Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Tottenham Hotspur Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
Molineux Stadium Sat, 25 Apr - 2:00 PM
Premier League
Wolverhampton Wanderers WOL
Versus
Tottenham Hotspur TOT
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 2:00 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Wolverhampton Wanderers host Tottenham Hotspur in Premier League (Regular Season) at Molineux Stadium. Domestically, Wolverhampton Wanderers sit 20th in the table while Tottenham Hotspur are 18th. Power ranking favours Wolverhampton Wanderers by 5.5 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Wolverhampton Wanderers hold a 5.5-point power advantage over Tottenham Hotspur, positioning them as the analytically stronger team.
  • Form: Wolves boast a dominant form score of 21.72, dwarfing Tottenham's poor 5.72.
  • Squad: Both teams sit in the lower table reaches, with Wolves at 20th and Spurs at 18th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Wolves' pressing could disrupt Tottenham's fragile transition play.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece data unavailable due to low-confidence proxies for both sides.
  • xVariable: xG data absent, limiting advanced variable analysis.
  • Market: Wolverhampton Wanderers 22.4% (Δ+0.5%) | Draw 23% (Δ-0.1%) | Tottenham Hotspur 54.6% (Δ-0.5%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Wolverhampton Wanderers R. Edwards
R. Edwards
VS
Tottenham Hotspur R. De Zerbi
R. De Zerbi
0.6
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.68
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Leeds United Rank: L
West Ham United Rank: L
Brentford Rank: D
Liverpool Rank: W
Aston Villa Rank: W
Crystal Palace Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brighton & Hove Albion Rank: D
Sunderland Rank: L
Nottingham Forest Rank: L
Liverpool Rank: D
Crystal Palace Rank: L
Fulham Rank: L
9
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
9 - 6 - 9
9
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Wolverhampton Wanderers
22.42%
Draw
22.95%
Away Tottenham Hotspur
54.64%

Movement

Changes since opening
Wolverhampton Wanderers
+0.51%
Draw
-0.05%
Tottenham Hotspur
-0.45%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
23.48
18.03
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Tottenham Hotspur
Power Score
23.48
18.03
League Position
20
18
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Wolverhampton Wanderers — Opponent-weighted form score
Tottenham Hotspur — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Wolverhampton Wanderers Tottenham Hotspur

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 24 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Wolverhampton Wanderers WOL Home
24 matches
Tottenham Hotspur TOT Away
Match Record
9
Wins
9
6
Draws
6
9
Losses
9
Goals
35
Goals Scored
38
38
Goals Conceded
35
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:05:24+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
D. Bentley
25 D. Bentley
S. Bueno Sciutto
4 S. Bueno Sciutto
L. Krejčí
37 L. Krejčí
T. Gomes
24 T. Gomes
J. Tchatchoua
38 J. Tchatchoua
A. Trindade da Costa Neto
7 A. Trindade da Costa Neto
Gomes
8 Gomes
H. Bueno
3 H. Bueno
J. Bellegarde
27 J. Bellegarde
A. Gomes
47 A. Gomes
A. Armstrong
9 A. Armstrong
A. Kinsky
31 A. Kinsky
I. Udogie
13 I. Udogie
M. van de Ven
37 M. van de Ven
K. Danso
4 K. Danso
P. Porro Sauceda
23 P. Porro Sauceda
C. Gallagher
22 C. Gallagher
R. Bentancur Colmán
30 R. Bentancur Colmán
Y. Bissouma
8 Y. Bissouma
X. Simons
7 X. Simons
R. Kolo Muani
39 R. Kolo Muani
D. Solanke
19 D. Solanke

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium
Molineux Stadium
Capacity
32050
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Gary Beswick
Anthony Taylor
Adam Nunn
Thomas Bramall

Expected Lineup

Referee : Anthony Taylor

Starting XI ▼

25
Daniel Bentley
Daniel Bentley Goalkeeper
6.42
27
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde Midfielder
6.72
3
Hugo Bueno
Hugo Bueno Midfielder
6.72
38
Jackson Tchatchoua
Jackson Tchatchoua Midfielder
6.57
47
Angel Gomes
Angel Gomes Midfielder
6.73
9
Adam Armstrong
Adam Armstrong Centre Forward
6.67
4
Santiago Bueno
Santiago Bueno Right Back
6.74
8
João Gomes
João Gomes Central Midfield
6.79
7
André
André Central Midfield
6.75
24
Toti
Toti Left Back
6.55
37
Ladislav Krejci
Ladislav Krejci Centre Back
6.68
Referee : Anthony Taylor

Starting XI ▼

31
Antonin Kinsky
Antonin Kinsky Goalkeeper
19
Dominic Solanke
Dominic Solanke Centre Forward
6.79
37
Micky van de Ven
Micky van de Ven Left Back
6.75
39
Randal Kolo Muani
Randal Kolo Muani Right Wing
6.5
23
Pedro Porro
Pedro Porro Right Back
6.93
30
Rodrigo Bentancur
Rodrigo Bentancur Defensive Midfield
6.84
13
Destiny Udogie
Destiny Udogie Left Back
6.52
4
Kevin Danso
Kevin Danso Right Back
6.69
7
Xavi Simons
Xavi Simons Attacking Midfield
6.94
8
Yves Bissouma
Yves Bissouma Left Wing
6.6
22
Conor Gallagher
Conor Gallagher Defensive Midfield
6.69

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Wolverhampton Wanderers holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Wolverhampton Wanderers a 5.5-point edge. External projection is Wolverhampton Wanderers 21.9%, draw 23%, and Tottenham Hotspur 55.1%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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