SK Rapid vs Salzburg Prediction, Preview and Stats

Austria flag 2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
Allianz Stadion Sun, 8 Mar - 4:00 PM
Admiral Bundesliga
SK Rapid SCR
1 Winner 0
Salzburg RBS
Full Time Sun, 8 Mar 4:00 PM
Janis Antiste - 38'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. SK Rapid 0–0 Salzburg. The match ended in a draw. Salzburg showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 32%–68%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Salzburg showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
H. Lechner
H. Lechner
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.17
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.33
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Spurny
J. Spurny
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.17
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.33
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Kolbitsch
M. Kolbitsch
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.17
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.33
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
S. Gruber
S. Gruber
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.17
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.33
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
SK Rapid J. Hoff Thorup
J. Hoff Thorup
VS
Salzburg D. Beichler
D. Beichler
1.06
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.63
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rheindorf Altach Rank: D
Wolfsberger AC Rank: W
Austria Wien Rank: L
Hartberg Rank: D
Blau-Weiß Linz Rank: D
Ried Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hartberg Rank: D
LASK Linz Rank: W
Grazer AK Rank: D
Austria Wien Rank: L
Wolfsberger AC Rank: W
Blau-Weiß Linz Rank: W
15
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
15 - 20 - 44
44

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home SK Rapid
24.95%
Draw
25.81%
Away Salzburg
49.24%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
50
56.06
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
SK Rapid
Salzburg
Power Score
50
56.06
League Position
5
2
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
SK Rapid — Opponent-weighted form score
Salzburg — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) SK Rapid Salzburg

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

SK Rapid

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Salzburg

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

SK Rapid ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Salzburg
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
12.19
27.79
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
27.79
12.19
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
SK Rapid -1.22 Efficiency Index
vs
Salzburg +1.22 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
SK Rapid
Salzburg
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

SK Rapid ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Salzburg
Created Set-piece attacking threat
SK Rapid Salzburg
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
SK Rapid Salzburg
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
SK Rapid
Salzburg
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 21 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

SK Rapid SCR Home
21 matches
Salzburg RBS Away
Match Record
2
Wins
14
5
Draws
5
14
Losses
2
Goals
21
Goals Scored
41
41
Goals Conceded
21
-20
Goal Difference
+20
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-09T00:12:25+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 08, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
Stadium
Allianz Stadion
Capacity
28345
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Harald Lechner
Josef Spurny
Maximilian Kolbitsch
Sebastian Gruber

Statistics

Possession
SCR
33%
RBS
67%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
1 Big Chances Created 4
1 Shots 5
18 Dangerous attacks 78
32 Possession 68
0 Corners 5
12 Free kicks 9
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

19 Successful Dribbles Percentage 48
11 Goal Kicks 2
16 Dribble Attempts 27
3 Successful Dribbles 13
19 Throwins 31
1 Assists 0
5 Substitutions 5
1 Goal Attempts 10
53 Ball Safe 47

Attacking

67 Attacks 153
0 Big Chances Missed 4

Possession

3 Key Passes 12
49 Long Passes 55
264 Passes 575
179 Successful Passes 474
17 Successful Long Passes 23
35 Successful Long Passes Percentage 42
68 Successful Passes Percentage 82

Defensive

5 Saves 0
8 Interceptions 7
22 Tackles 25

Build-up

7 Total Crosses 17
4 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

8 Fouls 15
4 Offsides 2

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Petter Nosa Dahl
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
90+6'
90+3'
Event
Karim Konaté
Goal disallowed
Event
Ercan Kara → Andreas Weimann
10th Substitution
81'
Event
Amin-Elias Gröller → Jannes Horn
9th Substitution
80'
80'
Event
Clement Bischoff → Kerim Alajbegovic
8th Substitution
75'
Event
Mads Bidstrup
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
7th Substitution
70'
Event
Tobias Børkeeiet → Janis Antiste
5th Substitution
69'
69'
Event
6th Substitution
68'
Event
Aleksa Terzic → Frans Krätzig
4th Substitution
60'
Event
Karim Konaté → Edmund Baidoo
2nd Substitution
60'
Event
Oliver Lukić → Mamady Diambou
3rd Substitution
50'
Event
Mamady Diambou
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
48'
Event
Joane Gadou
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
Event
Janis Antiste
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
38'
Event
Ange Ahoussou
Goal disallowed
31'
Event
Tobias Gulliksen → Daniel Nunoo
1st Substitution
22'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Salzburg exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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