Spartak Moskva vs Akron Prediction, Preview and Stats

Russia flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
Otkrytiye Arena Tue, 10 Mar - 12:03 AM
Premier League
Spartak Moskva Spartak Moskva
4 Winner 3
Akron Akron
Full Time Tue, 10 Mar 12:03 AM
Pablo Solari - 23'
Christopher Wooh - 41'
Christopher Martins - 45+2'
Marquinhos - 88'
Goal
|
Goal
Maksim Boldyrev - 18', 62'
Benchimol - 57' (P)

CONTEXT

The match between Spartak Moskva and Akron has finished, with the home side securing a high-scoring 4-3 victory. Spartak Moskva established a commanding lead early on, heading into the halftime break with a 3-1 advantage before Akron mounted a determined second-half push to tighten the final scoreline. Spartak Moskva dominated the ball throughout the contest, controlling 65% of the possession compared to Akron's 35%. Expected goals (xG) data was completely unavailable for this fixture, making it impossible to evaluate whether the seven-goal outcome aligned with underlying chance creation. Furthermore, the match flowed without major disciplinary disruptions, as neither team received a red card to impact the tactical balance. Ultimately, the final outcome aligned with the pre-match market, which favored Spartak Moskva as the stronger team, even though the baseline pre-market probability metrics registered at zero. The data highlighted a significant performance deviation specifically involving Spartak Moskva. The match's efficiency shift was classified as in line with expectations. However, Akron actually displayed a higher offensive efficiency (0.5772) compared to the hosts (-0.5772), which allowed the visitors to score three times and remain highly competitive despite their severe lack of possession.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Spartak Moskva showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
I. Tanashev
I. Tanashev
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 14.44
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.5
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.31
R. Mukhtarov
R. Mukhtarov
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 14.44
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.5
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.31
S. Popkov
S. Popkov
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 14.44
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.5
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.31
D. Naboka
D. Naboka
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 14.44
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.5
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.31
Spartak Moskva J. Carcedo Mardones
J. Carcedo Mardones
VS
Akron Z. Tedeev
Z. Tedeev
1.75
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.25
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sochi Rank: W
Dinamo Moskva Rank: D
Baltika Kaliningrad Rank: L
CSKA Moskva Rank: W
Akhmat Grozny Rank: W
Krasnodar Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Orenburg Rank: L
Zenit Rank: L
FK Nizjni Novgorod Rank: L
Sochi Rank: W
Dinamo Moskva Rank: W
Rostov Rank: W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Spartak Moskva
0%
Draw
0%
Away Akron
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.33
35
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Spartak Moskva
Akron
Power Score
58.33
35
League Position
6
11
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Spartak Moskva — Opponent-weighted form score
Akron — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Spartak Moskva Akron

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Spartak Moskva

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Akron

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Spartak Moskva ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Akron
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
27.23
34.57
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
34.57
27.23
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Spartak Moskva -0.84 Efficiency Index
vs
Akron +0.84 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Spartak Moskva
Akron
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Spartak Moskva ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Akron
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Spartak Moskva Akron
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Spartak Moskva Akron
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Spartak Moskva
Akron
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Spartak Moskva Spartak Moskva Home
3 matches
Akron Akron Away
Match Record
2
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
2
Goals
8
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
8
+5
Goal Difference
-5
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-10T00:04:24+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 10, 2026, 12:03 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
Stadium
Otkrytiye Arena
Capacity
45360
Attendance
17797
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Inal Tanashev
Rustam Mukhtarov
Stanislav Popkov
Danil Naboka

Statistics

Possession
Spartak Moskva
61%
Akron
39%

Top Statistics

2 Big Chances Created 2
4 Shots 2
54 Dangerous attacks 42
65 Possession 35
9 Corners 1
16 Free kicks 12
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

13 Throwins 12
16 Successful Headers 22
19 Dribble Attempts 8
10 Successful Dribbles 5
53 Successful Dribbles Percentage 63
6 Goal Kicks 8
3 Assists 2
0 Penalties 1

Attacking

103 Attacks 78

Possession

83 Successful Passes Percentage 62
40 Successful Long Passes Percentage 33
458 Passes 237
43 Long Passes 54
17 Successful Long Passes 18
379 Successful Passes 148

Defensive

12 Interceptions 11
6 Tackles 15
1 Saves 5

Build-up

21 Total Crosses 24
4 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

13 Fouls 16
5 Offsides 2

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Alexander Djiku
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
90+5'
Event
Marquinhos
Right foot shot / 6th Goal
88'
Event
V. Saus → Daniil Denisov
8th Substitution
87'
Event
Nikita Massalyga → Pablo Solari
7th Substitution
87'
84'
Event
Konstantin Maradishvili → Yomar Rocha
6th Substitution
Event
Daniil Denisov
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
82'
Event
Levi García → Manfred Ugalde
4th Substitution
80'
Event
Roman Zobnin → Gedson Fernandes
5th Substitution
80'
76'
Event
Edgar Sevikyan → Benchimol
3rd Substitution
72'
Event
Dmitriy Pestryakov → Maksim Boldyrev
2nd Substitution
66'
Event
Khetag Khosonov
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Marquinhos → Christopher Martins
1st Substitution
63'
62'
Event
Maksim Boldyrev
Header / 5th Goal
57'
Event
Benchimol
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
55'
Event
Benchimol
Penalty awarded
1ST-HALF
Event
Christopher Martins
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
45+2'
Event
Christopher Wooh
Header / 3rd Goal
41'
Event
Pablo Solari
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
23'
18'
Event
Maksim Boldyrev
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
7'
Event
Yomar Rocha
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Spartak Moskva exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Related Football Previews