Bologna vs Roma Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Serie A, Italy

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Sat, 25 Apr - 4:00 PM

Serie A

Bologna BOL

Versus

Roma ROM

KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 4:00 PM

Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Bologna welcomes Roma to Stadio Renato Dall'Ara in a pivotal Serie A regular season clash during the 2025/2026 campaign. Hosting the sixth-placed visitors, eighth-placed Bologna enters with a razor-thin power advantage of 0.2 points, their 24.28 rating edging Roma's 24.08. Recent form tilts decisively homeward, as Bologna's 20.39 score dwarfs Roma's 10.83, signaling momentum at the Dall'Ara. Despite Roma's loftier league standing, Bologna's structural superiority and home comforts position them as marginal favorites in this balanced encounter. Set-piece data remains elusive with low-confidence proxies, while efficiency and transition metrics are absent, leaving focus on raw power and form dynamics. Expect a tactical battle where Bologna's vigor challenges Roma's consistency.

TL;DR

Structural: Bologna possesses a slight structural edge, boasting a 24.28 power score against Roma's 24.08.
Form: Recent form favors Bologna significantly at 20.39 versus Roma's 10.83.
Squad: Roma occupies 6th in Serie A, one spot above Bologna at 8th.
Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for this matchup.
Transition: Transition statistics are not available for either team.
Set pieces: Set-piece metrics rely on low-confidence proxy data with no xG available.
xVariable: xG variables are absent as the add-on is not enabled.
Market: Projection split: Bologna 33.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 29.6% (Δ+0%) | Roma 37.3% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

V. Italiano

VS

G. Gasperini

1.38

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.65

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

8

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

8 - 11 - 17

17

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Bologna

33.08%

Draw

29.64%

Roma

37.28%

Team Power Ranking

24.28

24.08

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Bologna

Roma

Power Score

24.28

24.08

League Position

8

6

Global Rank

-

-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs

Bologna — Opponent-weighted form score

Roma — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Bologna Roma

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 36 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Bologna BOL Home

36 matches

Roma ROM Away

Match Record

8

Wins

17

11

Draws

11

17

Losses

8

Goals

40

Goals Scored

60

60

Goals Conceded

40

-20

Goal Difference

+20

Expected Goals

0

xG

0

0

xGA

0

Data last updated: 2026-04-19T02:14:13+00:00

General Information

Date & Time

Apr 25, 2026, 04:00 PM

Competition

2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 34 · Regular Season

Stadium

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Capacity

36532

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Manager ▼

V. Italiano Coach

Squad ▼

1

Łukasz Skorupski Goalkeeper

13

Federico Ravaglia Goalkeeper

25

Massimo Pessina Goalkeeper

22

Charalampos Lykogiannis Defender

29

Lorenzo De Silvestri Defender

—

Kevin Bonifazi Defender

16

Nicolò Casale Defender

26

Jhon Janer Lucumí Bonilla Defender

14

Torbjørn Heggem Defender

33

Juan Miranda González Defender

17

João Mário Neto Lopes Defender

20

Nadir Zortea Defender

41

Martin Vitík Defender

5

Eivind Fauske Helland Defender

6

Nikola Moro Midfielder

21

Jens Odgaard Midfielder

8

Remo Freuler Midfielder

4

Tommaso Pobega Midfielder

19

Lewis Ferguson Midfielder

23

Simon Sohm Midfielder

10

Federico Bernardeschi Attacker

7

Riccardo Orsolini Attacker

24

Thijs Dallinga Attacker

28

Nicolò Cambiaghi Attacker

11

Jon Rowe Attacker

9

Santiago Thomas Castro Attacker

30

Benjamín Domínguez Attacker

Manager ▼

G. Gasperini Coach

Squad ▼

95

Pierluigi Gollini Goalkeeper

99

Mile Svilar Goalkeeper

91

Radosław Dominik Żelezny Goalkeeper

3

José Ángel Esmoris Tasende Defender

12

Konstantinos Tsimikas Defender

5

Obite Evan N'Dicka Defender

23

Gianluca Mancini Defender

22

Mario Hermoso Canseco Defender

19

Mehmet Zeki Çelik Defender

2

Devyne Rensch Defender

87

Daniele Ghilardi Defender

43

Wesley Vinicius França Lima Defender

24

Jan Ziółkowski Defender

4

Bryan Cristante Midfielder

7

Lorenzo Pellegrini Midfielder

8

Neil El Aynaoui Midfielder

17

Kouadio Kone Midfielder

61

Niccolò Pisilli Midfielder

92

Stephan El Shaarawy Attacker

21

Paulo Bruno Exequiel Dybala Attacker

9

Artem Dovbyk Attacker

14

Donyell Malen Attacker

11

Evan Ferguson Attacker

18

Matìas Soulè Malvano Attacker

97

Bryan Zaragoza Martínez Attacker

78

Robinio Vaz Attacker

20

Lorenzo Venturino Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Bologna holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Bologna a 0.2-point edge. External projection is Bologna 33.1%, draw 29.6%, and Roma 37.3%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.