Vukovar vs Gorica Prediction, Preview and Stats

Croatia flag 2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia
Stadion Gradski vrt Tomorrow - 1:30 PM
1. HNL
Vukovar Vukovar
Versus
Gorica Gorica
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 1:30 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Vukovar host Gorica in 1. HNL (Regular Season) at Stadion Gradski vrt. Domestically, Vukovar sit 10th in the table while Gorica are 8th. Power ranking favours Gorica by 1.4 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Gorica hold a 1.4-point power advantage and superior league standing at 8th over Vukovar's 10th.
  • Form: Gorica's form score stands at 14.5, significantly ahead of Vukovar's 8.94.
  • Squad: Gorica's higher power score of 19.05 signals stronger squad quality compared to Vukovar's 17.65.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable due to lack of detailed tracking.
  • Set pieces: Set piece xG unavailable for Vukovar and Gorica, with low-confidence proxies applied.
  • xVariable: xG-based variables absent, limiting advanced performance insights.
  • Market: Vukovar 33.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28% (Δ+0%) | Gorica 39% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Vukovar T. Stipić
T. Stipić
VS
Gorica M. Carević
M. Carević
0.9
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.05
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Istra 1961 Rank: W
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: L
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: D
Hajduk Split Rank: L
Varaždin Rank: L
Rijeka Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: L
Hajduk Split Rank: L
Varaždin Rank: D
Rijeka Rank: W
Osijek Rank: D
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 3 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Vukovar
33.06%
Draw
27.96%
Away Gorica
38.98%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
17.65
19.05
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Vukovar
Gorica
Power Score
17.65
19.05
League Position
10
8
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Vukovar — Opponent-weighted form score
Gorica — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Vukovar Gorica

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Vukovar Vukovar Home
3 matches
Gorica Gorica Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
3
Draws
3
0
Losses
0
Goals
3
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
3
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T00:04:58+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
M. Bulat
1 M. Bulat
N. Vlasenko
5 N. Vlasenko
M. Tadić
34 M. Tadić
M. Živković
14 M. Živković
K. Cabrajic
20 K. Cabrajic
E. Shabani
77 E. Shabani
J. Gurlica
35 J. Gurlica
?. Butić
27 ?. Butić
R. Gonzales
10 R. Gonzales
L. Banovec
28 L. Banovec
J. Puljić
21 J. Puljić
D. Matijaš
71 D. Matijaš
M. Čabraja
19 M. Čabraja
J. Filipović
4 J. Filipović
S. Peric
45 S. Peric
B. Bogojević
25 B. Bogojević
O. Bakić
7 O. Bakić
A. Kavelj
36 A. Kavelj
Ž. Trontelj
22 Ž. Trontelj
D. Pavičić
24 D. Pavičić
J. Pršir
10 J. Pršir
S. Wisdom Aondowase
11 S. Wisdom Aondowase

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 22, 2026, 01:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Gradski vrt
Capacity
1000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Mateo Erceg

Expected Lineup

Referee : Mateo Erceg

Starting XI ▼

1
Marino Bulat
Marino Bulat Goalkeeper
6.72
21
Jakov Puljic
Jakov Puljic Centre Forward
7
5
Nikita Vlasenko
Nikita Vlasenko Right Back
6.32
10
Robin González
Robin González Attacking Midfield
6.87
34
Mario Tadic
Mario Tadic Right Back
6.69
35
Jakov Gurlica
Jakov Gurlica Defensive Midfield
6.9
77
Eniss Shabani
Eniss Shabani Defensive Midfield
6.71
14
Moreno Zivkovic
Moreno Zivkovic Left Back
6.6
28
Lovro Banovec
Lovro Banovec Left Wing
6.75
20
Kristijan Cabrajic
Kristijan Cabrajic Left Back
6.54
27
Simun Butic
Simun Butic Right Wing
6.42
Referee : Mateo Erceg

Starting XI ▼

71
Davor Matijas
Davor Matijas Goalkeeper
6.76
25
Bruno Bogojevic
Bruno Bogojevic Midfielder
6.68
22
Zan Trontelj
Zan Trontelj Midfielder
6.92
24
Domagoj Pavicic
Domagoj Pavicic Midfielder
6.77
10
Jurica Prsir
Jurica Prsir Midfielder
6.92
11
Sule Wisdom Aondowase
Sule Wisdom Aondowase Centre Forward
6.57
19
Marijan Cabraja
Marijan Cabraja Left Back
7.04
36
Ante Kavelj
Ante Kavelj Central Midfield
6.84
45
Stefan Peric
Stefan Peric Right Back
6.65
4
Jakov Filipovic
Jakov Filipovic Centre Back
6.82
7
Ognjen Bakic
Ognjen Bakic Central Midfield
6.63

CONCLUSION

Gorica arrive as marginal favourites, bolstered by better power ratings, form, and table position, yet Vukovar's home advantage at Stadion Gradski vrt could level proceedings in this tight 1. HNL affair. Without xG or set piece clarity, the focus falls on Gorica's superior recent momentum against Vukovar's resilience. Expect a competitive battle where Gorica's edge might prevail narrowly, but Vukovar could exploit any visitor complacency for a positive result.

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