Valencia vs Girona Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadio de Mestalla Sat, 25 Apr - 4:30 PM
La Liga
Valencia VAL
Versus
Girona GIR
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 4:30 PM
Round 32 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Valencia host Girona in La Liga (Regular Season) at Estadio de Mestalla. Domestically, Valencia sit 14th in the table while Girona are 12th. Power ranking favours Girona by 8.9 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Girona holds a clear structural edge with a power score of 29.85 against Valencia's 21, creating an 8.9-point advantage.
  • Form: Girona's form score of 26.39 outperforms Valencia's 14.06 by a wide margin.
  • Squad: Valencia ranks 14th in La Liga, one spot below Girona in 12th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition data unavailable due to limited statistical inputs.
  • Set pieces: Set piece xG data unavailable as add-on not enabled, using low-confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xG variables absent from dataset for both squads.
  • Market: Valencia 49.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.6% (Δ+0%) | Girona 24.2% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Valencia C. Corberán Vallet
C. Corberán Vallet
VS
Girona M. Sánchez Muñoz
M. Sánchez Muñoz
1.17
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.43
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mallorca Rank: D
Elche Rank: L
Celta de Vigo Rank: L
Sevilla Rank: W
Real Oviedo Rank: L
Deportivo Alavés Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Betis Rank: D
Real Madrid Rank: D
Villarreal Rank: W
Osasuna Rank: L
Athletic Club Rank: W
Levante Rank: D
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 1 - 5
5
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Valencia
49.28%
Draw
26.56%
Away Girona
24.16%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
21
29.85
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Valencia
Girona
Power Score
21
29.85
League Position
14
12
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Valencia Opponent-weighted form score
Girona Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Valencia Girona

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Valencia VAL Home
11 matches
Girona GIR Away
Match Record
5
Wins
5
1
Draws
1
5
Losses
5
Goals
13
Goals Scored
13
13
Goals Conceded
13
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:08:49+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio de Mestalla
Capacity
49430
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

1
Stole Dimitrievski
Stole Dimitrievski Goalkeeper
13
Cristian Rivero Sabater
Cristian Rivero Sabater Goalkeeper
25
Julen Agirrezabala
Julen Agirrezabala Goalkeeper
Dimitri Foulquier
Dimitri Foulquier Defender
Mouctar Diakhaby
Mouctar Diakhaby Defender
14
José Luis Gayá Peña
José Luis Gayá Peña Defender
24
Eray Ervin Cömert
Eray Ervin Cömert Defender
20
Renzo Saravia
Renzo Saravia Defender
4
Unai Núñez Gestoso
Unai Núñez Gestoso Defender
12
Thierry Rendall Correia
Thierry Rendall Correia Defender
3
José Manuel Arias Copete
José Manuel Arias Copete Defender
21
Jesus Vazquez Alcalde
Jesus Vazquez Alcalde Defender
5
César Tárrega Requeni
César Tárrega Requeni Defender
22
Baptiste Santamaría
Baptiste Santamaría Midfielder
10
Domingos André Ribeiro Almeida
Domingos André Ribeiro Almeida Midfielder
18
José Luis García Vayá
José Luis García Vayá Midfielder
23
Filip Ugrinic
Filip Ugrinic Midfielder
2
Guido Rodríguez
Guido Rodríguez Midfielder
8
Javier Guerra Moreno
Javier Guerra Moreno Midfielder
7
Arnaut Danjuma Groeneveld
Arnaut Danjuma Groeneveld Attacker
6
Umar Sadiq Mesbah
Umar Sadiq Mesbah Attacker
19
Daniel Raba Antolí
Daniel Raba Antolí Attacker
11
Luis Jesús Rioja González
Luis Jesús Rioja González Attacker
9
Hugo Duro Perales
Hugo Duro Perales Attacker
17
Largie Ramazani
Largie Ramazani Attacker
15
Lucas Beltrán
Lucas Beltrán Attacker
16
Diego López Noguerol
Diego López Noguerol Attacker

Squad

13
Paulo Dino Gazzaniga
Paulo Dino Gazzaniga Goalkeeper
22
Marc-André ter Stegen
Marc-André ter Stegen Goalkeeper
1
Rubén Blanco Veiga
Rubén Blanco Veiga Goalkeeper
Juan Carlos Martín Corral
Juan Carlos Martín Corral Goalkeeper
25
Krapyvtsov Vladyslav
Krapyvtsov Vladyslav Goalkeeper
17
Daley Blind
Daley Blind Defender
5
David López Silva
David López Silva Defender
24
Alejandro Moreno Lopera
Alejandro Moreno Lopera Defender
16
Alejandro Francés Torrijo
Alejandro Francés Torrijo Defender
4
Arnau Martinez
Arnau Martinez Defender
2
Hugo Rincón Lumbreras
Hugo Rincón Lumbreras Defender
12
Vitor de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis
Vitor de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis Defender
6
Donny van de Beek
Donny van de Beek Midfielder
20
Axel Witsel
Axel Witsel Midfielder
11
Thomas Lemar
Thomas Lemar Midfielder
8
Francisco José Beltrán Peinado
Francisco José Beltrán Peinado Midfielder
23
Iván Martín Núñez
Iván Martín Núñez Midfielder
18
Azzedine Ounahi
Azzedine Ounahi Midfielder
14
Claudio Echeverri
Claudio Echeverri Midfielder
29
Lancinet Kourouma Kourouma
Lancinet Kourouma Kourouma Midfielder
7
Cristhian Ricardo Stuani Curbelo
Cristhian Ricardo Stuani Curbelo Attacker
Cristian Portugués Manzanera
Cristian Portugués Manzanera Attacker
15
Viktor Tsygankov
Viktor Tsygankov Attacker
9
Abel Ruiz Ortega
Abel Ruiz Ortega Attacker
21
Bryan Gil Salvatierra
Bryan Gil Salvatierra Attacker
19
Vladyslav Vanat
Vladyslav Vanat Attacker
3
Joel Roca Casals
Joel Roca Casals Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Girona holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Girona a 8.9-point edge. External projection is Valencia 49.3%, draw 26.6%, and Girona 24.2%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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