.06
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.19
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
L. Koslowski
L. Koslowski
2nd Assistant 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 12.69
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.06
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.19
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Bologna V. Italiano
V. Italiano
VS
Roma G. Gasperini
G. Gasperini
1.83
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Celta de Vigo Rank: 81 W
Salzburg Rank: 69 W
Brann Rank: 69 D
FCSB Rank: 67 W
SC Freiburg Rank: 81 D
Aston Villa Rank: 94 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Celtic Rank: 78 W
FC Midtjylland Rank: 80 W
Rangers Rank: 77 W
Viktoria Plzeň Rank: 75 L
LOSC Lille Rank: 78 L
Nice Rank: 71 W
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 10 - 17
17

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Bologna
31.63%
Draw
31.31%
Away Roma
37.06%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
78.97
84.34
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Bologna
Roma
Power Score
78.97
84.34
League Position
10
8
Global Rank
61
35

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Bologna Opponent-weighted form score
Roma Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Bologna Roma

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Bologna

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Roma

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Bologna ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Roma
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
30.20
18.98
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
18.98
30.20
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Bologna +1.14 Efficiency Index
vs
Roma -1.14 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Bologna
Roma
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Bologna ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Roma
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Bologna Roma
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Bologna Roma
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Bologna
Roma
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Bologna BOL Home
0 matches
Roma ROM Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-13T00:56:17+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Pitch
Ł. Skorupski
Poland
1 Ł. Skorupski
J. Neto Lopes
Substitution
Portugal
17 J. Neto Lopes
N. Casale
Substitution
Italy
16 N. Casale
J. Lucumí Bonilla
Colombia
26 J. Lucumí Bonilla
J. Miranda González
Substitution
Spain
33 J. Miranda González
L. Ferguson
Scotland
19 (C) L. Ferguson
R. Freuler
Switzerland
8 R. Freuler
T. Pobega
Italy
4 T. Pobega
F. Bernardeschi
Italy
10 F. Bernardeschi
S. Castro
Substitution
Argentina
9 S. Castro
J. Rowe
Substitution
England
11 J. Rowe
M. Svilar
Serbia
99 M. Svilar
D. Ghilardi
Italy
87 D. Ghilardi
O. N'Dicka
France
5 O. N'Dicka
M. Çelik
Substitution
Turkey
19 M. Çelik
W. França Lima
Brazil
43 W. França Lima
N. Pisilli
Italy
61 N. Pisilli
N. El Aynaoui
Substitution
France
8 N. El Aynaoui
D. Rensch
Substitution
Netherlands
2 D. Rensch
B. Cristante
Italy
4 (C) B. Cristante
D. Malen
Netherlands
14 D. Malen
B. Zaragoza Martínez
Substitution
Spain
97 B. Zaragoza Martínez

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 12, 2026, 05:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Europa League, Europe
Stadium
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Capacity
36532
Attendance
26277
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Eduard Beitinger
Sven Jablonski
Harm Osmers
Lasse Koslowski

Statistics

Possession
BOL
54%
ROM
46%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
4 Big Chances Created 3
7 Shots 7
48 Dangerous attacks 26
51 Possession 49
7 Corners 3
18 Free kicks 13
3 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

11 Goal Attempts 6
5 Goal Kicks 8
85 Ball Safe 88
0 Injuries 1
27 Dribble Attempts 12
17 Successful Dribbles 4
63 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33
16 Successful Headers 16
20 Throwins 15
5 Substitutions 4
1 Assists 0
1 Hit Woodwork 1

Attacking

3 Big Chances Missed 3
102 Attacks 86

Possession

76 Successful Passes Percentage 78
311 Successful Passes 305
409 Passes 391
85 Long Passes 51
48 Successful Long Passes Percentage 31
41 Successful Long Passes 16
10 Key Passes 6

Defensive

11 Interceptions 15
18 Tackles 20
0 Saves 3
65 Duels Won 52

Build-up

16 Total Crosses 9
3 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

13 Fouls 18
1 Offsides 4

Lineup

Referee : Sven Jablonski

Starting XI

1
Lukasz Skorupski
Lukasz Skorupski Goalkeeper
6.39
16
Nicolò Casale
Nicolò Casale Defender
6.77
41
Martin Vitík
Martin Vitík
Defender84'
6.57
17
João Mário
João Mário Defender
6.31
20
Nadir Zortea
Nadir Zortea
Defender85'
6.66
26
Jhon Lucumí
Jhon Lucumí Defender
6.9
33
Juan Miranda
Juan Miranda Defender
6.92
22
Charalampos Lykogiannis
Charalampos Lykogiannis
Defender79'
6.84
4
Tommaso Pobega
Tommaso Pobega Midfielder
7.12
8
Remo Freuler
Remo Freuler Midfielder
6.8
19
Lewis Ferguson
Lewis Ferguson (C) Midfielder
6.93
9
Santiago Castro
Santiago Castro Attacker
6.46
24
Thijs Dallinga
Thijs Dallinga
Attacker79'
6.43
10
Federico Bernardeschi
Federico Bernardeschi Attacker
8.62
11
Jonathan Rowe
Jonathan Rowe Attacker
7.01
28
Nicolò Cambiaghi
Nicolò Cambiaghi
Attacker71'
6.72
Referee : Sven Jablonski

Starting XI

99
Mile Svilar
Mile Svilar Goalkeeper
6.64
5
Evan Ndicka
Evan Ndicka Defender
6.89
19
Zeki Çelik
Zeki Çelik Defender
6.81
22
Mario Hermoso
Mario Hermoso
Defender65'
6.23
87
Daniele Ghilardi
Daniele Ghilardi Defender
7.03
2
Devyne Rensch
Devyne Rensch Midfielder
6.89
12
Konstantinos Tsimikas
Konstantinos Tsimikas
Defender58'
6.32
8
Neil El Aynaoui
Neil El Aynaoui Midfielder
6.45
7
Lorenzo Pellegrini
Lorenzo Pellegrini
Midfielder66'
7.64
43
Wesley
Wesley Midfielder
6.1
61
Niccolò Pisilli
Niccolò Pisilli Midfielder
6.76
4
Bryan Cristante
Bryan Cristante (C) Attacker
6.7
14
Donyell Malen
Donyell Malen Attacker
6.47
97
Bryan Zaragoza
Bryan Zaragoza Attacker
6.38
78
Robinio Vaz
Robinio Vaz
Attacker46'
6.48

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Nadir Zortea João Mário
9th Substitution
85'
Event
Martin Vitík Nicolò Casale
8th Substitution
84'
Event
Thijs Dallinga Santiago Castro
6th Substitution
79'
Event
Charalampos Lykogiannis Juan Miranda
7th Substitution
79'
Event
Nicolò Cambiaghi Jonathan Rowe
5th Substitution
71'
71'
Event
Lorenzo Pellegrini
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
67'
Event
Bryan Cristante
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
66'
Event
Lorenzo Pellegrini Neil El Aynaoui
4th Substitution
65'
Event
Mario Hermoso Zeki Çelik
3rd Substitution
58'
Event
Konstantinos Tsimikas Devyne Rensch
2nd Substitution
Event
Nicolò Casale
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
57'
Event
Federico Bernardeschi
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
50'
Event
João Mário
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
47'
46'
Event
Robinio Vaz Bryan Zaragoza
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
15'
Event
Wesley
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Juan Miranda
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
13'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 4 minutes of stoppage time.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded with the score tied at Bologna 1, Roma 1.
90
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Remo Freuler from Bologna takes a right-footed shot from over 35 yards, but it sails over the bar.
90
Update Update
Offside call against Roma. Robinio Vaz is caught in an offside position.
90
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Tommaso Pobega from Bologna took a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area that came close, but ultimately went wide.
89
Update Update
Martin Vitík from Bologna narrowly misses scoring as he heads the ball against the crossbar from the center of the penalty area. The assist came from Charalampos Lykogiannis, who delivered a precise cross.
88
Update Update
Evan Ndicka from Roma committed a foul.
88
Update Update
Nicolò Cambiaghi from Bologna earned a free kick on the left flank.
85
Update Update
Offside call against Roma. Robinio Vaz is caught in an offside position.
85
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Bologna: Nadir Zortea is coming on to replace João Mário.
84
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Bologna: Martin Vitík comes on to replace Nicolò Casale.
84
Update Update
Opportunity squandered! Evan Ndicka of Roma attempted a header from the center of the box but sent it wide to the left. The cross was delivered by Lorenzo Pellegrini.
83
Update Update
Robinio Vaz from Roma was awarded a free kick on the right flank.
83
Update Update
Jhon Lucumí from Bologna committed a foul.
82
Attempt Attempt
A shot is intercepted. Federico Bernardeschi from Bologna attempts a left-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but it's deflected away.
81
Update Update
Lewis Ferguson from Bologna has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
81
Update Update
Niccolò Pisilli from Roma committed a foul.
80
Update Update
Kostas Tsimikas from Roma committed a foul.
80
Update Update
João Mário from Bologna has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
79
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Bologna: Charalampos Lykogiannis replaces Juan Miranda.
79
Update Update
Lorenzo Pellegrini from Roma committed a foul.
79
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Bologna: Thijs Dallinga comes on to replace Santiago Castro.
79
Update Update
João Mário from Bologna earned a free kick on the right side of the field.
78
Update Update
Offside call against Roma. Robinio Vaz is caught in an offside position.
77
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
76
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Donyell Malen from Roma takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Lorenzo Pellegrini.
76
Update Update
Match interruption - Roma.
75
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive move underway. Federico Bernardeschi from Bologna takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's successfully saved.
74
Update Update
Santiago Castro from Bologna committed a foul.
74
Update Update
Niccolò Pisilli from Roma was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Bologna: Nicolò Cambiaghi comes on to replace Jonathan Rowe.
71
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! It's now Bologna 1, Roma 1. Lorenzo Pellegrini from Roma has scored with a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area.
71
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Mario Hermoso from Roma takes a right-footed shot from the center of the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Lorenzo Pellegrini, who delivered a cross.
70
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Roma after Juan Miranda allowed the ball to go out.
68
Update Update
Kostas Tsimikas from Roma committed a foul.
68
Update Update
João Mário from Bologna has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
67
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Bryan Cristante of Roma has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
67
Update Update
Bryan Cristante from Roma committed a foul.
67
Update Update
Jonathan Rowe from Bologna has been awarded a free kick in an attacking position.
66
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Roma: Lorenzo Pellegrini replaces Neil El Aynaoui.
65
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Roma: Mario Hermoso comes on for Zeki Çelik.
65
Update Update
Robinio Vaz from Roma committed a handball.
64
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Bologna after a foul by Evan Ndicka.
64
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Jonathan Rowe from Bologna took a right-footed shot from the center of the box but sent it wide to the left. The assist came from Jhon Lucumí following a corner kick.
63
Update Update
Juan Miranda of Bologna was awarded a free kick on the left side of the field.
63
Update Update
Wesley from Roma committed a foul.
62
Update Update
Neil El Aynaoui from Roma committed a foul.
62
Update Update
Tommaso Pobega from Bologna has earned a free kick in the attacking zone.
60
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Tommaso Pobega from Bologna takes a left-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area. However, goalkeeper Mile Svilar of Roma makes a crucial save right in front of the goal. The assist came from Federico Bernardeschi, who delivered a well-placed through ball.
58
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Roma: Kostas Tsimikas replaces Devyne Rensch.
58
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Niccolò Pisilli from Roma attempted a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it didn't hit the target.
57
Update Update
Donyell Malen of Roma has been awarded a free kick in an attacking position.
57
Update Update
Nicolò Casale from Bologna committed a foul.
57
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Nicolò Casale from Bologna has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
56
Update Update
Donyell Malen of Roma has been awarded a free kick on the left flank.
56
Update Update
Nicolò Casale from Bologna committed a foul.
53
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity squandered. Donyell Malen from Roma attempted a left-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area after a quick counterattack.
52
Update Update
Neil El Aynaoui from Roma committed a foul.
52
Update Update
Tommaso Pobega from Bologna earned a free kick in the defensive area.
50
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Bologna takes the lead with a score of 1-0 against Roma. Federico Bernardeschi scores with a left-footed shot from the center of the box, placing it perfectly into the left corner. The assist comes from Jonathan Rowe.
49
Update Update
Offside call against Bologna. Santiago Castro has been caught in an offside position.
47
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Bologna after a play that resulted in a foul by Evan Ndicka.
47
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
João Mário of Bologna has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
47
Update Update
João Mário from Bologna committed a foul.
47
Update Update
Robinio Vaz from Roma has been awarded a free kick in an attacking position.
46
Update Update
Federico Bernardeschi of Bologna was awarded a free kick on the right side of the pitch.
46
Update Update
Daniele Ghilardi from Roma committed a foul.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Roma: Robinio Vaz comes on to replace Bryan Zaragoza.
45
Corner Corner
Opportunity gone begging. Nicolò Casale of Bologna attempted a header from the center of the penalty area, but it went just wide. The assist came from Juan Miranda, who delivered a cross following a corner kick.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be one minute of stoppage time.
45
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Bologna after a deflection off Daniele Ghilardi.
45
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Tommaso Pobega of Bologna attempted a header from the center of the penalty area, but it went just wide. The assist came from Nicolò Casale following a corner kick.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with the score tied at Bologna 0, Roma 0.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Roma: Robinio Vaz comes on to replace Bryan Zaragoza.
44
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Bologna after a deflection off Mile Svilar.
44
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive effort unfolds. Federico Bernardeschi from Bologna takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it is successfully stopped.
42
Update Update
Offside call against Roma. Donyell Malen is caught in an offside position.
39
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Bologna after a deflection off Daniele Ghilardi.
38
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Bologna after Wesley allowed the ball to go out.
38
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Juan Miranda from Bologna fires a left-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but it's blocked. The setup came from Federico Bernardeschi, who delivered a cross.
35
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is denied. Bryan Cristante from Roma takes a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but it's blocked. The assist came from Wesley.
32
Update Update
Federico Bernardeschi committed a foul on a Bologna player.
32
Update Update
Daniele Ghilardi from Roma has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
31
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Bologna after Zeki Çelik allowed the ball to go out.
29
Update Update
Zeki Çelik from Roma committed a foul.
29
Update Update
Jonathan Rowe from Bologna has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
27
Update Update
Santiago Castro from Bologna has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
27
Update Update
Niccolò Pisilli from Roma committed a foul.
26
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
26
Update Update
João Mário from Bologna committed a foul.
26
Update Update
Wesley from Roma has been awarded a free kick on the left side of the pitch.
25
Update Update
Match is currently paused due to an injury to Lukasz Skorupski from Bologna.
23
Update Update
Juan Miranda from Bologna has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
23
Update Update
Deyvne Rensch from Roma committed a foul.
20
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity squandered! Bryan Zaragoza from Roma took a right-footed shot from the center of the box but sent it wide to the left. The assist came from Donyell Malen after a quick counterattack.
19
Update Update
Niccolò Pisilli from Roma was awarded a free kick on the left side of the field.
19
Update Update
Niccolò Pisilli from Roma has been awarded a free kick on the left flank.
17
Update Update
Evan Ndicka from Roma earned a free kick in the defensive area.
17
Update Update
Santiago Castro from Bologna committed a foul.
15
Update Update
Wesley from Roma committed a foul.
15
Update Update
João Mário from Bologna has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
15
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Wesley of Roma has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
14
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
13
Update Update
Match halted due to an injury to Bryan Zaragoza from Roma.
13
Update Update
Bryan Zaragoza of Roma was awarded a free kick on the right flank.
13
Update Update
Juan Miranda committed a foul on a Bologna player.
13
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Juan Miranda of Bologna has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Roma after Tommaso Pobega allowed the ball to go out.
11
Update Update
The attempt is thwarted. Federico Bernardeschi from Bologna fires a left-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but it's deflected away.
11
Update Update
João Mário from Bologna earned a free kick in the defensive area.
11
Update Update
Wesley commits a foul on a Roma player.
10
Update Update
Evan Ndicka from Roma committed a foul.
10
Update Update
Santiago Castro from Bologna has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
7
Update Update
Donyell Malen of Roma has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
7
Update Update
Remo Freuler from Bologna committed a foul.
6
Update Update
Santiago Castro from Bologna committed a foul.
6
Update Update
Federico Bernardeschi committed a foul against a Bologna player.
6
Update Update
Evan Ndicka from Roma has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
6
Update Update
Daniele Ghilardi from Roma has earned a free kick in the defensive area.
4
Update Update
Wesley from Roma commits a handball.
1
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Roma after Nicolò Casale gave it away.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Roma exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.