Austria Wien vs Salzburg Prediction, Preview and Stats

Austria flag 2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
Generali Arena Sun, 19 Apr - 12:30 PM
Admiral Bundesliga
Austria Wien FAK
Versus
Salzburg RBS
KICKOFF : Sun, 19 Apr - 12:30 PM
Round 5 Championship Round

CONTEXT

Austria Wien will play Salzburg in the Championship Round of the Admiral Bundesliga at Generali Arena during the 2025/2026 season. Austria Wien sit in fifth league position while Salzburg are placed fourth. The home team's season form reads W2 D2 L2 from 6 matches while the away team's season form reads W1 D2 L3 from 6 matches. These records highlight inconsistent results for both sides in recent weeks. Austria Wien's last match was a Draw at home against SK Rapid. Salzburg's last match was a Loss at home against LASK Linz. With the teams separated by a single league position this fixture holds significance for their standings in the Championship Round.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Salzburg hold a +0.2 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Austria Wien sit above baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Austria Wien show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Salzburg have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Salzburg carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Salzburg hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Austria Wien 27.5% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.8% (Δ+0%) | Salzburg 46.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Austria Wien S. Helm
S. Helm
VS
Salzburg D. Beichler
D. Beichler
1.5
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.41
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
SK Rapid Rank: D
LASK Linz Rank: L
Hartberg Rank: W
Sturm Graz Rank: L
Ried Rank: W
LASK Linz Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
LASK Linz Rank: L
Hartberg Rank: W
Sturm Graz Rank: D
SK Rapid Rank: L
SK Rapid Rank: L
Hartberg Rank: D
11
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 21 - 44
44
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Austria Wien
27.49%
Draw
25.78%
Away Salzburg
46.73%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
24.03
24.19
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Austria Wien
Salzburg
Power Score
24.03
24.19
League Position
5
4
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Austria Wien Opponent-weighted form score
Salzburg Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Austria Wien Salzburg

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 76 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Austria Wien FAK Home
76 matches
Salzburg RBS Away
Match Record
11
Wins
44
21
Draws
21
44
Losses
11
Goals
72
Goals Scored
159
159
Goals Conceded
72
-87
Goal Difference
+87
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-16T01:04:08+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
S. Sahin-Radlinger
1 S. Sahin-Radlinger
P. Wiesinger
28 P. Wiesinger
A. Dragović
15 A. Dragović
T. Plavotic
24 T. Plavotic
R. Ranftl
26 R. Ranftl
P. Maybach
6 P. Maybach
V. Markovic
36 V. Markovic
T. Lee
17 T. Lee
M. Fischer
30 M. Fischer
A. Bari
5 A. Bari
J. Eggestein
19 J. Eggestein
A. Schlager
1 A. Schlager
A. Terzić
3 A. Terzić
A. Chase
91 A. Chase
J. Schuster
44 J. Schuster
S. Lainer
22 S. Lainer
F. Krätzig
13 F. Krätzig
M. Bidstrup
18 M. Bidstrup
K. Alajbegović
27 K. Alajbegović
S. Kitano
8 S. Kitano
Y. Vertessen
11 Y. Vertessen
K. Konaté
19 K. Konaté

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 19, 2026, 12:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria · Round 5 · Championship Round
Stadium
Generali Arena
Capacity
10398
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Markus Hameter
Maximilian Weiss
Safak Barmaksiz
Alexander Borucki

Expected Lineup

Referee : Markus Hameter

Starting XI

1
Samuel Sahin-Radlinger
Samuel Sahin-Radlinger Goalkeeper
6.69
30
Manfred Fischer
Manfred Fischer Midfielder
6.89
5
Abubakr Barry
Abubakr Barry Midfielder
6.9
26
Reinhold Ranftl
Reinhold Ranftl Midfielder
6.86
17
Tae-seok Lee
Tae-seok Lee Midfielder
6.93
19
Johannes Eggestein
Johannes Eggestein Centre Forward
7.06
36
Vasilije Markovic
Vasilije Markovic Central Midfield
6.64
28
Philipp Wiesinger
Philipp Wiesinger Right Back
6.82
24
Tin Plavotic
Tin Plavotic Left Back
6.64
6
Philipp Maybach
Philipp Maybach Central Midfield
6.47
15
Aleksandar Dragovic
Aleksandar Dragovic Centre Back
6.83
Referee : Markus Hameter

Starting XI

1
Alexander Schlager
Alexander Schlager Goalkeeper
6.8
19
Karim Konaté
Karim Konaté Centre Forward
6.92
18
Mads Bidstrup
Mads Bidstrup Defensive Midfield
6.96
27
Kerim Alajbegovic
Kerim Alajbegovic Left Wing
7.39
44
Jannik Schuster
Jannik Schuster Right Back
6.98
22
Stefan Lainer
Stefan Lainer Right Back
6.99
8
Sota Kitano
Sota Kitano Attacking Midfield
6.89
91
Anrie Chase
Anrie Chase Left Back
6.91
3
Aleksa Terzic
Aleksa Terzic Left Back
6.8
11
Yorbe Vertessen
Yorbe Vertessen Right Wing
6.89
13
Frans Krätzig
Frans Krätzig Defensive Midfield
7.05

CONCLUSION

Salzburg holds the stronger pre-match profile with a power advantage of 0.2 points. Projections identify Salzburg as the leader with 47.3 percent for an away win compared to 27.3 percent for Austria Wien and 25.4 percent for the draw, showing that projection and structural signals align. Austria Wien holds a better recent form record of W2 D2 L2 from six matches while Salzburg has W1 D2 L3 from six matches after drawing at home to SK Rapid and losing at home to LASK Linz respectively. Control of transitions will be vital for both teams to secure the result.