Sturm Graz vs Austria Wien Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
Merkur Arena
Sun, 26 Apr - 3:00 PM
Admiral Bundesliga
Sturm Graz
STU
Austria Wien
FAK
KICKOFF :
Sun, 26 Apr - 3:00 PM
Round 7 ·
Championship Round
STANDINGS
Loading standings...
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Apr 21
CONTEXT
Sturm Graz host Austria Wien in Admiral Bundesliga (Championship Round) at Merkur Arena. Domestically, Sturm Graz sit 1th in the table while Austria Wien are 5th. Power ranking favours Sturm Graz by 6.8 points heading into this fixture.
TL;DR
-
Structural: Sturm Graz enjoys a 6.8-point power advantage with a score of 26.79 over Austria Wien's 20.
-
Form: Sturm Graz's form score stands at 23.56, well ahead of Austria Wien's 12.83.
-
Squad: Sturm Graz leads the league in 1st position, while Austria Wien occupies 5th.
-
Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
-
Transition: No specific transition metrics provided, with Sturm Graz's power edge suggesting superiority.
-
Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable with low confidence and proxy metrics used for both teams.
-
xVariable: xG variables absent as data add-on not enabled for either side.
-
Market: Sturm Graz 40.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28.1% (Δ+0%) | Austria Wien 31.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25
vs Team A
Feb 1
vs Team B
Feb 8
vs Team C
F. Ingolitsch
VS
S. Helm
1.42
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.39
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
LASK Linz
Rank:
D
LASK Linz
Rank:
D
Hartberg
Rank:
D
SK Rapid
Rank:
W
Salzburg
Rank:
D
Austria Wien
Rank:
W
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Salzburg
Rank:
D
Salzburg
Rank:
L
SK Rapid
Rank:
D
LASK Linz
Rank:
L
Hartberg
Rank:
W
Sturm Graz
Rank:
L
26
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
26 - 21 - 30
30
No sidelined player data available.
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Sturm Graz
40.05%
Draw
28.1%
Austria Wien
31.86%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
26.79
20
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sturm Graz
Austria Wien
Power Score
26.79
20
League Position
1
5
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Sturm Graz
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Austria Wien
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Sturm Graz Austria Wien
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 77 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Sturm Graz
STU
Home
77
matches
Austria Wien
FAK
Away
Match Record
26
Wins
30
21
Draws
21
30
Losses
26
Goals
105
Goals Scored
104
104
Goals Conceded
105
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
2.71
xG
2.21
2.21
xGA
2.71
Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:14:40+00:00
General Information
Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria · Round 7 · Championship Round
Stadium
Merkur Arena
Capacity
16764
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Next Match
Sturm Graz
vs
LASK Linz
League: Admiral Bundesliga
Kickoff: Wed, 22 Apr - 6:30 PM
Venue: Merkur Arena
Austria Wien
vs
Salzburg
League: Admiral Bundesliga
Kickoff: Wed, 22 Apr - 4:30 PM
Venue: Red Bull Arena
Squad
Manager ▼
F. Ingolitsch
Coach
Squad ▼
53
Daniil Khudyakov
Goalkeeper
40
Matteo Bignetti
Goalkeeper
41
Elias Lorenz
Goalkeeper
5
Albert Vallci
Defender
17
Emir Karic
Defender
24
Dimitri Lavalée
Defender
47
Emanuel Aiwu
Defender
22
Jusuf Gazibegovic
Defender
35
Niklas Geyrhofer
Defender
30
Paul-Friedrich Koller
Defender
2
Jeyland Mitchell
Defender
23
Arjan Malic
Defender
4
Jon Gorenc Stankovič
Midfielder
25
Stefan Hierländer
Midfielder
10
Otar Kiteishvili
Midfielder
80
Ryan Fosso
Midfielder
15
Gizo Mamageishvili
Midfielder
43
Jacob Peter Hödl
Midfielder
8
Filip Jan Rózga
Midfielder
39
Luca Weinhandl
Midfielder
77
Maurice Malone
Attacker
20
Seedy Jatta
Attacker
26
Belmin Beganovic
Attacker
9
Rory Wilson
Attacker
38
Leon Grgic
Attacker
11
Axel Kayombo
Attacker
Manager ▼
S. Helm
Coach
Squad ▼
1
Samuel Sahin-Radlinger
Goalkeeper
13
Lukas Wedl
Goalkeeper
99
Mirko Kos
Goalkeeper
24
Tin Plavotic
Defender
15
Aleksandar Dragović
Defender
26
Reinhold Ranftl
Defender
28
Philipp Wiesinger
Defender
21
Hakim Guenouche
Defender
46
Johannes Handl
Defender
17
Tae-Seok Lee
Defender
4
Ziad El Sheiwi
Defender
60
Dejan Radonjic
Defender
40
Matteo Schablas
Defender
66
IfeanyiIfeanyi Ndukwe
Defender
30
Manfred Fischer
Midfielder
5
Abobkar Bari
Midfielder
16
Kang-Hee Lee
Midfielder
22
Florian Wustinger
Midfielder
20
Sanel Saljic
Midfielder
33
Marijan Österreicher
Midfielder
70
Dominik Nisandzic
Midfielder
6
Philipp Maybach
Midfielder
36
Vasilije Markovic
Midfielder
19
Johannes Eggestein
Attacker
29
Marko Raguž
Attacker
11
Manprit Sarkaria
Attacker
9
Noah Botic
Attacker
14
Kelvin Owusu Boateng
Attacker
7
Romeo Vucic
Attacker
23
Konstantin Aleksa
Attacker
47
Abdoulaye Kanté
Attacker
CONCLUSION
Overall, the structural indicators point toward Sturm Graz holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Sturm Graz a 6.8-point edge. External projection is Sturm Graz 40.1%, draw 28.1%, and Austria Wien 31.9%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.