Antwerp vs OH Leuven Prediction, Preview and Stats

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Bosuilstadion Tomorrow - 2:00 PM
Pro League
Antwerp ANT
Versus
OH Leuven OHL
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 2:00 PM
Round 3 Conference League Play-off Group

CONTEXT

Antwerp host OH Leuven in Pro League (Conference League Play-off Group) at Bosuilstadion. Domestically, Antwerp sit 10th in the table while OH Leuven are 12th. Power ranking favours Antwerp by 0.5 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Antwerp possesses a 0.5-point power advantage with scores of 20.03 versus OH Leuven's 19.53.
  • Form: OH Leuven surges ahead in form at 15.39, surpassing Antwerp's 4.33.
  • Squad: Antwerp holds 10th in the league, one spot above OH Leuven's 12th position.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency statistics provided for either squad.
  • Transition: Transition play data unavailable in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece metrics use low-confidence proxies without xG availability.
  • xVariable: xG variables across attacks and defenses remain null for both teams.
  • Market: Baseline split: Antwerp 42.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28.1% (Δ+0%) | OH Leuven 29.4% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Antwerp J. Oosting
J. Oosting
VS
OH Leuven F. Mazzù
F. Mazzù
1.09
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.23
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sporting Charleroi Rank: L
Genk Rank: L
OH Leuven Rank: L
Standard Liège Rank: D
La Louvière Rank: D
Sint-Truiden Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Genk Rank: D
Standard Liège Rank: L
Antwerp Rank: W
Sporting Charleroi Rank: W
Westerlo Rank: L
Anderlecht Rank: L
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 5 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Antwerp
42.56%
Draw
28.05%
Away OH Leuven
29.39%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
20.03
19.53
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Antwerp
OH Leuven
Power Score
20.03
19.53
League Position
10
12
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Antwerp — Opponent-weighted form score
OH Leuven — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Antwerp OH Leuven

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 12 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Antwerp ANT Home
12 matches
OH Leuven OHL Away
Match Record
5
Wins
2
5
Draws
5
2
Losses
5
Goals
19
Goals Scored
15
15
Goals Conceded
19
+4
Goal Difference
-4
Expected Goals
0.24
xG
1.89
1.89
xGA
0.24

Data last updated: 2026-04-17T00:09:26+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-1-4-2
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
T. Nozawa
41 T. Nozawa
Z. Van Den Bosch
33 Z. Van Den Bosch
M. Benítez
16 M. Benítez
Y. Tsunashima
4 Y. Tsunashima
D. Praet
8 D. Praet
T. Somers
24 T. Somers
A. Valencia
14 A. Valencia
C. Scott
30 C. Scott
F. Adekami
22 F. Adekami
V. Janssen
18 V. Janssen
M. Al Sahafi
9 M. Al Sahafi
M. Prévôt
16 M. Prévôt
T. Ominami
5 T. Ominami
R. Nyakossi
34 R. Nyakossi
E. Pletinckx
28 E. Pletinckx
T. Akimoto
30 T. Akimoto
W. George
6 W. George
S. Schrijvers
8 S. Schrijvers
Ó. Gil Regaño
27 Ó. Gil Regaño
Y. Maziz
10 Y. Maziz
S. Kaba
39 S. Kaba
H. Teklab
14 H. Teklab

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 18, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 3 · Conference League Play-off Group
Stadium
Bosuilstadion
Capacity
16649
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Bert Put
Wouter Cochet
Arne De Beuckelaer
Bryan Bijnens

Expected Lineup

Referee : Bert Put

Starting XI ▼

41
Taishi Brandon Nozawa
Taishi Brandon Nozawa Goalkeeper
7
22
Farouck Adekami
Farouck Adekami Midfielder
6.86
24
Thibo Somers
Thibo Somers Midfielder
6.97
18
Vincent Janssen
Vincent Janssen Attacker
7.05
9
Marwan Alsahafi
Marwan Alsahafi Attacker
6.58
4
Yuto Tsunashima
Yuto Tsunashima Left Back
6.87
16
Mauricio Benítez
Mauricio Benítez Centre Back
6.59
14
Anthony Valencia
Anthony Valencia Central Midfield
6.88
30
Christopher Scott
Christopher Scott Central Midfield
6.87
8
Dennis Praet
Dennis Praet Defensive Midfield
6.89
33
Zeno Van Den Bosch
Zeno Van Den Bosch Right Back
6.83
Referee : Bert Put

Starting XI ▼

16
Maxence Prévot
Maxence Prévot Goalkeeper
7.02
27
Óscar Gil
Óscar Gil Midfielder
6.64
30
Takahiro Akimoto
Takahiro Akimoto Midfielder
6.85
10
Youssef Maziz
Youssef Maziz Attacker
6.95
14
Henok Teklab
Henok Teklab Attacker
6.72
39
Sory Kaba
Sory Kaba Centre Forward
6.9
34
Roggerio Nyakossi
Roggerio Nyakossi Centre Back
6.84
5
Takuma Ominami
Takuma Ominami Left Back
6.64
6
Wouter George
Wouter George Central Midfield
6.66
8
Siebe Schrijvers
Siebe Schrijvers Central Midfield
7.01
28
Ewoud Pletinckx
Ewoud Pletinckx Right Back
6.82

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Antwerp holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Antwerp a 0.5-point edge. External projection is Antwerp 42.6%, draw 28.1%, and OH Leuven 29.4%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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