SD Eibar vs Burgos Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa Sun, 15 Mar - 5:30 PM
La Liga 2
SD Eibar EIB
0 – 0
Burgos BUR
Full Time Sun, 15 Mar 5:30 PM

CONTEXT

Match is finished. SD Eibar 0–0 Burgos. The match ended in a draw. SD Eibar showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 64%–36%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: SD Eibar showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. Ramo Andrés
A. Ramo Andrés
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 14.29
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.29
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
?. Moreno Aragón
?. Moreno Aragón
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 14.29
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.29
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
R. Blázquez Sánchez
R. Blázquez Sánchez
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 14.29
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.29
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
?. González Narváez
?. González Narváez
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 14.29
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.29
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
SD Eibar B. San José Gil
B. San José Gil
VS
Burgos L. Ramis Monfort
L. Ramis Monfort
1.27
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.52
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: 67 L
Racing Santander Rank: 71 W
Real Zaragoza Rank: 58 D
Sporting Gijón Rank: 65 W
Almería Rank: 70 W
Granada Rank: 66 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cádiz Rank: 64 D
Las Palmas Rank: 68 D
Leganés Rank: 67 W
Málaga Rank: 66 L
Huesca Rank: 62 W
SD Eibar Rank: 66 W
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 0 - 4
4

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home SD Eibar
44.8%
Draw
31.23%
Away Burgos
23.96%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
67.03
65.28
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
SD Eibar
Burgos
Power Score
67.03
65.28
League Position
10
7
Global Rank
245
287

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
SD Eibar — Opponent-weighted form score
Burgos — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) SD Eibar Burgos

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

SD Eibar

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Burgos

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

SD Eibar ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Burgos
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
14.92
18.19
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
18.19
14.92
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
SD Eibar -0.33 Efficiency Index
vs
Burgos +0.33 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
SD Eibar
Burgos
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

SD Eibar ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Burgos
Created Set-piece attacking threat
SD Eibar Burgos
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
SD Eibar Burgos
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
SD Eibar
Burgos
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

SD Eibar EIB Home
9 matches
Burgos BUR Away
Match Record
5
Wins
4
0
Draws
0
4
Losses
5
Goals
7
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
7
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-16T02:51:21+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
J. Magunagoitia Blasco
Spain
13 J. Magunagoitia Blasco
S. Cubero Ezcurra
Spain
2 S. Cubero Ezcurra
P. Nolaskoain Esnal
Spain
8 P. Nolaskoain Esnal
J. Amador Silos
Portugal
15 J. Amador Silos
A. Arbilla Zabala
Substitution
Spain
23 (C) A. Arbilla Zabala
S. Álvarez Díaz
Spain
6 S. Álvarez Díaz
L. Olaetxea Ibaibarriaga
Substitution
Spain
14 L. Olaetxea Ibaibarriaga
J. Corpas Serna
Spain
17 J. Corpas Serna
A. Madariaga Susaeta
Substitution
Spain
16 A. Madariaga Susaeta
M. Ares Djalo
Substitution
Spain
18 M. Ares Djalo
J. Martón Ansó
Substitution
Spain
20 J. Martón Ansó
A. Cantero Armendáriz
Spain
13 A. Cantero Armendáriz
F. Miguel
France
12 F. Miguel
G. Sierra Pérez
Spain
8 G. Sierra Pérez
S. González Martínez
Spain
6 S. González Martínez
A. Lizancos Saldaña
Spain
2 A. Lizancos Saldaña
I. Córdoba Kerejeta
Substitution
Spain
21 I. Córdoba Kerejeta
M. Atienza Villa
Spain
5 (C) M. Atienza Villa
I. Ruiz
Spain
23 I. Ruiz
D. Gonzalez Ballesteros
Spain
14 D. Gonzalez Ballesteros
K. Appin
Substitution
Martinique
10 K. Appin
F. Sánchez Rodríguez
Substitution
Spain
16 F. Sánchez Rodríguez

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 15, 2026, 05:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Stadium
Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa
Capacity
8164
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
A. Ramo Andrés
Álvaro Moreno Aragón
Rodrigo Blázquez Sánchez
Álvaro González Narváez

Statistics

Possession
EIB
62%
BUR
38%

Top Statistics

3 Shots 2
71 Dangerous attacks 11
64 Possession 36
6 Corners 2
10 Free kicks 19
3 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

2 Goal Kicks 10
12 Successful Dribbles 4
20 Throwins 19
40 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50
30 Dribble Attempts 8
5 Substitutions 3
90 Ball Safe 90
5 Goal Attempts 2
0 Injuries 1

Attacking

149 Attacks 75

Possession

90 Successful Passes Percentage 76
593 Successful Passes 282
659 Passes 371
64 Long Passes 67
61 Successful Long Passes Percentage 46
39 Successful Long Passes 31
2 Key Passes 4

Defensive

11 Tackles 20
2 Saves 3
9 Interceptions 7

Build-up

1 Accurate Crosses 2
23 Total Crosses 8

Discipline

20 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Álvaro Moreno Aragón

Starting XI ▼

13
Jonmi Magunagoitia
Jonmi Magunagoitia Goalkeeper
7.03
2
Sergio Cubero
Sergio Cubero Defender
7.15
8
Peru Nolaskoain
Peru Nolaskoain Defender
7.29
15
Jair Amador
Jair Amador Defender
6.94
23
Anaitz Arbilla
Anaitz Arbilla (C) Defender
7.8
24
Juan Bernat
Juan Bernat
Defender87'
6
Sergio Álvarez
Sergio Álvarez Midfielder
6.69
14
Lander Olaetxea
Lander Olaetxea Midfielder
6.92
30
Aleix Garrido
Aleix Garrido
Midfielder74'
6.45
16
Ander Madariaga
Ander Madariaga Midfielder
6.06
10
Jon Guruzeta
Jon Guruzeta
Midfielder60'
6.6
17
José Corpas
José Corpas Midfielder
6.58
18
Adu Ares
Adu Ares Midfielder
7.12
27
Hugo García
Hugo García
Attacker87'
6.44
20
Javi Martón
Javi Martón Attacker
6.84
9
Jon Bautista
Jon Bautista
Attacker74'
6.41
Referee : Álvaro Moreno Aragón

Starting XI ▼

13
Ander Cantero
Ander Cantero Goalkeeper
7.05
2
Álex Lizancos
Álex Lizancos Defender
7.04
6
Sergio González
Sergio González Defender
7.08
8
Grego Sierra
Grego Sierra Defender
6.79
12
Florian Miguel
Florian Miguel Defender
7.28
5
Miguel Atienza
Miguel Atienza (C) Midfielder
6.84
14
David González
David González Midfielder
7.27
21
Iñigo Córdoba
Iñigo Córdoba Midfielder
6.67
9
Fer Niño
Fer Niño
Attacker65'
6.29
23
Iván Morante
Iván Morante Midfielder
6.94
10
Kévin Appin
Kévin Appin Attacker
6.62
11
Víctor Mollejo
Víctor Mollejo
Attacker65'
6.69
16
Curro Sánchez
Curro Sánchez Attacker
6.97
22
Brais Martínez
Brais Martínez
Defender87'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Hugo García
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
90'
Event
Hugo García → Adu Ares
7th Substitution
87'
Event
Juan Bernat → Anaitz Arbilla
6th Substitution
87'
87'
Event
Brais Martínez → Curro Sánchez
8th Substitution
Event
Aleix Garrido → Lander Olaetxea
5th Substitution
74'
Event
Jon Bautista → Javi Martón
4th Substitution
74'
65'
Event
Fer Niño → Iñigo Córdoba
3rd Substitution
65'
Event
Víctor Mollejo → Kévin Appin
2nd Substitution
Event
Jon Guruzeta → Ander Madariaga
1st Substitution
60'
1ST-HALF
Event
Adu Ares
Off the ball foul / 4th Yellowcard
43'
28'
Event
Miguel Atienza
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Peru Nolaskoain
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
22'
13'
Event
Sergio González
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: SD Eibar exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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