Silkeborg IF vs Fredericia Prediction, Preview and Stats

Denmark flag 2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark
JYSK park Sun, 19 Apr - 12:00 PM
Superliga
Silkeborg IF SIL
2 – 2
Fredericia Fredericia
Full Time Sun, 19 Apr 12:00 PM
Round 5 Relegation Round
Callum McCowatt - 23'
Tonni Adamsen - 29'
Goal
|
Goal
Jonatan Holm Lindekilde - 78', 90+3'

CONTEXT

Silkeborg IF surged to a 2-0 halftime lead over Fredericia, capitalizing on early dominance with 51% possession in a match that promised a home victory. However, the second half unfolded dramatically as Fredericia mounted a comeback, equalizing at 2-2 to snatch a point. No red cards marred the contest, keeping the focus on tactical battles and individual quality. Possession remained tightly contested at 51-49 in favor of the hosts, underscoring the even nature of play despite the scoreline swing. Pre-match assessments viewed Fredericia as the stronger team, yet the draw marked a significant 75.1% structural deviation in their favor. Efficiency held in line with norms, though absent xG data limits precise chance conversion analysis. This outcome defied market alignments, highlighting Fredericia's second-half resilience and Silkeborg's inability to hold their advantage.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Match resulted in a significant 75.1% deviation favoring Fredericia.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with pre-match expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable prevents alignment assessment.
  • Market alignment: Outcome did not align with pre-match market probabilities.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unevaluable due to missing metrics.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events altered dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, avoiding any dismissal-related distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. Maae
J. Maae
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.66
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.61
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.07
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
O. Kronlykke
O. Kronlykke
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.66
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.61
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.07
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
D. Rasmussen
D. Rasmussen
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.66
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.61
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.07
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
N. Andersen
N. Andersen
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.66
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.61
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.07
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
Silkeborg IF K. Nielsen
K. Nielsen
VS
Fredericia M. Hansen
M. Hansen
0.86
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.13
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Odense BK Rank: W
FC København Rank: L
Randers FC Rank: W
Vejle Boldklub Rank: D
Fredericia Rank: L
FC Midtjylland Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vejle Boldklub Rank: D
Odense BK Rank: L
FC København Rank: W
Randers FC Rank: L
Silkeborg IF Rank: W
Randers FC Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Silkeborg IF
45.5%
Draw
24.88%
Away Fredericia
29.62%

Movement

Changes since opening
Silkeborg IF
-46.84%
Draw
+17.49%
Fredericia
+29.35%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
17.67
22.71
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Silkeborg IF
Fredericia
Power Score
17.67
22.71
League Position
11
10
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Silkeborg IF — Opponent-weighted form score
Fredericia — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Silkeborg IF Fredericia

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Silkeborg IF

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Fredericia

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Silkeborg IF ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Fredericia
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
27.35
36.84
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
36.84
27.35
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Silkeborg IF -0.95 Efficiency Index
vs
Fredericia +0.95 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Silkeborg IF
Fredericia
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Silkeborg IF ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Fredericia
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Silkeborg IF Fredericia
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Silkeborg IF Fredericia
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Silkeborg IF
Fredericia
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Silkeborg IF
vs
Fredericia
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Silkeborg IF Fredericia
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Silkeborg IF 0.31
Fredericia 0.25
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Silkeborg IF Fredericia
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Silkeborg IF 0.03
Fredericia 0.05
Silkeborg IF
Fredericia
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SIL had peak pressure around 16'.
  • Fredericia started the game with stronger pressure.
SIL Pressure Fredericia Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SIL reached the top pressure at 16' (64.16).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Silkeborg IF SIL Home
2 matches
Fredericia Fredericia Away
Match Record
0
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
1
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-20T00:02:29+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
N. Larsen
Denmark
1 N. Larsen
J. Gammelby
Denmark
19 J. Gammelby
R. Østrøm
Norway
3 R. Østrøm
P. Machado Ganchas
Portugal
4 P. Machado Ganchas
A. Poulsen
Denmark
2 A. Poulsen
W. Kirk
Substitution
Denmark
27 W. Kirk
A. Vikman
Substitution
Sweden
6 A. Vikman
C. McCowatt
Substitution
New Zealand
17 C. McCowatt
O. Ross
Substitution
Denmark
11 O. Ross
T. Adamsen
Denmark
23 T. Adamsen
Y. Bakiz
Substitution
Denmark
10 Y. Bakiz
V. Thorsen
Denmark
90 V. Thorsen
J. Jessen
Denmark
8 J. Jessen
F. Thykær Rieper
Denmark
5 F. Thykær Rieper
A. Nygaard Andersen
Substitution
Denmark
3 A. Nygaard Andersen
A. Dahl
Substitution
Denmark
14 A. Dahl
F. Winther
Denmark
6 F. Winther
D. Kristjánsson
Substitution
Iceland
17 D. Kristjánsson
G. Marcussen
Substitution
Denmark
7 G. Marcussen
E. Hansborg-Sørensen
Substitution
Denmark
29 E. Hansborg-Sørensen
S. Østergaard Grandjean Johannesen
Denmark
16 S. Østergaard Grandjean Johannesen
F. Ubi Etim
Nigeria
25 F. Ubi Etim

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 19, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark · Round 5 · Relegation Round
Stadium
JYSK park
Capacity
10000
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jens Maae
Ole Kronlykke
Dennis Wollenberg Rasmussen
Nanna Løf Andersen

Statistics

Possession
SIL
50%
Fredericia
50%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2
3 Big Chances Created 3
5 Shots 6
39 Dangerous attacks 61
51 Possession 49
5 Corners 4
14 Free kicks 6
1 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

3 Successful Dribbles 8
94 Ball Safe 69
2 Injuries 0
10 Goal Attempts 13
1 Hit Woodwork 0
14 Goal Kicks 6
33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50
14 Throwins 20
9 Dribble Attempts 16
5 Substitutions 6
2 Assists 2

Attacking

2 Big Chances Missed 2
75 Attacks 132
5 Counter Attacks 1

Possession

528 Passes 503
12 Key Passes 14
67 Long Passes 40
86 Successful Passes Percentage 85
453 Successful Passes 430
49 Successful Long Passes Percentage 55
33 Successful Long Passes 22

Defensive

14 Tackles 15
40 Duels Won 39
10 Interceptions 4
4 Saves 3

Build-up

11 Total Crosses 23
6 Accurate Crosses 8

Discipline

6 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 5

Lineup

Referee : Jens Maae

Starting XI ▼

1
Nicolai Larsen
Nicolai Larsen Goalkeeper
7.18
2
Andreas Poulsen
Andreas Poulsen Defender
6.71
3
Robin Østrøm
Robin Østrøm Defender
6.49
4
Pedro Ganchas
Pedro Ganchas Defender
6.86
19
Jens Martin Gammelby
Jens Martin Gammelby Defender
6.61
6
Adam Wikman
Adam Wikman Midfielder
6.54
33
Mads Freundlich
Mads Freundlich
Midfielder57'
6.77
17
Callum McCowatt
Callum McCowatt Midfielder
7.2
22
Rami Al Hajj
Rami Al Hajj
Midfielder73'
6.59
27
William Kirk
William Kirk Midfielder
6.6
7
Villads Westh
Villads Westh
Midfielder72'
6.82
10
Younes Bakiz
Younes Bakiz Attacker
6.8
14
Sofus Berger
Sofus Berger
Midfielder16'
6.66
11
Oliver Ross
Oliver Ross Attacker
6.72
20
Mads Larsen
Mads Larsen
Midfielder57'
6.68
23
Tonni Adamsen
Tonni Adamsen Attacker
7.21
Referee : Jens Maae

Starting XI ▼

90
Valdemar Birksø Thorsen
Valdemar Birksø Thorsen Goalkeeper
7.19
3
Adam Nygaard Andersen
Adam Nygaard Andersen Defender
6.52
9
Patrick Egelund
Patrick Egelund
Attacker85'
6.74
5
Frederik Thykær Rieper
Frederik Thykær Rieper Defender
7.01
8
Jakob Jessen
Jakob Jessen Defender
6.83
14
Anders Dahl
Anders Dahl Defender
6.47
19
Eskild Munk Dall
Eskild Munk Dall
Attacker72'
6.67
6
Felix Winther
Felix Winther Midfielder
7.09
7
Gustav Ølsted Marcussen
Gustav Ølsted Marcussen Midfielder
6.66
21
Jonatan Holm Lindekilde
Jonatan Holm Lindekilde
Midfielder77'
2
6.69
16
Sofus Johannesen
Sofus Johannesen Midfielder
6.75
17
Daníel Freyr Kristjánsson
Daníel Freyr Kristjánsson Midfielder
6.63
18
Andreas Pyndt
Andreas Pyndt
Midfielder72'
6.69
29
Elias Hansborg-Sørensen
Elias Hansborg-Sørensen Midfielder
6.42
10
Emilio Simonsen
Emilio Simonsen
Midfielder46'
6.75
25
Etim
Etim Attacker
7.05

Events

2ND-HALF
90+3'
Event
Jonatan Holm Lindekilde
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
85'
Event
Patrick Egelund → Adam Nygaard Andersen
10th Substitution
78'
Event
Jonatan Holm Lindekilde
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
77'
Event
Jonatan Holm Lindekilde → Gustav Ølsted Marcussen
9th Substitution
Event
Rami Al Hajj → Callum McCowatt
8th Substitution
73'
Event
Villads Westh → William Kirk
7th Substitution
72'
72'
Event
Andreas Pyndt → Daníel Freyr Kristjánsson
6th Substitution
72'
Event
Eskild Munk Dall → Anders Dahl
5th Substitution
Event
Mads Freundlich → Adam Wikman
3rd Substitution
57'
Event
Mads Larsen → Oliver Ross
4th Substitution
57'
53'
Event
Gustav Ølsted Marcussen
Goal disallowed
46'
Event
Emilio Simonsen → Elias Hansborg-Sørensen
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Oliver Ross
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
33'
Event
Tonni Adamsen
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
29'
Event
Callum McCowatt
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
23'
Event
Sofus Berger → Younes Bakiz
1st Substitution
16'

CONCLUSION

Fredericia's second-half resurgence from 0-2 down to a 2-2 draw against Silkeborg IF exemplifies tactical adaptability in a balanced contest marked by 51-49 possession. Lacking xG, the result's a significant structural deviation of 75.1% towards the visitors, who were pre-identified as stronger yet defied favored home probabilities. Efficiency stayed consistent, with no red cards or major events distorting flow. This draw underscores Fredericia's recovery prowess and Silkeborg's fragility in protecting leads, reshaping perceptions of their relative strengths in a competitive encounter.

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