Standard Liège vs Antwerp Prediction, Preview and Stats

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Stade Maurice Dufrasne Today - 6:30 PM
Pro League
Standard Liège STL
Versus
Antwerp ANT
KICKOFF : Today - 6:30 PM
Round 4 Conference League Play-off Group

CONTEXT

Standard Liège host Antwerp in Pro League (Conference League Play-off Group) at Stade Maurice Dufrasne. Domestically, Standard Liège sit 8th in the table while Antwerp are 10th. Power ranking favours Standard Liège by 0.5 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Standard Liège possesses a 0.5-point power advantage over Antwerp with scores of 24.58 to 24.12.
  • Form: Standard Liège significantly outforms Antwerp at 23.06 versus 10.61.
  • Squad: Standard Liège ranks 8th in the league, ahead of Antwerp in 10th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition play data is not provided for this fixture.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable due to lack of xG and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xG-based variables are not accessible as data is disabled.
  • Market: Standard Liège 35.1% (Δ+0.2%) | Draw 29.8% (Δ-0.3%) | Antwerp 35.1% (Δ+0.2%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Standard Liège V. Euvrard
V. Euvrard
VS
Antwerp J. Oosting
J. Oosting
1.45
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.23
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sporting Charleroi Rank: W
Westerlo Rank: L
OH Leuven Rank: W
Westerlo Rank: D
Antwerp Rank: D
Zulte-Waregem Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
OH Leuven Rank: W
Sporting Charleroi Rank: L
Genk Rank: L
OH Leuven Rank: L
Standard Liège Rank: D
La Louvière Rank: D
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 8 - 7
7
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Standard Liège
35.12%
Draw
29.76%
Away Antwerp
35.12%

Movement

Changes since opening
Standard Liège
+0.16%
Draw
-0.33%
Antwerp
+0.16%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
24.58
24.12
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Standard Liège
Antwerp
Power Score
24.58
24.12
League Position
8
10
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Standard Liège — Opponent-weighted form score
Antwerp — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Standard Liège Antwerp

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 20 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Standard Liège STL Home
20 matches
Antwerp ANT Away
Match Record
5
Wins
7
8
Draws
8
7
Losses
5
Goals
22
Goals Scored
33
33
Goals Conceded
22
-11
Goal Difference
+11
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T00:03:25+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Pitch
L. Epolo Matthieu
1 L. Epolo Matthieu
I. Hautekiet
25 I. Hautekiet
D. Bates
4 D. Bates
J. Homawoo
24 J. Homawoo
H. Lawrence
18 H. Lawrence
C. Nielsen
94 C. Nielsen
M. Ilaimaharitra
23 M. Ilaimaharitra
G. Mortensen
3 G. Mortensen
A. Adnane
11 A. Adnane
D. Eckert Ayensa
10 D. Eckert Ayensa
R. Said Ahamada
17 R. Said Ahamada
T. Nozawa
41 T. Nozawa
D. Foulon
5 D. Foulon
Y. Tsunashima
4 Y. Tsunashima
Z. Van Den Bosch
33 Z. Van Den Bosch
F. Adekami
22 F. Adekami
D. Praet
8 D. Praet
Xander Dierckx
78 Xander Dierckx
A. Valencia
14 A. Valencia
C. Scott
30 C. Scott
G. Kerk
7 G. Kerk
V. Janssen
18 V. Janssen

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 21, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 4 · Conference League Play-off Group
Stadium
Stade Maurice Dufrasne
Capacity
27670
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Nathan Verboomen
Mathias Hillaert
Lawrence Visser
Maarten Toeback

Expected Lineup

Referee : Nathan Verboomen

Starting XI ▼

1
Matthieu Epolo
Matthieu Epolo Goalkeeper
7.06
18
Henry Lawrence
Henry Lawrence Midfielder
6.69
3
Gustav Julius Mortensen
Gustav Julius Mortensen Midfielder
6.7
10
Dennis Eckert Ayensa
Dennis Eckert Ayensa Centre Forward
6.71
11
Adnane Abid
Adnane Abid Attacker
6.83
17
Rafiki Saïd
Rafiki Saïd Attacker
6.84
4
David Bates
David Bates Centre Back
6.9
25
Ibe Hautekiet
Ibe Hautekiet Right Back
6.89
23
Marco Ilaimaharitra
Marco Ilaimaharitra Central Midfield
6.7
24
Josué Homawoo
Josué Homawoo Left Back
6.88
94
Casper Nielsen
Casper Nielsen Central Midfield
6.78
Referee : Nathan Verboomen

Starting XI ▼

41
Taishi Brandon Nozawa
Taishi Brandon Nozawa Goalkeeper
7
14
Anthony Valencia
Anthony Valencia Midfielder
6.85
22
Farouck Adekami
Farouck Adekami Midfielder
6.87
7
Gyrano Kerk
Gyrano Kerk Attacker
6.79
18
Vincent Janssen
Vincent Janssen Attacker
7.05
4
Yuto Tsunashima
Yuto Tsunashima Centre Back
6.88
5
Daam Foulon
Daam Foulon Left Back
6.82
8
Dennis Praet
Dennis Praet Central Midfield
6.9
30
Christopher Scott
Christopher Scott Attacking Midfield
6.9
33
Zeno Van Den Bosch
Zeno Van Den Bosch Right Back
6.84
78
Xander Dierckx
Xander Dierckx Central Midfield
6.34

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Standard Liège holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Standard Liège a 0.5-point edge. External projection is Standard Liège 38.4%, draw 29.1%, and Antwerp 32.5%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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