VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen Prediction, Preview and Stats

Germany flag 2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
MHPArena Sun, 26 Apr - 1:30 PM
Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart VFB
Versus
Werder Bremen SVW
KICKOFF : Sun, 26 Apr - 1:30 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

VfB Stuttgart host Werder Bremen in Bundesliga (Regular Season) at MHPArena. Domestically, VfB Stuttgart sit 4th in the table while Werder Bremen are 15th. Power ranking favours VfB Stuttgart by 12.2 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: VfB Stuttgart hold 4th place versus Werder Bremen's 15th, with a 12.2-point power advantage.
  • Form: Stuttgart's form score of 25.44 surpasses Bremen's 16.11.
  • Squad: Power ratings indicate Stuttgart's squad depth exceeds Bremen's.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition data unavailable in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece stats unavailable with low-confidence proxies used.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable for this fixture.
  • Market: VfB Stuttgart 61.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 21.4% (Δ+0%) | Werder Bremen 16.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
VfB Stuttgart S. Hoeneß
S. Hoeneß
VS
Werder Bremen D. Thioune
D. Thioune
1.78
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.91
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Bayern München Rank: L
Hamburger SV Rank: W
Borussia Dortmund Rank: L
FC Augsburg Rank: W
RB Leipzig Rank: W
FSV Mainz 05 Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hamburger SV Rank: W
FC Köln Rank: L
RB Leipzig Rank: L
VfL Wolfsburg Rank: W
FSV Mainz 05 Rank: L
FC Union Berlin Rank: W
13
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
13 - 11 - 11
11
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home VfB Stuttgart
61.73%
Draw
21.42%
Away Werder Bremen
16.85%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
30.42
18.21
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
VfB Stuttgart
Werder Bremen
Power Score
30.42
18.21
League Position
4
15
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
VfB Stuttgart — Opponent-weighted form score
Werder Bremen — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) VfB Stuttgart Werder Bremen

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 35 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

VfB Stuttgart VFB Home
35 matches
Werder Bremen SVW Away
Match Record
13
Wins
11
11
Draws
11
11
Losses
13
Goals
63
Goals Scored
57
57
Goals Conceded
63
+6
Goal Difference
-6
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:12:45+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 01:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
MHPArena
Capacity
60449
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

33
Alexander Nübel
Alexander Nübel Goalkeeper
1
Fabian Bredlow
Fabian Bredlow Goalkeeper
21
Stefan Drljača
Stefan Drljača Goalkeeper
44
Florian Hellstern
Florian Hellstern Goalkeeper
7
Maximilian Mittelstädt
Maximilian Mittelstädt Defender
15
Pascal Stenzel
Pascal Stenzel Defender
24
Julian Chabot
Julian Chabot Defender
23
Dan-Axel Zagadou
Dan-Axel Zagadou Defender
4
Josha Mamadou Karaboue Vagnomann
Josha Mamadou Karaboue Vagnomann Defender
3
Ramon Hendriks
Ramon Hendriks Defender
2
Ameen Al Dakhil
Ameen Al Dakhil Defender
22
Lorenz Assignon
Lorenz Assignon Defender
14
Luca Antony Jaquez
Luca Antony Jaquez Defender
29
Finn Jeltsch
Finn Jeltsch Defender
16
Atakan Karazor
Atakan Karazor Midfielder
28
Nikolas Nartey
Nikolas Nartey Midfielder
10
Chris Führich
Chris Führich Midfielder
6
Angelo Stiller
Angelo Stiller Midfielder
11
Bilal El Khannous
Bilal El Khannous Midfielder
30
José María Andrés Baixauli
José María Andrés Baixauli Midfielder
35
Mirza Catovic
Mirza Catovic Midfielder
26
Deniz Undav
Deniz Undav Attacker
9
Ermedin Demirović
Ermedin Demirović Attacker
18
Jamie Leweling
Jamie Leweling Attacker
8
Tiago Barreiros de Melo Tomás
Tiago Barreiros de Melo Tomás Attacker
27
Badredine Bouanani
Badredine Bouanani Attacker
17
Justin Diehl
Justin Diehl Attacker
25
Jeremy Alberto Arévalo Mera
Jeremy Alberto Arévalo Mera Attacker
19
Noah Darvich
Noah Darvich Attacker
45
Lazar Jovanović
Lazar Jovanović Attacker

Squad ▼

25
Markus Kolke
Markus Kolke Goalkeeper
13
Karl Jakob Hein
Karl Jakob Hein Goalkeeper
30
Mio Backhaus
Mio Backhaus Goalkeeper
37
Stefan Smarkalev
Stefan Smarkalev Goalkeeper
8
Mitchell Weiser
Mitchell Weiser Defender
4
Niklas Stark
Niklas Stark Defender
32
Marco Friedl
Marco Friedl Defender
39
Maximilian Wöber
Maximilian Wöber Defender
5
Amos Pieper
Amos Pieper Defender
27
Felix Agu
Felix Agu Defender
3
Yukinari Sugawara
Yukinari Sugawara Defender
2
Olivier Deman
Olivier Deman Defender
23
Isaac Osa's Schmidt
Isaac Osa's Schmidt Defender
22
Julián Malatini
Julián Malatini Defender
33
Mick Schmetgens
Mick Schmetgens Defender
31
Abdoul Karim Coulibaly
Abdoul Karim Coulibaly Defender
10
Leonardo Bittencourt
Leonardo Bittencourt Midfielder
6
Jens Stage
Jens Stage Midfielder
20
Romano Schmid
Romano Schmid Midfielder
14
Senne Lynen
Senne Lynen Midfielder
18
Cameron Puertas
Cameron Puertas Midfielder
34
Wesley Adeh
Wesley Adeh Midfielder
24
Patrice Čović
Patrice Čović Midfielder
17
Marco Grüll
Marco Grüll Attacker
44
Victor Okoh Boniface
Victor Okoh Boniface Attacker
11
Justin Njinmah
Justin Njinmah Attacker
7
Samuel Mbangula
Samuel Mbangula Attacker
9
Keke Maximilian Topp
Keke Maximilian Topp Attacker
19
Jovan Milošević
Jovan Milošević Attacker
29
Salim Amani Musah
Salim Amani Musah Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward VfB Stuttgart holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give VfB Stuttgart a 12.2-point edge. External projection is VfB Stuttgart 61.6%, draw 21.4%, and Werder Bremen 17%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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