Sønderjyske Fodbold vs Viborg FF Prediction, Preview and Stats

Denmark flag 2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark
Sydbank Park Sun, 12 Apr - 12:00 PM
Superliga
Sønderjyske Fodbold SON
0 Winner 2
Viborg FF Viborg FF
Full Time Sun, 12 Apr 12:00 PM
Round 4 Championship Round
|
Goal
Lukas Kirkegaard - 48'
Osman Addo - 90+1'

CONTEXT

The match between Sønderjyske Fodbold and Viborg FF is finished, ending with a full-time score of 0-2 to the visitors. The teams went into halftime level at 0-0, but Viborg FF improved after the break to secure a decisive victory. Pre-match assessments gave Viborg FF a 41.4 percent share against 33.2 percent for the hosts, yet the outcome marked a significant deviation in favor of Viborg FF. Possession stayed close throughout, with Sønderjyske Fodbold holding 52 percent and their opponents 48 percent. No xG data was available to measure chance quality, and no red cards or major disruptive events influenced the contest. The efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations, and the result proved consistent with the pre-match projection. Viborg FF ultimately showed they were the stronger side, converting their second-half opportunities while the home team could not respond.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Viborg FF showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. Kehlet
J. Kehlet
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 18.83
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.1
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.07
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.28
E. Deronjic
E. Deronjic
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 18.83
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.1
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.07
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.28
D. Kolding
D. Kolding
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 18.83
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.1
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.07
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.28
J. Rasmussen
J. Rasmussen
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 18.83
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.1
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.07
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.28
Sønderjyske Fodbold T. Nørgaard
T. Nørgaard
VS
Viborg FF Nickolai Lund
Nickolai Lund
1.86
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.79
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Midtjylland Rank: D
Nordsjælland Rank: L
AGF Rank: D
Odense BK Rank: W
Brøndby IF Rank: D
Silkeborg IF Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
AGF Rank: L
FC Midtjylland Rank: D
Brøndby IF Rank: W
Nordsjælland Rank: W
AGF Rank: L
Brøndby IF Rank: W
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 9 - 8
8

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sønderjyske Fodbold
33.2%
Draw
25.44%
Away Viborg FF
41.37%

Movement

Changes since opening
Sønderjyske Fodbold
+32.98%
Draw
+23.52%
Viborg FF
-56.49%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
28.63
28.68
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sønderjyske Fodbold
Viborg FF
Power Score
28.63
28.68
League Position
5
5
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sønderjyske Fodbold — Opponent-weighted form score
Viborg FF — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sønderjyske Fodbold Viborg FF

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Sønderjyske Fodbold

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Viborg FF

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Sønderjyske Fodbold ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Viborg FF
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
33.08
39.90
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
39.90
33.08
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Sønderjyske Fodbold -0.68 Efficiency Index
vs
Viborg FF +0.68 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Sønderjyske Fodbold
Viborg FF
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sønderjyske Fodbold ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Viborg FF
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sønderjyske Fodbold Viborg FF
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sønderjyske Fodbold Viborg FF
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Sønderjyske Fodbold
Viborg FF
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Sønderjyske Fodbold
vs
Viborg FF
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Sønderjyske Fodbold Viborg FF
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Sønderjyske Fodbold 0.22
Viborg FF 0.40
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Sønderjyske Fodbold Viborg FF
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Sønderjyske Fodbold 0.05
Viborg FF 0.00
Sønderjyske Fodbold
Viborg FF
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SON had peak pressure around 28'.
  • Viborg FF started the game with stronger pressure.
SON Pressure Viborg FF Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SON reached the top pressure at 28' (86.77).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 21 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sønderjyske Fodbold SON Home
21 matches
Viborg FF Viborg FF Away
Match Record
4
Wins
8
9
Draws
9
8
Losses
4
Goals
25
Goals Scored
36
36
Goals Conceded
25
-11
Goal Difference
+11
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-13T00:03:57+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
M. Sorensen
Substitution
Denmark
16 M. Sorensen
S. Sylvest Wæver
Substitution
Denmark
3 S. Sylvest Wæver
M. Jensen
Substitution
Denmark
5 M. Jensen
M. Soulas
France
12 M. Soulas
D. Grétarsson
Substitution
Iceland
4 D. Grétarsson
R. Vinderslev
Denmark
6 R. Vinderslev
T. Sommer
Denmark
26 T. Sommer
L. Qamili
Albania
15 L. Qamili
S. Emini
Substitution
Macedonia
7 S. Emini
O. Hyseni
Denmark
24 O. Hyseni
A. Lyng
Denmark
11 A. Lyng
L. Pedersen
Denmark
1 L. Pedersen
S. Kuzmic
Slovenia
30 S. Kuzmic
Ž. Zaletel
Slovenia
5 Ž. Zaletel
L. Kirkegaard
Denmark
32 L. Kirkegaard
H. Bidstrup
Substitution
Denmark
26 H. Bidstrup
M. Clausen
Substitution
Denmark
6 M. Clausen
J. Grønning
Denmark
13 J. Grønning
T. Jørgensen
Denmark
10 T. Jørgensen
S. Jalal Karchoud
Substitution
Denmark
29 S. Jalal Karchoud
D. Hanza Meha
Substitution
Equatorial Guinea
19 D. Hanza Meha
B. Brahimi
Substitution
France
21 B. Brahimi

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 12, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark · Round 4 · Championship Round
Stadium
Sydbank Park
Capacity
10000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jakob Kehlet
Esad Deronjic
Danny Kolding
Jacob Rasmussen

Statistics

Possession
SON
50%
Viborg FF
50%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 2
2 Big Chances Created 1
6 Shots 11
64 Dangerous attacks 43
52 Possession 48
6 Corners 4
14 Free kicks 13
2 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 5
16 Dribble Attempts 15
21 Throwins 24
10 Goal Kicks 14
6 Successful Dribbles 11
38 Successful Dribbles Percentage 73
0 Assists 1
0 Hit Woodwork 1
70 Ball Safe 81
5 Goal Attempts 13

Attacking

0 Counter Attacks 3
2 Big Chances Missed 0
116 Attacks 94

Possession

65 Long Passes 58
11 Key Passes 13
312 Successful Passes 302
410 Passes 388
27 Successful Long Passes 22
76 Successful Passes Percentage 78
42 Successful Long Passes Percentage 38

Defensive

2 Saves 2
8 Interceptions 17
23 Tackles 18

Build-up

24 Total Crosses 7
4 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

13 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 3

Lineup

Referee : Jakob Kehlet

Starting XI ▼

16
Marcus Bundgaard
Marcus Bundgaard Goalkeeper
1
N. Flø
N. Flø
Goalkeeper59'
3
S. Wæver
S. Wæver Defender
20
T. Klysner
T. Klysner
Attacker46'
4
Daníel Leó Grétarsson
Daníel Leó Grétarsson Defender
9
M. Hoppe
M. Hoppe
Attacker60'
5
M. Jensen
M. Jensen Defender
19
Pachanga Cassoma Kristensen
Pachanga Cassoma Kristensen
Defender68'
12
M. Soulas
M. Soulas Defender
6
R. Vinderslev
R. Vinderslev Midfielder
7
S. Emini
S. Emini Midfielder
13
D. Wilkins
D. Wilkins
Defender59'
15
Lirim Qamili
Lirim Qamili Midfielder
24
O. Hyseni
O. Hyseni Midfielder
26
T. Sommer
T. Sommer Midfielder
11
A. Lyng
A. Lyng Attacker
Referee : Jakob Kehlet

Starting XI ▼

1
Lucas Lund
Lucas Lund Goalkeeper
5
Zan Zaletel
Zan Zaletel Defender
26
Hjalte Bidstrup
Hjalte Bidstrup Defender
18
Jean Manuel Mbom
Jean Manuel Mbom
Defender46'
30
Srdjan Kuzmic
Srdjan Kuzmic Defender
32
Lukas Kirkegaard
Lukas Kirkegaard Defender
6
Mads Søndergaard
Mads Søndergaard Midfielder
8
Asker Beck
Asker Beck
Midfielder80'
10
Thomas Jørgensen
Thomas Jørgensen Midfielder
13
Jeppe Grønning
Jeppe Grønning Midfielder
19
Dorian Hanza
Dorian Hanza Attacker
9
Tim Freriks
Tim Freriks
Attacker90+6'
21
Bilal Brahimi
Bilal Brahimi Attacker
11
Charly Nouck
Charly Nouck
Attacker65'
29
Sami Jalal
Sami Jalal Attacker
17
Osman Addo
Osman Addo
Attacker80'

Events

2ND-HALF
90+6'
Event
Tim Freriks → Dorian Hanza
10th Substitution
Event
T. Klysner
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
90+4'
90+1'
Event
Osman Addo
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Lirim Qamili
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
90'
80'
Event
Osman Addo → Sami Jalal
8th Substitution
80'
Event
Asker Beck → Mads Søndergaard
9th Substitution
79'
Event
Charly Nouck
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
72'
Event
Mads Søndergaard
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Pachanga Cassoma Kristensen → M. Jensen
7th Substitution
68'
65'
Event
Charly Nouck → Bilal Brahimi
6th Substitution
Event
M. Hoppe → Daníel Leó Grétarsson
5th Substitution
60'
Event
N. Flø → Marcus Bundgaard
3rd Substitution
59'
Event
D. Wilkins → S. Emini
4th Substitution
59'
55'
Event
Dorian Hanza
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
48'
Event
Lukas Kirkegaard
Header / 1st Goal
Event
T. Klysner → S. Wæver
1st Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Jean Manuel Mbom → Hjalte Bidstrup
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
34'
Event
Zan Zaletel
Goal disallowed

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Viborg FF exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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