Sion vs Lausanne Sport Prediction, Preview and Stats

Switzerland flag 2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland
Stade de Tourbillon Sun, 12 Apr - 2:30 PM
Super League
Sion SIO
3 Winner 0
Lausanne Sport LAU
Full Time Sun, 12 Apr 2:30 PM
Round 33 Regular Season
Benjamin Kololli - 57'
Ilyas Chouaref - 70' (P)
Franck Surdez - 74'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

The match between Sion and Lausanne Sport is now finished, ending in a 3-0 victory for Sion. The teams went into half-time level at 0-0, but Sion pulled clear in the second period to record a convincing win. Pre-match expectations had Sion as narrow favourites with a 50% chance of success, against 27% for the draw and 23% for a Lausanne Sport victory. The outcome represented a significant deviation in Sion’s favour, as they produced a more dominant display than anticipated. Sion controlled 59% of possession to their opponents’ 41% and looked the stronger side throughout, with no red cards or major disruptive events affecting the flow of play. The efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations and the result ultimately aligned with the pre-match projection of a home win, albeit more emphatically than many would have predicted. Without expected goals data available, the final scoreline underlined Sion’s clear superiority on the day.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Sion showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. Kanagasingam
A. Kanagasingam
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 24.43
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.46
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.54
S. Küng
S. Küng
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 24.43
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.46
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.54
L. Aschwanden
L. Aschwanden
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 24.43
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.46
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.54
D. Grundbacher
D. Grundbacher
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 24.43
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.46
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.54
Sion D. Tholot
D. Tholot
VS
Lausanne Sport P. Zeidler
P. Zeidler
1.54
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.29
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Grasshopper Rank: W
St. Gallen Rank: D
Zürich Rank: W
Winterthur Rank: D
Lugano Rank: L
Servette Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Winterthur Rank: W
Luzern Rank: L
Young Boys Rank: L
Grasshopper Rank: W
Zürich Rank: W
Basel Rank: L
18
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
18 - 7 - 8
8

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sion
50.01%
Draw
26.99%
Away Lausanne Sport
23%

Movement

Changes since opening
Sion
-44.05%
Draw
+22.47%
Lausanne Sport
+21.58%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
24.1
20.01
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sion
Lausanne Sport
Power Score
24.1
20.01
League Position
5
9
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sion — Opponent-weighted form score
Lausanne Sport — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sion Lausanne Sport

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Sion

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Lausanne Sport

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Sion ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Lausanne Sport
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
24.07
9.27
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
9.27
24.07
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Sion +1.40 Efficiency Index
vs
Lausanne Sport -1.40 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Sion
Lausanne Sport
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sion ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Lausanne Sport
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sion Lausanne Sport
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sion Lausanne Sport
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Sion
Lausanne Sport
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Sion
vs
Lausanne Sport
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Sion Lausanne Sport
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Sion 0.27
Lausanne Sport 0.06
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Sion Lausanne Sport
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Sion 0.00
Lausanne Sport 0.07
Sion
Lausanne Sport
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SIO had peak pressure around 61'.
  • SIO started the game with stronger pressure.
SIO Pressure LAU Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SIO reached the top pressure at 61' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 33 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sion SIO Home
33 matches
Lausanne Sport LAU Away
Match Record
18
Wins
8
7
Draws
7
8
Losses
18
Goals
43
Goals Scored
25
25
Goals Conceded
43
+18
Goal Difference
-18
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-13T00:06:52+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
A. Racioppi
Switzerland
1 A. Racioppi
N. Lavanchy
Switzerland
14 N. Lavanchy
K. Hajrizi
Kosovo
28 K. Hajrizi
J. Kronig
Switzerland
17 J. Kronig
N. Hefti
Switzerland
20 N. Hefti
A. Kabacalman
Substitution
Switzerland
88 A. Kabacalman
B. Costa Rodrigues de Oliveira
Brazil
8 B. Costa Rodrigues de Oliveira
B. Kololli
Substitution
Kosovo
70 B. Kololli
J. Lukembila
Substitution
Switzerland
39 J. Lukembila
I. Chouaref
Substitution
France
7 I. Chouaref
R. Nivokazi
Substitution
Kosovo
33 R. Nivokazi
K. Letica
Croatia
25 K. Letica
S. Fofana
Substitution
France
93 S. Fofana
A. Sow
Switzerland
71 A. Sow
K. Mouanga
France
14 K. Mouanga
T. Bergvall
Substitution
Sweden
6 T. Bergvall
N. Beloko
Substitution
Switzerland
16 N. Beloko
J. Roche
Substitution
Sweden
8 J. Roche
O. Custodio Da Costa
Switzerland
10 O. Custodio Da Costa
O. Janneh Susso
Spain
78 O. Janneh Susso
T. Bair
Canada
9 T. Bair
S. Traore
Substitution
Ivory Coast
17 S. Traore

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 12, 2026, 02:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stade de Tourbillon
Capacity
16263
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Anojen Kanagasingam
Susann Küng
Livio Aschwanden
Désirée Grundbacher

Statistics

Possession
SIO
57%
LAU
43%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0
6 Big Chances Created 0
4 Shots 2
44 Dangerous attacks 36
59 Possession 41
4 Corners 2
17 Free kicks 18
0 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

10 Goal Attempts 2
2 Goal Kicks 7
85 Ball Safe 81
5 Substitutions 5
2 Assists 0
2 Penalties 0
13 Dribble Attempts 14
27 Throwins 17
46 Successful Dribbles Percentage 71
6 Successful Dribbles 10

Attacking

3 Big Chances Missed 0
92 Attacks 85

Possession

10 Key Passes 1
84 Successful Passes Percentage 77
59 Long Passes 46
427 Successful Passes 274
511 Passes 358
20 Successful Long Passes 20
34 Successful Long Passes Percentage 43

Defensive

0 Saves 3
13 Interceptions 11
18 Tackles 15

Build-up

5 Accurate Crosses 1
21 Total Crosses 10

Discipline

4 Offsides 0
18 Fouls 17

Lineup

Referee : Anojen Kanagasingam

Starting XI ▼

1
Anthony Racioppi
Anthony Racioppi Goalkeeper
14
Numa Lavanchy
Numa Lavanchy Defender
17
Jan Kronig
Jan Kronig Defender
20
Nias Hefti
Nias Hefti Defender
28
Kreshnik Hajrizi
Kreshnik Hajrizi Defender
7
Ilyas Chouaref
Ilyas Chouaref Midfielder
5
Noé Sow
Noé Sow
Defender84'
8
Baltazar
Baltazar Midfielder
39
Josias Lukembila
Josias Lukembila Midfielder
19
Franck Surdez
Franck Surdez
Attacker67'
70
Benjamin Kololli
Benjamin Kololli Midfielder
29
Théo Berdayes
Théo Berdayes
Attacker67'
88
Ali Kabacalman
Ali Kabacalman Midfielder
21
Liam Chipperfield
Liam Chipperfield
Midfielder80'
33
Rilind Nivokazi
Rilind Nivokazi Attacker
13
Winsley Boteli
Winsley Boteli
Attacker79'
Referee : Anojen Kanagasingam

Starting XI ▼

25
Karlo Letica
Karlo Letica Goalkeeper
6
Theo Bergvall
Theo Bergvall Defender
2
Brandon Soppy
Brandon Soppy
Defender46'
14
Kévin Mouanga
Kévin Mouanga Defender
71
Karim Sow
Karim Sow Defender
93
Sékou Fofana
Sékou Fofana Defender
18
Morgan Poaty
Morgan Poaty
Defender83'
8
Jamie Roche
Jamie Roche Midfielder
70
Gaoussou Diakité
Gaoussou Diakité
Midfielder68'
10
Olivier Custodio
Olivier Custodio Midfielder
16
Nicky Beloko
Nicky Beloko Midfielder
11
Nathan Butler-Oyedeji
Nathan Butler-Oyedeji
Attacker46'
9
Theo Bair
Theo Bair Attacker
17
Seydou Traoré
Seydou Traoré Attacker
27
Beyatt Lekoueiry
Beyatt Lekoueiry
Midfielder46'
78
Omar Janneh
Omar Janneh Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Noé Sow → Ilyas Chouaref
10th Substitution
84'
83'
Event
Morgan Poaty → Sékou Fofana
9th Substitution
Event
Liam Chipperfield → Ali Kabacalman
8th Substitution
80'
Event
Winsley Boteli → Rilind Nivokazi
7th Substitution
79'
Event
Franck Surdez
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
74'
Event
Ilyas Chouaref
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
70'
68'
Event
Gaoussou Diakité → Jamie Roche
6th Substitution
Event
Franck Surdez → Josias Lukembila
5th Substitution
67'
Event
Théo Berdayes → Benjamin Kololli
4th Substitution
67'
Event
Ali Kabacalman
OffTarget
60'
59'
Event
Karim Sow
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Benjamin Kololli
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
57'
56'
Event
Beyatt Lekoueiry
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
46'
Event
Beyatt Lekoueiry → Seydou Traoré
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Nathan Butler-Oyedeji → Nicky Beloko
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Brandon Soppy → Theo Bergvall
3rd Substitution
1ST-HALF
31'
Event
Omar Janneh
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
31'
Event
5th Yellowcard
9'
Event
Seydou Traoré
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Sion exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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