Bodø / Glimt vs Sporting CP Prediction, Preview and Stats

Europe flag 2025/2026 Champions League, Europe
Aspmyra Stadion Wed, 11 Mar - 8:00 PM
Champions League
Bodø / Glimt BOD
3 Winner 0
Sporting CP SCP
Full Time Wed, 11 Mar 8:00 PM
Sondre Fet - 32' (P)
Ole Didrik Blomberg - 45+1'
Kasper Høgh - 71'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

The match between Bodø / Glimt and Sporting CP has finished, with the home side securing a commanding 3-0 victory. Bodø / Glimt took control early, establishing a comfortable 2-0 lead by halftime, and successfully maintained their shutout through to the final whistle. Pre-match expectations gave Bodø / Glimt a slight edge with a 41.7% win probability, compared to a 26.2% chance of a draw and a 32.1% chance for Sporting CP. Because the hosts were favored, the final outcome successfully aligned with the pre-match market. However, the comprehensive nature of the 3-0 win resulted in a significant deviation level of 58.3% in favor of Bodø / Glimt, who heavily outperformed expectations despite Sporting CP being classified as the historically stronger team. The run of play was highly contested, with Sporting CP holding a narrow possession advantage of 51% to the hosts' 49%. Expected goals (xG) data was unavailable to determine if the final scoreline aligned with actual chance creation, but the overall efficiency shift remained strictly in line with expectations. Furthermore, the match was disciplined and played at even strength, featuring zero red cards to artificially impact the outcome.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Bodø / Glimt showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
I. Kružliak
I. Kružliak
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 11.88
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.88
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.25
J. Pozor
J. Pozor
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 11.88
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.88
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.25
B. Hancko
B. Hancko
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 11.88
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.88
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.25
M. Očenáš
M. Očenáš
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 11.88
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.88
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.25
Bodø / Glimt K. Knutsen
K. Knutsen
VS
Sporting CP R. Gomes Borges
R. Gomes Borges
1.5
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Inter Rank: 91 W
Inter Rank: 92 W
Atlético Madrid Rank: 89 W
Manchester City Rank: 97 W
Borussia Dortmund Rank: 90 D
Juventus Rank: 86 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Athletic Club Rank: 79 W
Paris Saint Germain Rank: 93 W
FC Bayern München Rank: 98 L
Club Brugge Rank: 84 W
Juventus Rank: 86 D
Olympique Marseille Rank: 82 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Bodø / Glimt
41.69%
Draw
26.18%
Away Sporting CP
32.12%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
49.7
88.54
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Bodø / Glimt
Sporting CP
Power Score
49.7
88.54
League Position
23
7
Global Rank
41
18

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Bodø / Glimt — Opponent-weighted form score
Sporting CP — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Bodø / Glimt Sporting CP

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Bodø / Glimt

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Sporting CP

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Bodø / Glimt ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sporting CP
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
26.02
21.96
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
21.96
26.02
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Bodø / Glimt +0.31 Efficiency Index
vs
Sporting CP -0.31 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Bodø / Glimt
Sporting CP
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Bodø / Glimt ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sporting CP
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Bodø / Glimt Sporting CP
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Bodø / Glimt Sporting CP
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Bodø / Glimt
Sporting CP
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Bodø / Glimt BOD Home
0 matches
Sporting CP SCP Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-12T00:07:16+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 11, 2026, 08:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Champions League, Europe
Stadium
Aspmyra Stadion
Capacity
8270
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Ivan Kružliak
Ján Pozor
Branislav Hancko
Michal Očenáš

Statistics

Possession
BOD
50%
SCP
50%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0
5 Big Chances Created 0
2 Shots 4
55 Dangerous attacks 44
49 Possession 51
4 Corners 5
10 Free kicks 15
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

12 Throwins 11
25 Successful Dribbles Percentage 21
12 Dribble Attempts 14
6 Successful Headers 5
6 Goal Kicks 3
1 Penalties 0
3 Successful Dribbles 3
8 Goal Attempts 7
74 Ball Safe 91
0 Injuries 2
4 Substitutions 4
1 Assists 0

Attacking

115 Attacks 88
2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

89 Successful Passes Percentage 89
24 Successful Long Passes 17
41 Long Passes 28
448 Successful Passes 475
59 Successful Long Passes Percentage 61
504 Passes 534
8 Key Passes 8

Defensive

20 Tackles 16
11 Interceptions 9
2 Saves 2
36 Duels Won 36

Build-up

12 Total Crosses 18
2 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

15 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 2

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Sondre Auklend → Håkon Evjen
8th Substitution
87'
80'
Event
7th Substitution
Event
5th Substitution
79'
Event
Andreas Helmersen → Kasper Høgh
6th Substitution
79'
Event
Kasper Høgh
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
76'
Event
Isak Dybvik Määttä → Ole Didrik Blomberg
4th Substitution
75'
Event
Kasper Høgh
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
71'
63'
Event
Souleymane Faye → Geny Catamo
2nd Substitution
63'
Event
Nuno Santos → Georgios Vagiannidis
3rd Substitution
62'
Event
Hidemasa Morita → João Simões
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Ole Didrik Blomberg
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
45+1'
Event
Jostein Gundersen
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
44'
Event
Sondre Fet
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
32'
20'
Event
Morten Hjulmand
Argument / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Jens Petter Hauge from Bodø/Glimt has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be three minutes of stoppage time.
90
Update Update
Iván Fresneda of Sporting Lisbon committed a foul.
90
Update Update
Offside call against Sporting Lisbon. Daniel Bragança has been caught in an offside position.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded with the final score: Bodø/Glimt 3, Sporting Lisbon 0.
89
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Bodø/Glimt after Trincão allowed the ball to go out.
88
Update Update
Sondre Auklend from Bodø/Glimt committed a foul.
88
Update Update
Morten Hjulmand of Sporting Lisbon has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
87
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Bodø/Glimt: Sondre Auklend replaces Håkon Evjen.
87
Update Update
Trincão from Sporting Lisbon committed a foul.
87
Update Update
Fredrik Bjørkan from Bodø/Glimt was awarded a free kick on the left side of the field.
85
Update Update
Isak Määttä from Bodø/Glimt committed a foul.
85
Update Update
Nuno Santos from Sporting Lisbon was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
83
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted! Jens Petter Hauge from Bodø/Glimt attempted a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but it narrowly missed the target. The chance was set up by Håkon Evjen during a quick counterattack.
80
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Lisbon: Daniel Bragança comes on to replace Luis Guilherme.
80
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Sporting Lisbon after Fredrik Bjørkan allowed the ball to go out.
79
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Bodø/Glimt: Andreas Helmersen replaces Kasper Høgh.
79
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Bodø/Glimt: Ulrik Saltnes comes on to replace Sondre Fet.
76
Update Update
Kasper Høgh from Bodø/Glimt committed a foul.
76
Update Update
Iván Fresneda from Sporting Lisbon has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
76
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Kasper Høgh of Bodø/Glimt has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
75
Update Update
Isak Määttä from Bodø/Glimt has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
75
Update Update
Hidemasa Morita from Sporting Lisbon committed a foul.
75
Update Update
Isak Määttä from Bodø/Glimt earned a free kick in the defensive area.
74
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Bodø/Glimt: Isak Määttä comes on to replace Ole Didrik Blomberg.
73
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Sporting Lisbon after a deflection off Jostein Gundersen.
71
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Bodø/Glimt leads Sporting Lisbon 3-0. Kasper Høgh scores with a right-footed shot from close range.
69
Update Update
Fouled by Souleymane Faye of Sporting Lisbon.
69
Update Update
Fredrik Sjøvold from Bodø/Glimt has been awarded a free kick on the right side of the pitch.
67
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
66
Update Update
Match interruption due to an injury to Jostein Gundersen from Bodø/Glimt.
66
Update Update
Jostein Gundersen from Bodø/Glimt has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
66
Update Update
Ousmane Diomande from Sporting Lisbon committed a foul.
65
Update Update
Kasper Høgh from Bodø/Glimt commits a handball foul.
63
Update Update
Fredrik Bjørkan from Bodø/Glimt committed a foul.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Lisbon: Nuno Santos is coming on to replace Georgios Vagiannidis.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Lisbon: Souleymane Faye is coming on to replace Geny Catamo.
63
Update Update
Morten Hjulmand of Sporting Lisbon has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
62
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Lisbon: Hidemasa Morita comes on to replace João Simões.
61
Update Update
Odin Bjørtuft from Bodø/Glimt has been awarded a free kick in an attacking position.
61
Update Update
Luis Suárez committed a foul against Sporting Lisbon.
60
Corner Corner
Another offensive push. Luis Suárez from Sporting Lisbon takes a left-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but Nikita Haikin from Bodø/Glimt makes a save in the left corner. The assist came from Geny Catamo.
59
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Håkon Evjen from Bodø/Glimt takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Sondre Fet.
59
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Trincão from Sporting Lisbon takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Geny Catamo.
58
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Trincão from Sporting Lisbon takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's blocked. The assist came from Geny Catamo.
58
Update Update
Jens Petter Hauge from Bodø/Glimt has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
56
Update Update
Another offensive push. Jostein Gundersen from Bodø/Glimt heads the ball from the middle of the box, but Rui Silva, the goalkeeper for Sporting Lisbon, makes a save right in the center of the goal. The assist came from Patrick Berg, who delivered a cross.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Bodø/Glimt after Gonçalo Inácio allowed the ball to go out.
53
Update Update
Georgios Vagiannidis from Sporting Lisbon committed a foul.
53
Update Update
Kasper Høgh from Bodø/Glimt has been awarded a free kick on the left side of the field.
52
Corner Corner
Opportunity wasted. Ousmane Diomande of Sporting Lisbon attempted a header from the center of the box, but it went just wide. The assist came from João Simões, who delivered the ball with a header following a corner kick.
52
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Sporting Lisbon after Jostein Gundersen allowed the ball to go out.
50
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Iván Fresneda of Sporting Lisbon attempted a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area.
45
Update Update
The second half is underway with the score at Bodø/Glimt 2, Sporting Lisbon 0.
45
Update Update
Offside call against Sporting Lisbon. Luis Guilherme has been caught offside.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with Bodø/Glimt leading Sporting Lisbon 2-0.
45
Update Update
Håkon Evjen from Bodø/Glimt earned a free kick in an offensive position.
45
Update Update
Trincão from Sporting Lisbon committed a foul.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 4 minutes of stoppage time.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Bodø/Glimt takes a 2-0 lead against Sporting Lisbon. Ole Didrik Blomberg scores with a right-footed shot from the center of the box, placing the ball into the bottom right corner.
44
Update Update
Jostein Gundersen from Bodø/Glimt committed a foul.
44
Update Update
Geny Catamo from Sporting Lisbon earned a free kick on the right side of the field.
44
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jostein Gundersen from Bodø/Glimt has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
43
Update Update
Håkon Evjen from Bodø/Glimt commits a handball foul.
42
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Luis Suárez from Sporting Lisbon takes a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but it's blocked. The assist came from Trincão.
42
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Bodø/Glimt after Iván Fresneda allowed the ball to go out.
41
Update Update
Luis Suárez of Sporting Lisbon was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
41
Update Update
Luis Suárez of Sporting Lisbon has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
39
Update Update
Håkon Evjen from Bodø/Glimt committed a foul.
39
Update Update
Morten Hjulmand from Sporting Lisbon has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
32
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Bodø/Glimt takes the lead with a score of 1-0 against Sporting Lisbon. Sondre Fet from Bodø/Glimt successfully scores the penalty, placing a right-footed shot into the bottom right corner of the net.
29
Update Update
Penalty awarded to Bodø/Glimt! Sondre Fet gets brought down inside the box.
29
Update Update
Georgios Vagiannidis of Sporting Lisbon has given away a penalty due to a foul committed inside the box.
29
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
28
Update Update
Match is temporarily halted due to an injury to Rui Silva from Sporting Lisbon.
27
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Patrick Berg from Bodø/Glimt attempted a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area but sent it wide to the left. The assist came from Fredrik Sjøvold.
25
Update Update
Kasper Høgh from Bodø/Glimt committed a foul.
25
Update Update
Gonçalo Inácio from Sporting Lisbon has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
24
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive push unfolds as Håkon Evjen from Bodø/Glimt takes a left-footed shot from the middle of the box. However, Rui Silva, the goalkeeper for Sporting Lisbon, makes a crucial save right in the center of the goal. The assist came from Jens Petter Hauge, who delivered a precise through ball.
24
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Luis Guilherme from Sporting Lisbon takes a left-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area. The attempt is expertly denied by Nikita Haikin of Bodø/Glimt, who makes a save in the bottom right corner. The assist came from Trincão.
23
Update Update
Trincão from Sporting Lisbon committed a foul.
23
Update Update
Jostein Gundersen from Bodø/Glimt has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
22
Update Update
Fredrik Bjørkan from Bodø/Glimt committed a foul.
22
Update Update
Morten Hjulmand of Sporting Lisbon has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
22
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Bodø/Glimt after Gonçalo Inácio allowed the ball to go out.
20
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Morten Hjulmand of Sporting Lisbon has been shown a yellow card.
15
Update Update
João Simões from Sporting Lisbon committed a foul.
15
Update Update
Ole Didrik Blomberg from Bodø/Glimt was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
13
Update Update
Patrick Berg from Bodø/Glimt committed a foul.
13
Update Update
Luis Suárez of Sporting Lisbon has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
12
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Sondre Fet from Bodø/Glimt fires a left-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The setup for the shot came from Håkon Evjen.
8
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Jens Petter Hauge from Bodø/Glimt attempted a right-footed shot from the center of the penalty area.
6
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is deflected. Luis Suárez from Sporting Lisbon takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it gets blocked.
6
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Sporting Lisbon after Sondre Fet allowed the ball to go out of play.
5
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
5
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Sporting Lisbon after Patrick Berg allowed the ball to go out.
4
Update Update
Match is currently on hold due to an injury to Geny Catamo from Sporting Lisbon.
3
Update Update
Fredrik Bjørkan from Bodø/Glimt was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
3
Update Update
Geny Catamo from Sporting Lisbon earned a free kick on the right flank.
1
Update Update
Ole Didrik Blomberg from Bodø/Glimt committed a foul.
1
Update Update
Morten Hjulmand from Sporting Lisbon has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Bodø / Glimt exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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