Sunderland vs Tottenham Hotspur Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Premier League, England
Premier League
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
The match between Sunderland and Tottenham Hotspur is finished, ending 1-0 to the home side. The teams went into the interval level at 0-0, with Sunderland finding the decisive goal after the restart to claim all three points. Pre-match forecasts anticipated a tight contest, giving Sunderland roughly a 33% chance of victory while rating Tottenham slightly higher at 38%. The result represented a significant deviation in Sunderland’s favour, as the home team outperformed expectations to secure the win as the stronger side on the day. This outcome did not align with the pre-match projection, though the efficiency shift stayed in line with the balance of play. Sunderland enjoyed a narrow edge in possession at 53% to 47%, but no expected goals information was available to measure chance quality. No red cards were issued and no major disciplinary events altered the flow, allowing Sunderland to convert their slight territorial advantage into a narrow but important victory.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Sunderland showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
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Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
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xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
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Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
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xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
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Event impact: No major event distortion.
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Red card distortion: None.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Sunderland
Tottenham Hotspur
Movement
Changes since opening
Sunderland
Tottenham Hotspur
Team Power Ranking
i
21.84
17.53
Sunderland
Tottenham Hotspur
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Sunderland
Tottenham Hotspur
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Sunderland
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Sunderland
⚠ Proxy
Sunderland
Tottenham Hotspur
Sunderland
Tottenham Hotspur
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Sunderland
Sunderland
Tottenham Hotspur
Sunderland
Tottenham Hotspur
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- TOT had peak pressure around 6'.
- TOT started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 29 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-04-13T00:04:48+00:00
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General Information
Next Match
Sunderland
vs
Aston Villa
League: Premier League
Kickoff: Sun, 19 Apr - 1:00 PM
Venue: Villa Park
Tottenham Hotspur
vs
Brighton & Hove Albion
League: Premier League
Kickoff: Sat, 18 Apr - 4:30 PM
Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Manager ▼
Starting XI ▼














Substitutes ▼






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Match Commentary