Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Augsburg Prediction, Preview and Stats

Germany flag 2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
BayArena Tomorrow - 1:30 PM
Bundesliga
Bayer 04 Leverkusen B04
Versus
FC Augsburg FCA
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 1:30 PM
Round 30 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Bayer 04 Leverkusen host FC Augsburg in Bundesliga (Regular Season) at BayArena. Domestically, Bayer 04 Leverkusen sit 5th in the table while FC Augsburg are 10th. Power ranking favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen by 14.4 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Leverkusen holds a 14.4-point power advantage over Augsburg, underscoring their superior overall structure.
  • Form: Leverkusen's form score stands at 30.83, significantly ahead of Augsburg's 11.
  • Squad: Leverkusen occupies 5th in the Bundesliga, while Augsburg trails in 10th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece stats rely on low-confidence proxies with no xG data available.
  • xVariable: Advanced xG variables are unavailable due to missing data sources.
  • Market: Projection split: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 67.2% (Δ+0%) | Draw 19.1% (Δ+0%) | FC Augsburg 13.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Bayer 04 Leverkusen K. Hjulmand
K. Hjulmand
VS
FC Augsburg M. Baum
M. Baum
1.78
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.17
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Borussia Dortmund Rank: W
VfL Wolfsburg Rank: W
Heidenheim Rank: D
FC Bayern München Rank: D
SC Freiburg Rank: D
Hamburger SV Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
TSG Hoffenheim Rank: D
Hamburger SV Rank: D
VfB Stuttgart Rank: L
Borussia Dortmund Rank: L
RB Leipzig Rank: L
FC Köln Rank: W
19
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
19 - 7 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Bayer 04 Leverkusen
67.24%
Draw
19.12%
Away FC Augsburg
13.64%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
33.88
19.52
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
FC Augsburg
Power Score
33.88
19.52
League Position
5
10
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Opponent-weighted form score
FC Augsburg Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Bayer 04 Leverkusen FC Augsburg

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 29 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen B04 Home
29 matches
FC Augsburg FCA Away
Match Record
19
Wins
3
7
Draws
7
3
Losses
19
Goals
60
Goals Scored
25
25
Goals Conceded
60
+35
Goal Difference
-35
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-17T00:07:20+00:00

STARTING XI

Pitch
M. Flekken
Netherlands
1 M. Flekken
R. Andrich
Germany
8 R. Andrich
L. Badé
France
5 L. Badé
E. Tapsoba
Burkina Faso
12 E. Tapsoba
M. Amare Culbreath
Germany
42 M. Amare Culbreath
E. Palacios
Argentina
25 E. Palacios
A. García Serrano
Spain
24 A. García Serrano
A. Grimaldo García
Spain
20 A. Grimaldo García
I. Maza
Algeria
30 I. Maza
N. Tella
Nigeria
23 N. Tella
C. Kofane
35 C. Kofane
F. Dahmen
Germany
1 F. Dahmen
C. Zesiger
Switzerland
16 C. Zesiger
J. Gouweleeuw
Netherlands
6 J. Gouweleeuw
A. Largura Chaves
Brazil
34 A. Largura Chaves
D. Giannoulis
Greece
13 D. Giannoulis
F. Rieder
Switzerland
32 F. Rieder
R. Fellhauer
Germany
19 R. Fellhauer
M. Wolf
Germany
27 M. Wolf
A. Claude Maurice
France
20 A. Claude Maurice
A. Kade
Germany
30 A. Kade
M. Gregoritsch
Austria
38 M. Gregoritsch

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 18, 2026, 01:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium
BayArena
Capacity
30210
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Tom Bauer
Thomas Stein
Marco Achmüller
Benjamin Brand

Lineup

Referee : Benjamin Brand

Starting XI

1
Mark Flekken
Mark Flekken Goalkeeper
6.8
5
Loïc Badé
Loïc Badé Defender
6.93
8
Robert Andrich
Robert Andrich Defender
6.78
12
Edmond Tapsoba
Edmond Tapsoba Defender
7.13
20
Alejandro Grimaldo
Alejandro Grimaldo Defender
7.44
42
Montrell Culbreath
Montrell Culbreath Defender
6.73
23
Nathan Tella
Nathan Tella Midfielder
6.87
24
Aleix García
Aleix García Midfielder
7.36
25
Exequiel Palacios
Exequiel Palacios Midfielder
6.85
30
Ibrahim Maza
Ibrahim Maza Midfielder
7.15
35
Christian Kofane
Christian Kofane Attacker
6.78
Referee : Benjamin Brand

Starting XI

1
Finn Dahmen
Finn Dahmen Goalkeeper
6.72
6
Jeffrey Gouweleeuw
Jeffrey Gouweleeuw Defender
6.55
13
Dimitrios Giannoulis
Dimitrios Giannoulis Defender
6.87
16
Cédric Zesiger
Cédric Zesiger Defender
6.63
27
Marius Wolf
Marius Wolf Defender
6.6
34
Arthur Chaves
Arthur Chaves Defender
6.73
19
Robin Fellhauer
Robin Fellhauer Midfielder
6.83
20
Alexis Claude-Maurice
Alexis Claude-Maurice Midfielder
7.1
30
Anton Kade
Anton Kade Midfielder
6.79
32
Fabian Rieder
Fabian Rieder Midfielder
6.86
38
Michael Gregoritsch
Michael Gregoritsch Attacker
6.84

CONCLUSION

Leverkusen's commanding power and form edges make them heavy favorites against a struggling Augsburg side at BayArena. The 14.4-point structural gap, combined with superior league standing and recent momentum, positions the hosts to dictate play. Augsburg's lower metrics suggest vulnerability, particularly in transition and efficiency areas lacking data support. Expect Leverkusen to capitalize on home advantage for a routine victory, though set-piece uncertainties add minor intrigue. This fixture aligns with projections, reinforcing Leverkusen's dominance in the Bundesliga race.