AIK vs Malmö FF Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Strawberry Arena Mon, 27 Apr - 5:00 PM
Allsvenskan
AIK AIK
Versus
Malmö FF MAL
KICKOFF : Mon, 27 Apr - 5:00 PM
Round 5 Regular Season

CONTEXT

AIK hosts Malmö FF at Strawberry Arena in a pivotal 2026 Allsvenskan regular season clash. Malmö FF arrives with clear superiority, holding a power score of 27.47 compared to AIK's 22.62, granting them a 4.9-point edge as the designated stronger team. League standings reflect this closely, with Malmö FF in 4th and AIK just behind in 5th. Form metrics underscore the visitors' dominance, boasting a 28.67 score against AIK's modest 7.33, signaling recent struggles for the home side. No recent match outcomes are detailed for either, adding intrigue. Advanced analytics remain sparse: efficiency data absent, set piece stats show low confidence with proxy reliance and no xG availability for attacks or defenses. This Stockholm showdown tests AIK's home resilience against Malmö FF's elevated capabilities across power and momentum.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Malmö FF possesses a 4.9-point power advantage over AIK, scoring 27.47 away to 22.62 home.
  • Form: Visitors lead with 28.67 form score versus AIK's 7.33.
  • Squad: Malmö FF occupies 4th in Allsvenskan, ahead of AIK in 5th.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency metrics available for analysis.
  • Transition: Limited transition data hinders direct comparison.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats unavailable due to low confidence and proxy usage for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG data absent, preventing variable assessment.
  • Market: Baseline split: AIK 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Malmö FF 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
AIK J. Riveiro
J. Riveiro
VS
Malmö FF M. Ramírez
M. Ramírez
1.83
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.71
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Degerfors Rank: D
Kalmar Rank: W
Brommapojkarna Rank: D
Halmstad Rank: W
Halmstad Rank: L
Elfsborg Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sirius Rank: D
Djurgården Rank: W
GAIS Rank: W
Örgryte Rank: D
GAIS Rank: W
Häcken Rank: D
8
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
8 - 16 - 16
16
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home AIK
0%
Draw
0%
Away Malmö FF
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
22.62
27.47
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
AIK
Malmö FF
Power Score
22.62
27.47
League Position
5
4
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
AIK Opponent-weighted form score
Malmö FF Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) AIK Malmö FF

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 40 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

AIK AIK Home
40 matches
Malmö FF MAL Away
Match Record
8
Wins
16
16
Draws
16
16
Losses
8
Goals
31
Goals Scored
47
47
Goals Conceded
31
-16
Goal Difference
+16
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-20T02:05:18+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 27, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 5 · Regular Season
Stadium
Strawberry Arena
Capacity
54000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

15
Kristoffer Nordfeldt
Kristoffer Nordfeldt Goalkeeper
30
Kalle Joelsson
Kalle Joelsson Goalkeeper
17
Mads Døhr Thychosen
Mads Døhr Thychosen Defender
4
Sotirios Papagiannopoulos
Sotirios Papagiannopoulos Defender
25
Ibrahim Cissé
Ibrahim Cissé Defender
5
Lukas Bergquist
Lukas Bergquist Defender
14
Fredrik Nissen
Fredrik Nissen Defender
37
Ahmad Faqa
Ahmad Faqa Defender
12
Charlie Pavey
Charlie Pavey Defender
10
Bersant Celina
Bersant Celina Midfielder
19
Dino Beširović
Dino Beširović Midfielder
8
Johan Hove
Johan Hove Midfielder
6
Martin Skjelbreid Ellingsen
Martin Skjelbreid Ellingsen Midfielder
7
Amel Mujanic
Amel Mujanic Midfielder
33
Aron Csongvai
Aron Csongvai Midfielder
2
Eskil Smidesang Edh
Eskil Smidesang Edh Midfielder
Henry Meja
Henry Meja Midfielder
18
Abdihakin Ali
Abdihakin Ali Midfielder
24
Andreas Redkin
Andreas Redkin Midfielder
48
Axel Kouame
Axel Kouame Midfielder
21
Stanley Wilson
Stanley Wilson Midfielder
28
Erik Linus Mikael Järeteg
Erik Linus Mikael Järeteg Midfielder
46
Yannick Geiger
Yannick Geiger Midfielder
20
Erik Hovden Flataker
Erik Hovden Flataker Attacker
45
Taha Ayari
Taha Ayari Attacker
43
Victor Andersson
Victor Andersson Attacker
Albert Nikolaj Staykov
Albert Nikolaj Staykov Attacker
29
Kevin Filling
Kevin Filling Attacker
36
Zadok Yohanna
Zadok Yohanna Attacker

Squad

27
Johan Dahlin
Johan Dahlin Goalkeeper
30
Robin Olsen
Robin Olsen Goalkeeper
1
Ricardo Henrique Schuck Friedrich
Ricardo Henrique Schuck Friedrich Goalkeeper
39
William Nieroth Lundgren
William Nieroth Lundgren Goalkeeper
18
Pontus Jansson
Pontus Jansson Defender
17
Jens Stryger Larsen
Jens Stryger Larsen Defender
19
Colin Rosler
Colin Rosler Defender
25
Gabriel Dal Toé Busanello
Gabriel Dal Toé Busanello Defender
2
Johan Karlsson
Johan Karlsson Defender
5
Andrej Đurić
Andrej Đurić Defender
23
Noah Åstrand John
Noah Åstrand John Defender
44
Malte Frejd Pålsson
Malte Frejd Pålsson Defender
4
Bleon Kurtulus
Bleon Kurtulus Defender
6
Yanis Karabelyov
Yanis Karabelyov Midfielder
10
Anders Christiansen
Anders Christiansen Midfielder
7
Otto Rosengren
Otto Rosengren Midfielder
40
Kenan Busuladzic
Kenan Busuladzic Midfielder
42
Viggo Jeppsson
Viggo Jeppsson Midfielder
37
Adrian Skogmar
Adrian Skogmar Midfielder
43
Gentian Lajqi
Gentian Lajqi Midfielder
28
Jovan Milosavljević
Jovan Milosavljević Midfielder
45
Anton Sebastian Höög
Anton Sebastian Höög Midfielder
47
Theodor Lundbergh
Theodor Lundbergh Midfielder
46
Antonio Palac
Antonio Palac Midfielder
8
Arnór Sigurdsson
Arnór Sigurdsson Attacker
21
Stefano Vecchia Holmquist
Stefano Vecchia Holmquist Attacker
29
Sead Haksabanovic
Sead Haksabanovic Attacker
20
Erik Botheim
Erik Botheim Attacker
22
Taha Abdi Ali
Taha Abdi Ali Attacker
11
Emmanuel Ekong
Emmanuel Ekong Attacker
32
Daniel Gudjohnsen
Daniel Gudjohnsen Attacker
Oscar Love Sjöstrand
Oscar Love Sjöstrand Attacker

CONCLUSION

Malmö FF's superior power rating and form position them favorably against AIK in this Allsvenskan encounter at Strawberry Arena. The 4.9-point edge and higher league standing suggest the away side controls key dynamics, despite sparse advanced stats. AIK must leverage home advantage to counter Malmö FF's momentum, but recent form gaps loom large. Lacking detailed set piece or efficiency insights, the focus shifts to overall strength. Anticipate Malmö FF dictating tempo, potentially securing a narrow victory in a tightly contested affair.