Virtus Entella vs Calcio Padova Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Stadio Comunale Chiavari Sat, 25 Apr - 1:00 PM
Serie B
Virtus Entella ENT
Versus
Calcio Padova PAD
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 1:00 PM
Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Virtus Entella host Calcio Padova in Serie B (Regular Season) at Stadio Comunale Chiavari. Domestically, Virtus Entella sit 16th in the table while Calcio Padova are 13th. Power ranking favours Virtus Entella by 0.5 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Entella holds 16th while Padova sits 13th, but home team claims 0.5-point power superiority.
  • Form: Matching 11.11 form scores signal equivalent recent momentum for both squads.
  • Squad: Hosts rate at 19.89 power, edging visitors' 19.4 squad assessment.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for either Virtus Entella or Calcio Padova.
  • Transition: Transition metrics absent, leaving open play dynamics unassessed.
  • Set pieces: Low-confidence proxy data used for set pieces as xG unavailable for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG variables disabled, preventing detailed expected goal breakdowns.
  • Market: Virtus Entella 47.5% (Δ+0.5%) | Draw 28.4% (Δ+0.1%) | Calcio Padova 24.2% (Δ-0.6%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Virtus Entella A. Chiappella
A. Chiappella
VS
Calcio Padova R. Breda
R. Breda
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.07
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Empoli Rank: D
Venezia Rank: D
Mantova Rank: L
Reggiana Rank: W
Pescara Rank: L
Avellino Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Reggiana Rank: W
Empoli Rank: W
Frosinone Rank: L
Palermo Rank: L
Venezia Rank: L
Catanzaro Rank: L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Virtus Entella
47.45%
Draw
28.4%
Away Calcio Padova
24.16%

Movement

Changes since opening
Virtus Entella
+0.5%
Draw
+0.09%
Calcio Padova
-0.57%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
19.89
19.4
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Virtus Entella
Calcio Padova
Power Score
19.89
19.4
League Position
16
13
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Virtus Entella — Opponent-weighted form score
Calcio Padova — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Virtus Entella Calcio Padova

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Virtus Entella ENT Home
2 matches
Calcio Padova PAD Away
Match Record
0
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
0
Goals
2
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
2
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:04:21+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
F. Del Frate
22 F. Del Frate
M. Dalla Vecchia
27 M. Dalla Vecchia
L. Parodi
23 L. Parodi
A. Tiritiello
6 A. Tiritiello
I. Marconi
15 I. Marconi
S. Di Mario
26 S. Di Mario
A. Franzoni
24 A. Franzoni
L. Benedetti
32 L. Benedetti
N. Karic
8 N. Karic
L. Cuppone
10 L. Cuppone
B. Guiu Vilanova
11 B. Guiu Vilanova
A. Sorrentino
22 A. Sorrentino
C. Pastina
58 C. Pastina
L. Villa
55 L. Villa
C. Faedo
72 C. Faedo
G. Favale
30 G. Favale
K. Varas Marcillo
7 K. Varas Marcillo
L. Crisetig
6 L. Crisetig
P. Fusi
8 P. Fusi
A. Capelli
17 A. Capelli
F. Di Mariano
77 F. Di Mariano
M. Bortolussi
20 M. Bortolussi

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Comunale Chiavari
Capacity
5500
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

22
Federico Del Frate
Federico Del Frate Goalkeeper
6.79
10
Luigi Cuppone
Luigi Cuppone Attacker
6.8
11
Bernat Guiu
Bernat Guiu Attacker
7.02
23
Luca Parodi
Luca Parodi Right Back
6.67
24
Andrea Franzoni
Andrea Franzoni Central Midfield
6.91
32
Leonardo Benedetti
Leonardo Benedetti Central Midfield
6.57
15
Ivan Marconi
Ivan Marconi Left Back
6.71
6
Andrea Tiritiello
Andrea Tiritiello Centre Back
7.14
8
Nermin Karić
Nermin Karić Central Midfield
6.87
26
Stefano Di Mario
Stefano Di Mario Left Back
6.88
27
Marco Dalla Vecchia
Marco Dalla Vecchia Right Back
6.58

Starting XI ▼

22
Alessandro Sorrentino
Alessandro Sorrentino Goalkeeper
6.98
30
Giulio Favale
Giulio Favale Midfielder
6.52
17
Alessandro Capelli
Alessandro Capelli Midfielder
6.9
77
Francesco Di Mariano
Francesco Di Mariano Attacker
6.99
20
Mattia Bortolussi
Mattia Bortolussi Attacker
7.05
6
Lorenzo Crisetig
Lorenzo Crisetig Central Midfield
6.74
7
Kevin Varas
Kevin Varas Central Midfield
6.86
58
Christian Pastina
Christian Pastina Left Back
6.85
72
Carlo Faedo
Carlo Faedo Right Back
6.83
8
Pietro Fusi
Pietro Fusi Central Midfield
6.78
55
Lorenzo Villa
Lorenzo Villa Centre Back
6.66

CONCLUSION

Narrow power margins favor Virtus Entella in this Serie B showdown against Calcio Padova, bolstered by home comforts at Stadio Comunale Chiavari despite the visitors' superior league standing. Identical form lines suggest a tactical stalemate, with absent advanced metrics amplifying uncertainty around set pieces and efficiency. Padova's resilience poses threats, yet Entella's 0.5-point edge hints at control. Expect disciplined defending and rare breakthroughs to shape a tense affair in the 2025/2026 regular season, where the hosts' slight upper hand could secure vital points amid table pressures.

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