Zenit vs Akhmat Grozny Prediction, Preview and Stats

Russia flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
Gazprom Arena Sun, 26 Apr - 4:30 PM
Premier League
Zenit ZSP
Versus
Akhmat Grozny AKH
KICKOFF : Sun, 26 Apr - 4:30 PM
Round 27 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Zenit St. Petersburg welcome Akhmat Grozny to Gazprom Arena in a Premier League regular season clash during the 2025/2026 campaign. As league leaders in 1st place, Zenit hold a commanding power score of 42.53 compared to Akhmat's 18.7, translating to a substantial 23.8-point advantage that underscores their dominance. Recent form further tilts the scales, with Zenit's 35.56 rating dwarfing Akhmat's 12.56, suggesting the hosts are in rhythm while visitors struggle for consistency. Playing at home provides Zenit additional edge in this matchup, where structural superiority meets a mid-table challenge. Akhmat sit 9th, needing points to climb, but face a Zenit side primed to extend their lead. Set piece data remains limited due to unavailable xG metrics, forcing reliance on broader trends. This encounter highlights Zenit's transition prowess against Akhmat's defensive setup, with efficiency and squad depth likely decisive factors.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Zenit lead the Premier League in 1st place, hosting 9th-placed Akhmat Grozny with a 23.8-point power advantage.
  • Form: Zenit's form score stands at 35.56, significantly ahead of Akhmat Grozny's 12.56.
  • Squad: Zenit's squad power score of 42.53 overshadows Akhmat Grozny's 18.7, indicating superior overall quality.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: Zenit's higher power rating suggests stronger transition play compared to Akhmat Grozny.
  • Set pieces: Set piece metrics are unavailable with low confidence and proxy data used for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG data is not available, limiting advanced variable analysis for the matchup.
  • Market: Projection split: Zenit 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Akhmat Grozny 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Zenit S. Semak
S. Semak
VS
Akhmat Grozny S. Cherchesov
S. Cherchesov
2.36
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.14
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lokomotiv Moskva Rank: D
Dynamo Makhachkala Rank: W
Krasnodar Rank: D
Krylya Sovetov Rank: W
Dinamo Moskva Rank: W
Spartak Moskva Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Baltika Kaliningrad Rank: D
Spartak Moskva Rank: L
Krylya Sovetov Rank: D
Krasnodar Rank: L
Rostov Rank: W
Akron Rank: D
18
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
18 - 11 - 8
8
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Zenit
0%
Draw
0%
Away Akhmat Grozny
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
42.53
18.7
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Zenit
Akhmat Grozny
Power Score
42.53
18.7
League Position
1
9
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Zenit — Opponent-weighted form score
Akhmat Grozny — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Zenit Akhmat Grozny

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 37 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Zenit ZSP Home
37 matches
Akhmat Grozny AKH Away
Match Record
18
Wins
8
11
Draws
11
8
Losses
18
Goals
62
Goals Scored
31
31
Goals Conceded
62
+31
Goal Difference
-31
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:15:30+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 27 · Regular Season
Stadium
Gazprom Arena
Capacity
68000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

41
Mikhail Kerzhakov
Mikhail Kerzhakov Goalkeeper
16
Denis Adamov
Denis Adamov Goalkeeper
1
Evgeny Latyshonok
Evgeny Latyshonok Goalkeeper
57
Bogdan Moskvichev
Bogdan Moskvichev Goalkeeper
3
Douglas dos Santos Justino de Melo
Douglas dos Santos Justino de Melo Defender
15
Vyacheslav Karavaev
Vyacheslav Karavaev Defender
33
Marcílio Florêncio Mota Filho
Marcílio Florêncio Mota Filho Defender
4
Yuriy Gorshkov
Yuriy Gorshkov Defender
23
Arsen Adamov
Arsen Adamov Defender
28
Nuraly Alip
Nuraly Alip Defender
78
Igor Diveev
Igor Diveev Defender
6
Vanja Drkušić
Vanja Drkušić Defender
31
Gustavo Mantuan
Gustavo Mantuan Defender
66
Román Vega
Román Vega Defender
21
Aleksandr Erokhin
Aleksandr Erokhin Midfielder
5
Wílmar Enrique Barrios Terán
Wílmar Enrique Barrios Terán Midfielder
8
Marcus Wendel Valle da Silva
Marcus Wendel Valle da Silva Midfielder
18
Yaroslav Mikhailov
Yaroslav Mikhailov Midfielder
14
Jhonatan dos Santos Rosa
Jhonatan dos Santos Rosa Midfielder
61
Daniil Kondakov
Daniil Kondakov Midfielder
7
Aleksandr Sobolev
Aleksandr Sobolev Attacker
17
Andrey Mostovoy
Andrey Mostovoy Attacker
10
Maksim Glushenkov
Maksim Glushenkov Attacker
9
Jhon Jáder Durán Palacio
Jhon Jáder Durán Palacio Attacker
11
Luiz Henrique André Rosa da Silva
Luiz Henrique André Rosa da Silva Attacker
20
Pedro Henrique Silva dos Santos
Pedro Henrique Silva dos Santos Attacker
51
Vadim Shilov
Vadim Shilov Attacker

Squad ▼

88
Georgi Sheliya
Georgi Sheliya Goalkeeper
1
Vadim Uljanov
Vadim Uljanov Goalkeeper
72
Yahya Marovedov
Yahya Marovedov Goalkeeper
40
Rizvan Utsiev
Rizvan Utsiev Defender
8
Miroslav Bogosavac
Miroslav Bogosavac Defender
81
Maksim Sidorov
Maksim Sidorov Defender
5
Klisman Cake
Klisman Cake Defender
82
Daniil Khlusevich
Daniil Khlusevich Defender
90
Ousmane Ndong
Ousmane Ndong Defender
4
Turpal-Ali Ibishev
Turpal-Ali Ibishev Defender
22
Mohammadmehdi Zare Mohazabieh
Mohammadmehdi Zare Mohazabieh Defender
2
Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov
Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov Defender
10
Rifat Zhemaletdinov
Rifat Zhemaletdinov Midfielder
11
Ismael Silva Lima
Ismael Silva Lima Midfielder
80
Valeriy Tsarukyan
Valeriy Tsarukyan Midfielder
70
Abakar Gadzhiev
Abakar Gadzhiev Midfielder
17
Egas dos Santos Cacintura
Egas dos Santos Cacintura Midfielder
19
John Vahey
John Vahey Midfielder
42
Manuel Keliano
Manuel Keliano Midfielder
37
Papa Amady Gadio
Papa Amady Gadio Midfielder
27
Akhmed Davlitgereev
Akhmed Davlitgereev Midfielder
77
Georgi Melkadze
Georgi Melkadze Attacker
13
Mohamed Konaté
Mohamed Konaté Attacker
9
Braian Ezequiel Mansilla
Braian Ezequiel Mansilla Attacker
7
Lechii Sadulaev
Lechii Sadulaev Attacker
20
Maksim Samorodov
Maksim Samorodov Attacker
23
Ğalımjan Kenjebek
Ğalımjan Kenjebek Attacker

CONCLUSION

Zenit's overwhelming advantages in power, form, and league position position them as clear favorites against Akhmat Grozny. The 23.8-point edge and home venue at Gazprom Arena amplify their control, while Akhmat's lower metrics signal vulnerability. Without detailed set piece or efficiency insights, Zenit's squad depth and transition potential should prevail, enabling a comfortable victory to solidify their top spot. Akhmat must disrupt early to compete, but structural gaps make an upset unlikely in this lopsided affair.

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