Vålerenga vs Sandefjord Prediction, Preview and Stats

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Intility Arena Sun, 15 Mar - 4:00 PM
Eliteserien
Vålerenga Vålerenga
1 Winner 0
Sandefjord Sandefjord
Full Time Sun, 15 Mar 4:00 PM
Carl Lange - 5'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Vålerenga 1–0 Sandefjord. The result saw Vålerenga take the points. Vålerenga showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 42%–58%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Vålerenga showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Vålerenga G. Bakke
G. Bakke
VS
Sandefjord A. Tegström
A. Tegström
1.22
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Viking Rank: 76 L
Kristiansund Rank: 54 D
Rosenborg Rank: 64 L
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 82 W
Strømsgodset Rank: 49 W
HamKam Rank: 58 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
KFUM Rank: 58 W
Strømsgodset Rank: 49 W
Tromsø Rank: 66 W
HamKam Rank: 58 L
Rosenborg Rank: 64 D
Fredrikstad Rank: 63 D
17
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
17 - 1 - 5
5

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Vålerenga
49.17%
Draw
23.95%
Away Sandefjord
26.88%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
60.1
61.02
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Vålerenga
Sandefjord
Power Score
60.1
61.02
League Position
7
12
Global Rank
453
428

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Vålerenga — Opponent-weighted form score
Sandefjord — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Vålerenga Sandefjord

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Vålerenga

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Sandefjord

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Vålerenga ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sandefjord
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
36.55
36.64
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
36.64
36.55
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Vålerenga -0.01 Efficiency Index
vs
Sandefjord +0.01 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Vålerenga
Sandefjord
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Vålerenga ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sandefjord
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Vålerenga Sandefjord
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Vålerenga Sandefjord
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Vålerenga
Sandefjord
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 8 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Vålerenga Vålerenga Home
8 matches
Sandefjord Sandefjord Away
Match Record
5
Wins
3
0
Draws
0
3
Losses
5
Goals
17
Goals Scored
12
12
Goals Conceded
17
+5
Goal Difference
-5
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-16T02:32:28+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
O. Hedvall
Denmark
1 O. Hedvall
H. Sjåtil
Substitution
Norway
3 H. Sjåtil
A. Olsen
Norway
4 A. Olsen
I. Näsberg
Norway
37 I. Näsberg
K. Finnsson
Iceland
2 K. Finnsson
F. Thorvaldsen
Substitution
Norway
26 F. Thorvaldsen
M. Westergaard
Denmark
28 M. Westergaard
C. Lange
Substitution
Denmark
10 C. Lange
E. Sørensen
Denmark
11 E. Sørensen
H. Bjørdal
Substitution
Norway
8 (C) H. Bjørdal
M. Grundetjern
Substitution
Norway
17 M. Grundetjern
E. Hadaya
Sweden
30 E. Hadaya
V. Walle Egeli
Norway
3 V. Walle Egeli
X. Lambrix
Belgium
44 X. Lambrix
Z. Smajlovic
Sweden
2 Z. Smajlovic
F. Pedersen
Norway
4 F. Pedersen
E. Sundbö Pettersen
Substitution
Norway
14 E. Sundbö Pettersen
S. Mørk
Norway
6 (C) S. Mørk
E. Patoulidis
Belgium
7 E. Patoulidis
J. Dunsby
Substitution
Norway
27 J. Dunsby
N. Moller
Substitution
Sweden
11 N. Moller
J. Vester Nielsen
Substitution
Denmark
37 J. Vester Nielsen

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 15, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Stadium
Intility Arena
Capacity
3000
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Statistics

Possession
Vålerenga
45%
Sandefjord
55%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
2 Big Chances Created 1
5 Shots 4
67 Dangerous attacks 65
42 Possession 58
7 Corners 7
7 Free kicks 9
0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 4
1 Hit Woodwork 0
18 Throwins 23
11 Goal Kicks 7
29 Dribble Attempts 26
13 Successful Dribbles 10
45 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38
9 Goal Attempts 8
72 Ball Safe 75
0 Penalties 1

Attacking

86 Attacks 108
2 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

76 Successful Passes Percentage 85
377 Passes 513
288 Successful Passes 438
9 Key Passes 14
60 Long Passes 39
25 Successful Long Passes 20
42 Successful Long Passes Percentage 51

Defensive

24 Tackles 22
6 Interceptions 8
3 Saves 4

Build-up

22 Total Crosses 27
5 Accurate Crosses 15

Discipline

10 Fouls 7
0 Offsides 2

Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Oscar Hedvall
Oscar Hedvall Goalkeeper
7.71
2
Kolbeinn Finnsson
Kolbeinn Finnsson Defender
7.4
3
Hakon Sjatil
Hakon Sjatil Defender
7.14
6
Vegar Eggen Hedenstad
Vegar Eggen Hedenstad
Defender64'
6.7
4
Aaron Kiil Olsen
Aaron Kiil Olsen Defender
7.25
37
Ivan Näsberg
Ivan Näsberg Defender
7
10
Carl Lange
Carl Lange Midfielder
7.48
15
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen
Midfielder86'
11
Elias Sørensen
Elias Sørensen Midfielder
6.24
26
Filip Thorvaldsen
Filip Thorvaldsen Midfielder
6.42
24
Petter Strand
Petter Strand
Midfielder64'
6.72
28
Magnus Westergaard
Magnus Westergaard Midfielder
7.3
8
Henrik Bjørdal
Henrik Bjørdal (C) Attacker
7.3
—
Henrik Bjørdal
86'
17
M. Grundetjern
M. Grundetjern Attacker
7.08
90
Ole Sæter
Ole Sæter
Attacker71'
6.86

Starting XI ▼

30
Elias Hadaya
Elias Hadaya Goalkeeper
7.22
2
Zinedin Smajlović
Zinedin Smajlović Defender
7.28
3
Vetle Walle Egeli
Vetle Walle Egeli Defender
7.21
4
Fredrik Carson Pedersen
Fredrik Carson Pedersen Defender
6.79
44
Xander Lambrix
Xander Lambrix Defender
6.62
6
Sander Risan Mørk
Sander Risan Mørk (C) Midfielder
7.51
7
Evangelos Patoulidis
Evangelos Patoulidis Midfielder
7.88
14
Edvard Sundbø Pettersen
Edvard Sundbø Pettersen Midfielder
6.48
26
Filip Loftesnes-Bjune
Filip Loftesnes-Bjune
Defender85'
6.51
11
Nikolaj Möller
Nikolaj Möller Attacker
6.49
24
Sebastian Holm Mathisen
Sebastian Holm Mathisen
Attacker85'
6.53
27
Jakob Dunsby
Jakob Dunsby Attacker
6.35
9
Jacob Hanstad
Jacob Hanstad
Midfielder74'
6.72
37
Jakob Vester
Jakob Vester Attacker
7.02
8
Robin Dzabic
Robin Dzabic
Midfielder74'
6.44

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen → Carl Lange
8th Substitution
86'
Event
Carl Lange → Henrik Bjørdal
9th Substitution
86'
85'
Event
Filip Loftesnes-Bjune → Edvard Sundbø Pettersen
6th Substitution
85'
Event
Sebastian Holm Mathisen → Nikolaj Möller
7th Substitution
74'
Event
Jacob Hanstad → Jakob Dunsby
5th Substitution
74'
Event
Robin Dzabic → Jakob Vester
4th Substitution
Event
Ole Sæter → M. Grundetjern
3rd Substitution
71'
Event
Petter Strand → Filip Thorvaldsen
2nd Substitution
64'
Event
Vegar Eggen Hedenstad → Hakon Sjatil
1st Substitution
64'
62'
Event
Xander Lambrix
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
61'
Event
Nikolaj Möller
GoalkeeperSave
60'
Event
Fredrik Carson Pedersen
Penalty awarded
1ST-HALF
Event
Carl Lange
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
5'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Vålerenga exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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