Young Boys vs Servette Prediction, Preview and Stats

Switzerland flag 2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland
Stadion Wankdorf (Bern) Sun, 12 Apr - 2:30 PM
Super League
Young Boys YBO
1 – 1
Servette Servette
Full Time Sun, 12 Apr 2:30 PM
Round 33 Regular Season
Chris Bedia - 71' (P)
Goal
|
Goal
Thomas Lopes - 59'

CONTEXT

The match between Young Boys and Servette is finished, ending in a 1-1 draw after a goalless first half. Young Boys entered the fixture as the stronger team and clear pre-match favorites with a 45.6 percent implied likelihood of victory, well ahead of the 24.8 percent draw probability and 29.7 percent for a Servette win. The stalemate therefore marked a significant deviation from expectations, particularly for Young Boys, who were unable to translate their status into a win. Young Boys held 59 percent possession to Servette’s 41 percent but could not find a decisive edge. No red cards were issued, and the efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations across both halves. The final result did not align with the pre-match projection, confirming that the anticipated home success failed to materialize despite Young Boys’ territorial control.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Young Boys showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
N. Gianforte
N. Gianforte
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 24.43
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.46
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.54
B. Lengacher
B. Lengacher
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 24.43
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.46
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.54
C. Loureiro
C. Loureiro
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 24.43
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.46
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.54
H. Qovanaj
H. Qovanaj
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 24.43
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.46
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.54
Young Boys G. Seoane
G. Seoane
VS
Servette J. Gourvennec
J. Gourvennec
1.38
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.29
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Basel Rank: D
Lugano Rank: D
Lausanne Sport Rank: W
Thun Rank: L
Luzern Rank: W
Zürich Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Luzern Rank: W
Grasshopper Rank: W
Basel Rank: L
Zürich Rank: W
Winterthur Rank: D
Sion Rank: D
14
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
14 - 9 - 11
11

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Young Boys
45.59%
Draw
24.75%
Away Servette
29.66%

Movement

Changes since opening
Young Boys
+38.48%
Draw
-64.12%
Servette
+25.64%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
27.39
25.38
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Young Boys
Servette
Power Score
27.39
25.38
League Position
6
8
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Young Boys — Opponent-weighted form score
Servette — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Young Boys Servette

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Young Boys

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Servette

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Young Boys ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Servette
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
30.34
36.34
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
36.34
30.34
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Young Boys -0.57 Efficiency Index
vs
Servette +0.57 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Young Boys
Servette
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Young Boys ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Servette
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Young Boys Servette
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Young Boys Servette
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Young Boys
Servette
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Young Boys
vs
Servette
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Young Boys Servette
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Young Boys 0.18
Servette 0.78
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Young Boys Servette
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Young Boys 0.06
Servette 0.01
Young Boys
Servette
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • YBO had peak pressure around 32'.
  • YBO started the game with stronger pressure.
YBO Pressure Servette Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: YBO reached the top pressure at 32' (72.61).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 34 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Young Boys YBO Home
34 matches
Servette Servette Away
Match Record
14
Wins
11
9
Draws
9
11
Losses
14
Goals
57
Goals Scored
39
39
Goals Conceded
57
+18
Goal Difference
-18
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-13T00:06:47+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
M. Keller
Switzerland
1 M. Keller
Y. Valery
Tunisia
22 Y. Valery
G. Wüthrich
Substitution
Switzerland
5 G. Wüthrich
S. Lauper
Switzerland
30 S. Lauper
L. Benito
Switzerland
23 L. Benito
E. Fernandes
Switzerland
6 E. Fernandes
A. Gigovic
Substitution
Sweden
37 A. Gigovic
A. Virginius
Substitution
France
7 A. Virginius
A. Antonio Sanches
Substitution
Switzerland
10 A. Antonio Sanches
J. Monteiro
Substitution
Portugal
77 J. Monteiro
S. Essende
France
99 S. Essende
J. Frick
Switzerland
32 J. Frick
B. Mazikou
France
18 B. Mazikou
M. Burch
Switzerland
15 M. Burch
S. Rouiller
Switzerland
4 S. Rouiller
H. Mendes
Substitution
Guinea-Bissau
17 H. Mendes
D. Douline
Substitution
France
28 D. Douline
T. Cognat
France
8 T. Cognat
J. Kadile
Substitution
France
10 J. Kadile
M. Ishuayed
Substitution
Switzerland
38 M. Ishuayed
M. Stevanović
Bosnia and Herzegovina
9 M. Stevanović
F. Aye
Substitution
France
97 F. Aye

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 12, 2026, 02:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Wankdorf (Bern)
Capacity
32000
Pitch Surface
N/A
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Nico Gianforte
Bastien Lengacher
Christophe Loureiro
Hajrim Qovanaj

Statistics

Possession
YBO
58%
Servette
42%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
5 Big Chances Created 2
7 Shots 5
78 Dangerous attacks 18
59 Possession 41
7 Corners 6
7 Free kicks 13
3 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

0 Assists 1
1 Penalties 0
43 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50
14 Dribble Attempts 18
1 Hit Woodwork 2
7 Goal Kicks 10
13 Goal Attempts 10
6 Successful Dribbles 9
54 Ball Safe 78
5 Substitutions 5
25 Throwins 16

Attacking

4 Big Chances Missed 1
123 Attacks 46

Possession

11 Key Passes 13
66 Successful Long Passes Percentage 38
413 Successful Passes 268
481 Passes 346
44 Long Passes 55
29 Successful Long Passes 21
86 Successful Passes Percentage 77

Defensive

3 Saves 3
18 Tackles 21
12 Interceptions 5

Build-up

7 Accurate Crosses 5
34 Total Crosses 12

Discipline

3 Offsides 0
13 Fouls 7

Lineup

Referee : Nico Gianforte

Starting XI ▼

1
Marvin Keller
Marvin Keller Goalkeeper
5
Gregory Wüthrich
Gregory Wüthrich Defender
33
Stefan Bukinac
Stefan Bukinac
Defender67'
22
Yan Valery
Yan Valery Defender
23
Loris Benito
Loris Benito Defender
30
Sandro Lauper
Sandro Lauper Defender
6
Edimilson Fernandes
Edimilson Fernandes Midfielder
7
Alan Virginius
Alan Virginius Midfielder
39
Darian Males
Darian Males
Midfielder67'
10
Alvyn Sanches
Alvyn Sanches Midfielder
11
Ebrima Colley
Ebrima Colley
Attacker77'
37
Armin Gigovic
Armin Gigovic Midfielder
13
Dominik Pech
Dominik Pech
Midfielder67'
77
Joël Monteiro
Joël Monteiro Midfielder
29
Chris Bedia
Chris Bedia
Attacker55'
99
Samuel Essende
Samuel Essende Attacker
Referee : Nico Gianforte

Starting XI ▼

32
Jérémy Frick
Jérémy Frick Goalkeeper
4
Steve Rouiller
Steve Rouiller Defender
15
Marco Burch
Marco Burch Defender
17
Houboulang Mendes
Houboulang Mendes Defender
2
Loun Srdanovic
Loun Srdanovic
Defender86'
18
Bradley Mazikou
Bradley Mazikou Defender
8
Timothé Cognat
Timothé Cognat Midfielder
9
Miroslav Stevanovic
Miroslav Stevanovic Midfielder
10
Junior Kadile
Junior Kadile Midfielder
14
Lilian Njoh
Lilian Njoh
Defender90+1'
28
David Douline
David Douline Midfielder
11
Lamine Fomba
Lamine Fomba
Midfielder77'
38
Malek Ishuayed
Malek Ishuayed Midfielder
36
Thomas Lopes
Thomas Lopes
Midfielder46'
97
Florian Ayé
Florian Ayé Attacker
90
Samuel Mraz
Samuel Mraz
Attacker77'

Events

2ND-HALF
90+1'
Event
Lilian Njoh → Junior Kadile
10th Substitution
89'
Event
Lamine Fomba
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
86'
Event
Loun Srdanovic → Houboulang Mendes
9th Substitution
Event
Ebrima Colley → Alvyn Sanches
6th Substitution
77'
77'
Event
Lamine Fomba → David Douline
7th Substitution
77'
Event
Samuel Mraz → Florian Ayé
8th Substitution
Event
Chris Bedia
Left foot shot / 1st Penalty
71'
Event
Chris Bedia
Penalty awarded
70'
70'
Event
Steve Rouiller
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Stefan Bukinac → Gregory Wüthrich
3rd Substitution
67'
Event
Darian Males → Alan Virginius
4th Substitution
67'
Event
Dominik Pech → Armin Gigovic
5th Substitution
67'
59'
Event
Thomas Lopes
Header / 1st Goal
Event
Gregory Wüthrich
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
57'
Event
Chris Bedia → Joël Monteiro
2nd Substitution
55'
Event
Armin Gigovic
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
52'
46'
Event
Thomas Lopes → Malek Ishuayed
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Loris Benito
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
43'
37'
Event
David Douline
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Young Boys exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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