Tromsø vs Sandefjord Prediction, Preview and Stats

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Alfheim Stadion Sun, 26 Apr - 3:00 PM
Eliteserien
Tromsø Tromsø
Versus
Sandefjord Sandefjord
KICKOFF : Sun, 26 Apr - 3:00 PM
Round 6 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Tromsø host Sandefjord in Eliteserien (Regular Season) at Alfheim Stadion. Domestically, Tromsø sit 1th in the table while Sandefjord are 7th. Power ranking favours Tromsø by 15.7 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Tromsø lead the Eliteserien in 1st place, seven spots ahead of 7th-placed Sandefjord with a 15.7-point power advantage.
  • Form: Tromsø's form score of 34.28 towers over Sandefjord's 11.13.
  • Squad: Tromsø's superior power score of 38.9 reflects stronger squad quality than Sandefjord's 23.16.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics not provided.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats use low-confidence proxies without xG data for Tromsø and Sandefjord.
  • xVariable: xG variables unavailable due to add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Projection split: Tromsø 59.9% (Δ+0%) | Draw 23.6% (Δ+0%) | Sandefjord 16.5% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Tromsø J. Vik
J. Vik
VS
Sandefjord A. Tegström
A. Tegström
2.55
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.64
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: W
Lillestrøm Rank: D
Kristiansund Rank: W
Rosenborg Rank: W
Brann Rank: W
Fredrikstad Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rosenborg Rank: D
Brann Rank: W
KFUM Rank: W
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: L
Vålerenga Rank: L
KFUM Rank: W
8
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
8 - 8 - 8
8
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Tromsø
59.86%
Draw
23.64%
Away Sandefjord
16.5%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
38.9
23.16
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Tromsø
Sandefjord
Power Score
38.9
23.16
League Position
1
7
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Tromsø Opponent-weighted form score
Sandefjord Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Tromsø Sandefjord

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 24 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Tromsø Tromsø Home
24 matches
Sandefjord Sandefjord Away
Match Record
8
Wins
8
8
Draws
8
8
Losses
8
Goals
33
Goals Scored
30
30
Goals Conceded
33
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:14:23+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 6 · Regular Season
Stadium
Alfheim Stadion
Capacity
6687
Pitch Surface
N/A
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

1
Jakob Haugaard
Jakob Haugaard Goalkeeper
12
Ole Kristian Gjefle Lauvli
Ole Kristian Gjefle Lauvli Goalkeeper
50
Abderrahmane Sarr
Abderrahmane Sarr Goalkeeper
24
Jens Berland Husebø
Jens Berland Husebø Defender
2
Leo Erik Jean Cornic
Leo Erik Jean Cornic Defender
4
Vetle Skjærvik
Vetle Skjærvik Defender
30
Isak Vådebu
Isak Vådebu Defender
21
Tobias Kvalvågnes Guddal
Tobias Kvalvågnes Guddal Defender
37
Sander Håvik Innvær
Sander Håvik Innvær Defender
3
Mathias Tønnessen
Mathias Tønnessen Defender
25
Abubacarr Sedi Kinteh
Abubacarr Sedi Kinteh Defender
27
Mads Mikkelsen
Mads Mikkelsen Defender
11
Ruben Yttergård Jenssen
Ruben Yttergård Jenssen Midfielder
5
David Edvardsson
David Edvardsson Midfielder
8
Jesper Andreas Grundt
Jesper Andreas Grundt Midfielder
22
Heine Larsen
Heine Larsen Midfielder
6
Jens Hjertø-Dahl
Jens Hjertø-Dahl Midfielder
10
Troy Engseth Nyhammer
Troy Engseth Nyhammer Midfielder
29
Alexander Warneryd
Alexander Warneryd Midfielder
92
Johan Solstad-Nøis
Johan Solstad-Nøis Midfielder
7
Lars Olden Larsen
Lars Olden Larsen Attacker
15
Viktor Ekblom
Viktor Ekblom Attacker
9
Daniel Braut
Daniel Braut Attacker

Squad

30
Elias Hadaya
Elias Hadaya Goalkeeper
1
Alf Lukas Noel Grønneberg
Alf Lukas Noel Grønneberg Goalkeeper
44
Xander Lambrix
Xander Lambrix Defender
4
Fredrik Carson Pedersen
Fredrik Carson Pedersen Defender
3
Vetle Walle Egeli
Vetle Walle Egeli Defender
16
Håkon Krogelien
Håkon Krogelien Defender
26
Filip Loftesnes-Bjune
Filip Loftesnes-Bjune Defender
47
Stian Kristiansen
Stian Kristiansen Defender
2
Zinedin Smajlovic
Zinedin Smajlovic Defender
Gustav Højbjerg
Gustav Højbjerg Defender
20
Marcus Melchior
Marcus Melchior Midfielder
6
Sander Risan Mørk
Sander Risan Mørk Midfielder
8
Robin Dzabic
Robin Dzabic Midfielder
10
Ruben Kristensen Alte
Ruben Kristensen Alte Midfielder
37
Jakob Vester Nielsen
Jakob Vester Nielsen Midfielder
14
Edvard Sundbö Pettersen
Edvard Sundbö Pettersen Midfielder
27
Jakob Dunsby
Jakob Dunsby Attacker
7
Evangelos Patoulidis
Evangelos Patoulidis Attacker
11
Nikolaj Moller
Nikolaj Moller Attacker
24
Sebastian Holm Mathisen
Sebastian Holm Mathisen Attacker
19
Bendik Slotfeldt Berntsen
Bendik Slotfeldt Berntsen Attacker
17
Foster Apetorgbor
Foster Apetorgbor Attacker

CONCLUSION

Tromsø enter as clear frontrunners, leveraging their league-leading position, home advantage at Alfheim, and overwhelming power and form edges against Sandefjord. The 15.7-point gap underscores a mismatch where the hosts should dictate terms. Absent detailed efficiency or set-piece xG, broader metrics point to Tromsø extending their dominance. Sandefjord face an uphill battle to disrupt the leaders, with projections heavily tilted homeward at nearly 60%. Expect Tromsø to secure a comfortable victory and solidify their title charge.

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