Union Saint-Gilloise vs Gent Prediction, Preview and Stats

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Stade Joseph Mariën Tomorrow - 6:30 PM
Pro League
Union Saint-Gilloise USG
Versus
Gent GNT
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 6:30 PM
Round 4 Championship Round

CONTEXT

Union Saint-Gilloise host Gent at Stade Joseph Mariën in the Pro League Championship Round of the 2025/2026 season. The league leaders sit top of the table in first place, holding a significant 17.1-point power advantage over fourth-placed Gent, with ratings of 36.64 versus 19.58. Recent form underlines Union SG's dominance, scoring 27.89 compared to Gent's modest 12.5. As the stronger side overall, Union enter this fixture with momentum from their superior standing and metrics. Gent face an uphill battle away from home against a side that's excelled structurally this campaign. Both teams lack recent outing details, but Union's position screams confidence. Expect a tactical battle where the hosts leverage their edge in key areas, though Gent could counter if they exploit any lapses. The championship stakes add intensity to this clash.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Union Saint-Gilloise lead the Pro League Championship Round in 1st place, with Gent in 4th.
  • Form: Hosts hold a form score of 27.89 against Gent's 12.5.
  • Squad: Union Saint-Gilloise possess a 17.1-point power advantage with 36.64 rating over Gent's 19.58.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency metrics available for either side.
  • Transition: Limited transition data provided for this matchup.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable due to lack of xG and low confidence.
  • xVariable: xG statistics not accessible for Union Saint-Gilloise or Gent.
  • Market: Union Saint-Gilloise 64.5% (Δ+0%) | Draw 22.7% (Δ+0%) | Gent 12.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Union Saint-Gilloise D. Hubert
D. Hubert
VS
Gent R. Demil
R. Demil
2.23
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.36
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Club Brugge Rank: W
Mechelen Rank: W
Sint-Truiden Rank: W
Sint-Truiden Rank: W
Dender Rank: W
Genk Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sint-Truiden Rank: D
Anderlecht Rank: L
Mechelen Rank: D
Dender Rank: W
Zulte-Waregem Rank: W
Mechelen Rank: W
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 6 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Union Saint-Gilloise
64.46%
Draw
22.65%
Away Gent
12.9%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
36.64
19.58
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Union Saint-Gilloise
Gent
Power Score
36.64
19.58
League Position
1
4
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Union Saint-Gilloise — Opponent-weighted form score
Gent — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Union Saint-Gilloise Gent

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 12 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Union Saint-Gilloise USG Home
12 matches
Gent GNT Away
Match Record
6
Wins
0
6
Draws
6
0
Losses
6
Goals
20
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
20
+12
Goal Difference
-12
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T00:07:51+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Pitch
K. Scherpen
37 K. Scherpen
K. Mac Allister
5 K. Mac Allister
C. Burgess
16 C. Burgess
R. Sykes
26 R. Sykes
A. Khalaili
25 A. Khalaili
A. Zorgane
8 A. Zorgane
K. Van de Perre
6 K. Van de Perre
G. da Silva Carvalho
11 G. da Silva Carvalho
M. Biondic
9 M. Biondic
K. Rodríguez Cortéz
13 K. Rodríguez Cortéz
A. El Hadj
10 A. El Hadj
D. Roef
33 D. Roef
S. Van der Heyden
44 S. Van der Heyden
M. Volckaert
57 M. Volckaert
D. Hashioka
4 D. Hashioka
T. Alves Araújo
20 T. Alves Araújo
T. De Vlieger
27 T. De Vlieger
L. da Silva Lopes
22 L. da Silva Lopes
M. Skóraś
8 M. Skóraś
H. Hong
24 H. Hong
A. Kanga
7 A. Kanga
M. Dean
21 M. Dean

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 22, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 4 · Championship Round
Stadium
Stade Joseph Mariën
Capacity
50093
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Romain Devillers
Nico Claes
Lothar D'hondt
Wesli De Cremer

Expected Lineup

Referee : Lothar D'hondt

Starting XI ▼

37
Kjell Scherpen
Kjell Scherpen Goalkeeper
7
11
Guilherme Smith
Guilherme Smith Midfielder
6.96
25
Anan Khalaili
Anan Khalaili Midfielder
7.13
9
Mateo Biondic
Mateo Biondic Attacker
6.8
10
Anouar Ait El Hadj
Anouar Ait El Hadj Attacker
6.97
13
Kevin Rodríguez
Kevin Rodríguez Centre Forward
7.03
26
Ross Sykes
Ross Sykes Left Back
7.26
5
Kevin Mac Allister
Kevin Mac Allister Right Back
7.15
6
Kamiel Van De Perre
Kamiel Van De Perre Central Midfield
6.91
8
Adem Zorgane
Adem Zorgane Central Midfield
7.02
16
Christian Burgess
Christian Burgess Centre Back
7.26
Referee : Lothar D'hondt

Starting XI ▼

33
Davy Roef
Davy Roef Goalkeeper
6.96
20
Tiago Araújo
Tiago Araújo Midfielder
6.9
8
Michal Skoras
Michal Skoras Midfielder
7.47
21
Max Dean
Max Dean Attacker
6.95
7
Wilfried Kanga
Wilfried Kanga Attacker
7.07
4
Daiki Hashioka
Daiki Hashioka Right Back
6.47
24
Hyun-seok Hong
Hyun-seok Hong Attacking Midfield
6.77
44
Siebe Van der Heyden
Siebe Van der Heyden Left Back
6.88
57
Matties Volckaert
Matties Volckaert Centre Back
6.8
22
Leonardo Lopes
Leonardo Lopes Central Midfield
6.74
27
Tibe De Vlieger
Tibe De Vlieger Central Midfield
6.88

CONCLUSION

Union Saint-Gilloise look primed to extend their lead at the summit against Gent, backed by superior power, form, and table position. The hosts' 64.1% projection share reflects their edge, with Gent needing a flawless performance to disrupt. Lacking detailed set-piece or efficiency insights, the focus falls on Union's overall strength. A home win seems likely in this Championship Round encounter, solidifying their title charge while Gent aim to close the gap on the top three.

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