Servette vs Luzern Prediction, Preview and Stats

Switzerland flag 2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland
Stade de Genève Mon, 6 Apr - 2:30 PM
Super League
Servette Servette
3 Winner 0
Luzern LUZ
Full Time Mon, 6 Apr 2:30 PM
Round 32 Regular Season
Miroslav Stevanovic - 40'
Timothé Cognat - 46'
Junior Kadile - 90+7'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

The match has officially finished, with Servette securing a commanding 3-0 victory over Luzern. The hosts established their advantage early, taking a 1-0 lead into the halftime break before adding two more goals in the second period. This full-time result perfectly aligned with the pre-match market, which favored Servette with a 44% implied win probability, compared to Luzern's 31.4% chance and a 24.6% likelihood of a draw. Despite the lopsided scoreline, ball possession was closely contested on the pitch. Luzern actually held a slight edge with 51% of possession, leaving Servette with 49%. Expected goals (xG) metrics were unavailable for this fixture, making it impossible to determine if the final outcome was consistent with the underlying chance creation. However, Servette’s dominant victory represented a significant positive deviation for the home side, as they outperformed initial match projections by a margin of 56%. The overall efficiency shift remained strictly in line with general performance expectations. Furthermore, the match was contested without any major disciplinary disruptions, as no red cards were issued, allowing both sides to finish the game with their full eleven players.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Servette showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
L. Cibelli
L. Cibelli
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.86
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.71
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.4
C. dos Santos
C. dos Santos
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.86
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.71
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.4
I. Jancevski
I. Jancevski
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.86
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.71
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.4
J. Jaussi
J. Jaussi
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.86
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.71
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.4
Servette J. Gourvennec
J. Gourvennec
VS
Luzern M. Frick
M. Frick
1.22
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.17
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Grasshopper Rank: 51 W
Basel Rank: 62 L
Zürich Rank: 51 W
Winterthur Rank: 45 D
Sion Rank: 60 D
St. Gallen Rank: 64 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lausanne Sport Rank: 58 W
Winterthur Rank: 45 L
Lugano Rank: 63 W
Young Boys Rank: 63 L
Thun Rank: 65 L
Basel Rank: 64 W
14
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
14 - 9 - 10
10

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Servette
43.99%
Draw
24.6%
Away Luzern
31.42%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
60.98
57.32
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Servette
Luzern
Power Score
60.98
57.32
League Position
8
7
Global Rank
435
556

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Servette — Opponent-weighted form score
Luzern — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Servette Luzern

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Servette

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Luzern

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Servette ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Luzern
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
28.78
16.37
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
16.37
28.78
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Servette +1.17 Efficiency Index
vs
Luzern -1.17 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Servette
Luzern
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Servette ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Luzern
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Servette Luzern
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Servette Luzern
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Servette
Luzern
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Servette
vs
Luzern
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Servette Luzern
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Servette 0.18
Luzern 0.13
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Servette Luzern
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Servette 0.00
Luzern 0.05
Servette
Luzern
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 33 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Servette Servette Home
33 matches
Luzern LUZ Away
Match Record
14
Wins
10
9
Draws
9
10
Losses
14
Goals
53
Goals Scored
54
54
Goals Conceded
53
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-07T00:03:40+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
J. Mall
Substitution
Cyprus
1 J. Mall
T. Allix
Substitution
France
34 T. Allix
S. Rouiller
Switzerland
4 S. Rouiller
M. Burch
Switzerland
15 M. Burch
B. Mazikou
France
18 B. Mazikou
D. Douline
France
28 D. Douline
T. Cognat
France
8 T. Cognat
M. Stevanović
Bosnia and Herzegovina
9 M. Stevanović
M. Ishuayed
Substitution
Switzerland
38 M. Ishuayed
J. Kadile
France
10 J. Kadile
F. Aye
Substitution
France
97 F. Aye
P. Loretz
Switzerland
1 P. Loretz
R. Fernandes
Substitution
Switzerland
22 R. Fernandes
A. Bajrami
Albania
4 A. Bajrami
B. Freimann
46 B. Freimann
P. Dorn
Germany
20 P. Dorn
M. Di Giusto
Substitution
Switzerland
11 M. Di Giusto
T. Abe
Substitution
Japan
6 T. Abe
T. Owusu
Switzerland
24 T. Owusu
L. Silva Ferreira
Substitution
Portugal
73 L. Silva Ferreira
A. Vasovic
Substitution
Switzerland
19 A. Vasovic
O. Kabwit tshikomb
DR Congo
16 O. Kabwit tshikomb

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 06, 2026, 02:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stade de Genève
Capacity
30084
Attendance
8032
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Luca Cibelli
Claudio dos Santos
Ilco Jancevski
Jonathan Jaussi

Statistics

Possession
Servette
50%
LUZ
50%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0
1 Big Chances Created 2
3 Shots 2
62 Dangerous attacks 47
49 Possession 51
4 Corners 6
11 Free kicks 13
3 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

8 Successful Dribbles 7
40 Successful Dribbles Percentage 44
8 Dribble Attempts 7
78 Ball Safe 88
7 Goal Kicks 7
17 Throwins 22
4 Substitutions 5
3 Assists 0
1 Injuries 0
10 Goal Attempts 4

Attacking

93 Attacks 92

Possession

380 Passes 400
316 Successful Passes 331
14 Long Passes 17
11 Key Passes 4
83 Successful Passes Percentage 84

Defensive

1 Saves 6
22 Tackles 23
13 Interceptions 9
57 Duels Won 48

Build-up

22 Total Crosses 20

Discipline

0 Offsides 2
13 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Luca Cibelli

Starting XI ▼

1
Joël Mall
Joël Mall Goalkeeper
32
Jérémy Frick
Jérémy Frick
Goalkeeper56'
4
Steve Rouiller
Steve Rouiller Defender
15
Marco Burch
Marco Burch Defender
18
Bradley Mazikou
Bradley Mazikou Defender
34
Teo Allix
Teo Allix Defender
17
Houboulang Mendes
Houboulang Mendes
Defender27'
8
Timothé Cognat
Timothé Cognat Midfielder
9
Miroslav Stevanovic
Miroslav Stevanovic Midfielder
10
Junior Kadile
Junior Kadile Midfielder
28
David Douline
David Douline Midfielder
38
Malek Ishuayed
Malek Ishuayed Midfielder
14
Lilian Njoh
Lilian Njoh
Defender87'
97
Florian Ayé
Florian Ayé Attacker
21
Jérémy Guillemenot
Jérémy Guillemenot
Attacker87'
Referee : Luca Cibelli

Starting XI ▼

1
Pascal Loretz
Pascal Loretz Goalkeeper
4
Adrian Bajrami
Adrian Bajrami Defender
20
Pius Dorn
Pius Dorn Defender
22
Rúben Dantas Fernandes
Rúben Dantas Fernandes Defender
14
Andrejs Ciganiks
Andrejs Ciganiks
Defender63'
46
Bung Meng Freimann
Bung Meng Freimann Defender
6
Taisei Abe
Taisei Abe Midfielder
39
Sandro Wyss
Sandro Wyss
Attacker87'
11
Matteo Di Giusto
Matteo Di Giusto Midfielder
9
Adrian Grbic
Adrian Grbic
Attacker87'
24
Tyron Owusu
Tyron Owusu Midfielder
73
Lucas Manuel Silva Ferreira
Lucas Manuel Silva Ferreira Midfielder
7
Kevin Spadanuda
Kevin Spadanuda
Midfielder63'
16
Oscar Kabwit
Oscar Kabwit Attacker
19
Andrej Vasovic
Andrej Vasovic Attacker
71
Sascha Meyer
Sascha Meyer
Attacker63'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Junior Kadile
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
90+7'
Event
Jérémy Frick
Time wasting / 5th Yellowcard
88'
Event
Jérémy Guillemenot → Florian Ayé
7th Substitution
87'
Event
Lilian Njoh → Malek Ishuayed
8th Substitution
87'
87'
Event
Adrian Grbic → Matteo Di Giusto
6th Substitution
87'
Event
Sandro Wyss → Taisei Abe
9th Substitution
Event
Malek Ishuayed
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
85'
80'
Event
Taisei Abe
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
63'
Event
Kevin Spadanuda → Lucas Manuel Silva Ferreira
5th Substitution
63'
Event
Andrejs Ciganiks → Rúben Dantas Fernandes
3rd Substitution
63'
Event
Sascha Meyer → Andrej Vasovic
4th Substitution
Event
Jérémy Frick → Joël Mall
2nd Substitution
56'
Event
Timothé Cognat
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Miroslav Stevanovic
Header / 1st Goal
40'
Event
Houboulang Mendes → Teo Allix
1st Substitution
27'
13'
Event
Lucas Manuel Silva Ferreira
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Steve Rouiller
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
12'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Servette exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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