SC Heerenveen vs Heracles Almelo Prediction, Preview and Stats

Netherlands flag 2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
Abe Lenstra Stadion Sun, 5 Apr - 12:30 PM
Eredivisie
SC Heerenveen HEE
4 Winner 1
Heracles Almelo HEA
Full Time Sun, 5 Apr 12:30 PM
Round 29 Regular Season
Jacob Trenskow - 35'
Lasse Nordås - 45+5' (P)
Remko Pasveer - 47' (Own Goal)
Maxence Rivera - 51'
Goal
|
Goal
Mario Engels - 21'

CONTEXT

The match between SC Heerenveen and Heracles Almelo has finished with a decisive 4-1 victory for the home side. SC Heerenveen took a narrow 2-1 lead into the halftime break before pulling away comfortably in the second half to secure the win. The final result perfectly aligned with pre-match market expectations, which had established SC Heerenveen as the clear favorites with a 64.5% probability of winning. Heracles Almelo entered with just a 17% chance of an upset, alongside an 18.6% likelihood of a draw. However, the convincing margin of victory resulted in a significant deviation favoring SC Heerenveen compared to standard pre-game projections. On the pitch, SC Heerenveen dictated the tempo, controlling a dominant 66% of the possession and restricting the visitors to just 34% of the ball. Although expected goals (xG) data is unavailable to further analyze the quality of chances created, the overall efficiency shift for the match remained in line with general expectations. Additionally, the fixture was played without any severe disciplinary issues, as zero red cards were issued, allowing the home side to capitalize on their undisputed tactical superiority.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: SC Heerenveen showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
L. de Koning
L. de Koning
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.73
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.07
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.04
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
S. Shukrula
S. Shukrula
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.73
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.07
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.04
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
I. Oostrom
I. Oostrom
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.73
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.07
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.04
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
R. van Marrewijk
R. van Marrewijk
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.73
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.07
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.04
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
SC Heerenveen R. Veldman
R. Veldman
VS
Heracles Almelo E. Faber
E. Faber
1.6
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.76
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
NEC Nijmegen Rank: 75 D
Telstar Rank: 60 W
Excelsior Rank: 58 W
Sparta Rotterdam Rank: 67 W
PSV Rank: 86 L
PEC Zwolle Rank: 63 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Excelsior Rank: 58 D
AZ Rank: 74 L
FC Utrecht Rank: 72 D
PSV Rank: 86 L
Go Ahead Eagles Rank: 66 L
NAC Breda Rank: 54 L
14
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
14 - 8 - 17
17

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home SC Heerenveen
64.48%
Draw
18.57%
Away Heracles Almelo
16.95%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
70
57.1
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
SC Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
Power Score
70
57.1
League Position
7
18
Global Rank
188
558

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
SC Heerenveen — Opponent-weighted form score
Heracles Almelo — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) SC Heerenveen Heracles Almelo

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

SC Heerenveen

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Heracles Almelo

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

SC Heerenveen ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Heracles Almelo
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
40.76
24.85
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
24.85
40.76
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
SC Heerenveen +1.72 Efficiency Index
vs
Heracles Almelo -1.72 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
SC Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

SC Heerenveen ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Heracles Almelo
Created Set-piece attacking threat
SC Heerenveen Heracles Almelo
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
SC Heerenveen Heracles Almelo
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
SC Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
SC Heerenveen
vs
Heracles Almelo
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
SC Heerenveen Heracles Almelo
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
SC Heerenveen 0.41
Heracles Almelo 0.24
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
SC Heerenveen Heracles Almelo
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
SC Heerenveen 0.03
Heracles Almelo 0.07
SC Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 39 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

SC Heerenveen HEE Home
39 matches
Heracles Almelo HEA Away
Match Record
14
Wins
17
8
Draws
8
17
Losses
14
Goals
74
Goals Scored
62
62
Goals Conceded
74
+12
Goal Difference
-12
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-06T00:02:30+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
B. Klaverboer
Netherlands
22 B. Klaverboer
O. Johansen Braude
Norway
45 O. Johansen Braude
S. Kersten
Netherlands
4 S. Kersten
M. Willemsen
Substitution
Netherlands
3 M. Willemsen
V. Zagaritis
Substitution
Greece
19 V. Zagaritis
J. van Overeem
Substitution
Netherlands
6 J. van Overeem
M. Linday
Sweden
16 M. Linday
J. Trenskow
Substitution
Denmark
20 J. Trenskow
R. Meerveld
Netherlands
10 R. Meerveld
M. Rivera
France
7 M. Rivera
L. Nordås
Substitution
Norway
18 L. Nordås
R. Pasveer
Netherlands
22 R. Pasveer
I. Mesík
Substitution
Slovakia
24 I. Mesík
A. Van Hoorenbeeck
Belgium
18 A. Van Hoorenbeeck
D. Mirani
Netherlands
4 D. Mirani
M. Benita
Netherlands
2 M. Benita
S. Scheperman
Netherlands
32 S. Scheperman
W. Ould-Chikh
Substitution
Netherlands
73 W. Ould-Chikh
M. Engels
Substitution
Germany
8 M. Engels
T. Bruns
Substitution
Netherlands
10 T. Bruns
E. Ahlstrand
Sweden
14 E. Ahlstrand
L. Zeefuik
Substitution
Netherlands
25 L. Zeefuik

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 05, 2026, 12:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands · Round 29 · Regular Season
Stadium
Abe Lenstra Stadion
Capacity
27224
Attendance
23878
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Luc de Koning
Shona Shukrula
Ingmar Oostrom
Roan van Marrewijk

Statistics

Possession
HEE
62%
HEA
38%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 1
6 Big Chances Created 1
8 Shots 2
58 Dangerous attacks 29
66 Possession 34
8 Corners 1
9 Free kicks 12
0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

10 Successful Headers 11
38 Successful Dribbles Percentage 29
6 Goal Kicks 6
17 Throwins 10
5 Successful Dribbles 2
13 Dribble Attempts 7
0 Hit Woodwork 1
1 Assists 0
90 Ball Safe 73
1 Penalties 0
5 Substitutions 5
0 Injuries 1
16 Goal Attempts 7

Attacking

111 Attacks 78
4 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

87 Successful Passes Percentage 80
586 Passes 294
510 Successful Passes 236
52 Long Passes 64
17 Key Passes 5
67 Successful Long Passes Percentage 50
35 Successful Long Passes 32

Defensive

9 Tackles 17
34 Duels Won 41
3 Saves 11
2 Interceptions 10

Build-up

15 Total Crosses 14
2 Accurate Crosses 0

Discipline

12 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Ingmar Oostrom

Starting XI ▼

22
Bernt Klaverboer
Bernt Klaverboer Goalkeeper
3
Maas Willemsen
Maas Willemsen Defender
28
Hristiyan Petrov
Hristiyan Petrov
Defender77'
4
Sam Kersten
Sam Kersten Defender
19
Vasilios Zagaritis
Vasilios Zagaritis Defender
15
Mats Egbring
Mats Egbring
Defender77'
45
Oliver Braude
Oliver Braude Defender
6
Joris van Overeem
Joris van Overeem Midfielder
8
Luuk Brouwers
Luuk Brouwers
Midfielder64'
7
Maxence Rivera
Maxence Rivera Midfielder
10
Ringo Meerveld
Ringo Meerveld Midfielder
16
Marcus Linday
Marcus Linday Midfielder
20
Jacob Trenskow
Jacob Trenskow Midfielder
50
Eser Gürbüz
Eser Gürbüz
Attacker85'
18
Lasse Nordås
Lasse Nordås Attacker
11
Luca Oyen
Luca Oyen
Attacker85'
Referee : Ingmar Oostrom

Starting XI ▼

22
Remko Pasveer
Remko Pasveer Goalkeeper
2
Mimeirhel Benita
Mimeirhel Benita Defender
4
Damon Mirani
Damon Mirani Defender
18
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck Defender
24
Ivan Mesik
Ivan Mesik Defender
5
Djevencio van der Kust
Djevencio van der Kust
Defender58'
8
Mario Engels
Mario Engels Midfielder
6
Sava-Arangel Cestic
Sava-Arangel Cestic
Defender58'
10
Thomas Bruns
Thomas Bruns Midfielder
19
Luka Kulenovic
Luka Kulenovic
Attacker77'
14
Erik Ahlstrand
Erik Ahlstrand Midfielder
32
Sem Scheperman
Sem Scheperman Midfielder
73
Walid Ould-Chikh
Walid Ould-Chikh Midfielder
3
Jannes Wieckhoff
Jannes Wieckhoff
Defender58'
25
Lequincio Zeefuik
Lequincio Zeefuik Attacker
17
Tristan van Gilst
Tristan van Gilst
Attacker46'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Luca Oyen → Lasse Nordås
10th Substitution
85'
Event
Eser Gürbüz → Jacob Trenskow
9th Substitution
85'
Event
Mats Egbring → Vasilios Zagaritis
6th Substitution
77'
Event
Hristiyan Petrov → Maas Willemsen
8th Substitution
77'
77'
Event
Luka Kulenovic → Thomas Bruns
7th Substitution
Event
Luuk Brouwers → Joris van Overeem
5th Substitution
64'
58'
Event
Sava-Arangel Cestic → Mario Engels
2nd Substitution
58'
Event
Djevencio van der Kust → Ivan Mesik
3rd Substitution
58'
Event
Jannes Wieckhoff → Walid Ould-Chikh
4th Substitution
Event
Maxence Rivera
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
51'
Event
Remko Pasveer
Own Goal / 1st Own Goal
47'
46'
Event
Tristan van Gilst → Lequincio Zeefuik
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Lasse Nordås
Left foot shot / 1st Penalty
45+5'
45+3'
Event
Mimeirhel Benita
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Jacob Trenskow
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
35'
21'
Event
Mario Engels
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Maxence Rivera
Goal disallowed
15'

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to sc Heerenveen after a concession by Remko Pasveer.
90
Update Update
Djevencio van der Kust from Heracles Almelo misses a chance, shooting with his left foot from the left side of the box, sending the ball high and wide to the left. Tristan van Gilst provided the assist.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with sc Heerenveen winning 4-1 against Heracles Almelo.
90
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Eser Gürbüz from sc Heerenveen takes a left-footed shot from the center of the box, but Remko Pasveer from Heracles Almelo saves it in the left corner. The assist was provided by Oliver Braude.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 2 minutes of added time.
88
Update Update
Jannes Wieckhoff from Heracles Almelo won a free kick on the right wing.
88
Update Update
Foul committed by Oliver Braude of sc Heerenveen.
87
Attempt Attempt
Eser Gürbüz's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The assist came from Mats Egbring.
86
Attempt Attempt
Tristan van Gilst from Heracles Almelo makes an attacking attempt, shooting with his right foot from the center of the box. The shot is saved by sc Heerenveen's goalkeeper Bernt Klaverboer, assisted by Remko Pasveer.
85
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for sc Heerenveen: Eser Gürbüz replaces Jacob Trenskow.
85
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for sc Heerenveen: Luca Oyen replaces Lasse Nordås.
84
Update Update
Marcus Linday from sc Heerenveen won a free kick in defense.
84
Update Update
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck of Heracles Almelo committed a foul.
83
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to sc Heerenveen after Djevencio van der Kust concedes.
81
Update Update
Offside called against sc Heerenveen. Luuk Brouwers is offside.
80
Attempt Attempt
Lasse Nordås from sc Heerenveen has his left-footed shot from the center of the box blocked. Oliver Braude provided the assist.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for sc Heerenveen: Mats Egbring comes on for Vasilios Zagaritis.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Heracles Almelo: Luka Kulenovic replaces Thomas Bruns.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for sc Heerenveen: Hristiyan Petrov replaces Maas Willemsen.
74
Update Update
Marcus Linday of sc Heerenveen won a free kick in defense.
74
Update Update
Foul committed by Sem Scheperman of Heracles Almelo.
73
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Sem Scheperman from Heracles Almelo took a left-footed shot from inside the six-yard box, but it went just to the left of the goal. The assist was provided by Jannes Wieckhoff.
72
Update Update
Lasse Nordås from sc Heerenveen commits a foul.
72
Update Update
Damon Mirani from Heracles Almelo won a free kick in defense.
69
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Sam Kersten of sc Heerenveen takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it is saved by goalkeeper Remko Pasveer of Heracles Almelo, positioned in the center of the goal. The assist comes from Jacob Trenskow.
69
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to sc Heerenveen after a concession by Alec Van Hoorenbeeck.
68
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to sc Heerenveen after a concession by Alec Van Hoorenbeeck.
67
Update Update
Erik Ahlstrand of Heracles Almelo is flagged for offside.
67
Attempt Attempt
Tristan van Gilst from Heracles Almelo missed a chance, shooting with his right foot from the center of the box to the left. Jannes Wieckhoff provided the assist.
65
Update Update
Jacob Trenskow from sc Heerenveen makes an attacking attempt, shooting with his right foot from the center of the box, but Remko Pasveer, the goalkeeper for Heracles Almelo, saves it in the center of the goal.
64
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for sc Heerenveen: Luuk Brouwers replaces Joris van Overeem.
63
Update Update
New attacking attempt. Tristan van Gilst of Heracles Almelo shoots with his right foot from outside the box, but Bernt Klaverboer of sc Heerenveen saves it in the top center of the goal. The assist comes from Sava-Arangel Cestic.
63
Update Update
Sem Scheperman from Heracles Almelo won a free kick in defense.
63
Update Update
Foul committed by Jacob Trenskow of sc Heerenveen.
61
Attempt Attempt
Jacob Trenskow of sc Heerenveen attempts an attack with a left-footed shot from close range, but Remko Pasveer, the goalkeeper for Heracles Almelo, makes a save in the center of the goal.
61
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Maxence Rivera from sc Heerenveen takes a right-footed shot from the center of the box, but it is saved by goalkeeper Remko Pasveer from Heracles Almelo, with an assist from Joris van Overeem.
59
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Lasse Nordås from sc Heerenveen.
58
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Heracles Almelo: Jannes Wieckhoff replaces Walid Ould-Chikh.
58
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Heracles Almelo: Sava-Arangel Cestic replaces Mario Engels.
58
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Heracles Almelo: Djevencio van der Kust replaces Ivan Mesík.
57
Update Update
Ivan Mesík from Heracles Almelo won a free kick in defense.
54
Corner Corner
Corner for sc Heerenveen, conceded by Damon Mirani.
54
Update Update
Fouled by Ringo Meerveld of sc Heerenveen.
54
Update Update
Walid Ould-Chikh from Heracles Almelo won a free kick on the left wing.
53
Update Update
Sem Scheperman from Heracles Almelo won a free kick in defense.
53
Update Update
Foul committed by Lasse Nordås of sc Heerenveen.
53
Update Update
Marcus Linday of sc Heerenveen won a free kick in defense.
53
Update Update
Foul by Mario Engels of Heracles Almelo.
51
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Maxence Rivera scores for sc Heerenveen with a right-footed shot from close range into the high center of the goal. The match score is now sc Heerenveen 4, Heracles Almelo 1.
51
Attempt Attempt
Maxence Rivera of sc Heerenveen attempts an attack, shooting with his right foot from the center of the box, but his shot is saved by Remko Pasveer, the goalkeeper for Heracles Almelo, who is positioned in the center of the goal. The assist comes from Ringo Meerveld.
49
Attempt Attempt
Maxence Rivera from sc Heerenveen had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from outside the box. The shot was close but went to the left after a fast break.
47
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Own goal by Remko Pasveer for Heracles Almelo. The match score is sc Heerenveen 3, Heracles Almelo 1.
45
Attempt Attempt
Lasse Nordås from sc Heerenveen had a missed chance, shooting with his left foot from the left side of the box, but it went just wide to the left. Maxence Rivera provided the assist.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Lasse Nordås scores for sc Heerenveen with a left-footed shot. The match remains 2-1.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with sc Heerenveen leading 2-1 against Heracles Almelo.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Mimeirhel Benita of Heracles Almelo receives a yellow card for a foul.
45
Update Update
Fouled by Mario Engels of Heracles Almelo.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 3 minutes of added time.
45
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Mario Engels from Heracles Almelo takes a left-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with sc Heerenveen leading Heracles Almelo 2-1.
45
Update Update
Penalty awarded to Heerenveen. Marcus Linday is fouled in the penalty area.
45
Update Update
Oliver Braude from sc Heerenveen won a free kick in defense.
45
Update Update
Mimeirhel Benita of Heracles Almelo concedes a penalty after committing a foul in the penalty area.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Heracles Almelo: Tristan van Gilst replaces Lequincio Zeefuik.
44
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to sc Heerenveen after Mimeirhel Benita concedes.
41
Corner Corner
Lasse Nordås from sc Heerenveen missed a chance, heading the ball from the right side of the six-yard box over the bar. The assist came from Joris van Overeem, who provided a cross following a corner.
40
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to sc Heerenveen after a concession by Remko Pasveer.
40
Corner Corner
Oliver Braude of sc Heerenveen attempts an attack with a left-footed shot from the center of the box, but Remko Pasveer of Heracles Almelo saves it in the top left corner. The assist was provided by Ringo Meerveld.
39
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Ringo Meerveld from sc Heerenveen takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it is saved.
37
Update Update
Walid Ould-Chikh from Heracles Almelo won a free kick in defense.
37
Update Update
Lasse Nordås of sc Heerenveen committed a foul.
35
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to sc Heerenveen after being conceded by Erik Ahlstrand.
35
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Jacob Trenskow scores for sc Heerenveen with a left-footed shot from the center of the box into the high center of the goal, assisted by Joris van Overeem after a corner. The match is now 1-1.
34
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Maxence Rivera of sc Heerenveen takes a right-footed shot from the left side of the box, but it's saved in the left corner by Remko Pasveer of Heracles Almelo. The assist comes from Maas Willemsen.
33
Update Update
Walid Ould-Chikh of Heracles Almelo won a free kick in defense.
33
Update Update
Vasilios Zagaritis from sc Heerenveen committed a foul.
32
Attempt Attempt
Maxence Rivera's shot from outside the box is blocked. The assist came from Jacob Trenskow.
31
Update Update
Mario Engels from Heracles Almelo committed a foul.
31
Update Update
Fouled by Walid Ould-Chikh of Heracles Almelo.
31
Update Update
Lasse Nordås of sc Heerenveen won a free kick in the attacking area.
31
Update Update
Oliver Braude of sc Heerenveen won a free kick on the right wing.
28
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Thomas Bruns from Heracles Almelo.
27
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Lasse Nordås from sc Heerenveen shoots with his right foot from the center of the box, but Remko Pasveer from Heracles Almelo saves it in the left corner.
24
Update Update
Ringo Meerveld from sc Heerenveen committed a foul.
24
Update Update
Walid Ould-Chikh from Heracles Almelo was awarded a free kick on the right wing.
23
Attempt Attempt
Shot blocked. Maas Willemsen from sc Heerenveen had a left-footed shot from over 35 yards that was blocked.
21
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Heracles Almelo takes the lead 1-0 with Mario Engels scoring from close range with a right-footed shot into the left corner.
20
Attempt Attempt
Marcus Linday's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The assist was provided by Jacob Trenskow.
20
Attempt Attempt
Ringo Meerveld from sc Heerenveen had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from the center of the box but missing to the left. Joris van Overeem provided the assist.
19
Update Update
Joris van Overeem of sc Heerenveen won a free kick in defense.
19
Update Update
Fouled by Sem Scheperman of Heracles Almelo.
15
Update Update
VAR decision: No goal. The match remains sc Heerenveen 0, Heracles Almelo 0.
12
Update Update
Maxence Rivera from sc Heerenveen committed a handball.
12
Attempt Attempt
Maxence Rivera's shot for sc Heerenveen from the center of the box is blocked. Lasse Nordås provided the assist.
12
Update Update
Goal by Maxence Rivera for sc Heerenveen is overturned by VAR after a review.
11
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Heracles Almelo after a concession by Joris van Overeem.
10
Update Update
Walid Ould-Chikh from Heracles Almelo won a free kick in defense.
10
Update Update
Fouled by Marcus Linday of sc Heerenveen.
8
Attempt Attempt
Maxence Rivera of sc Heerenveen attempts an attack with a right-footed shot from outside the box, but Remko Pasveer, the goalkeeper for Heracles Almelo, saves it in the center of the goal. The assist comes from Jacob Trenskow.
7
Update Update
Oliver Braude from sc Heerenveen won a free kick on the right wing.
7
Update Update
Foul committed by Thomas Bruns of Heracles Almelo.
5
Update Update
Foul committed by Thomas Bruns of Heracles Almelo.
5
Update Update
Marcus Linday of sc Heerenveen won a free kick in defense.
3
Update Update
Maas Willemsen from sc Heerenveen committed a foul.
3
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Lequincio Zeefuik from Heracles Almelo.
3
Update Update
Lequincio Zeefuik from Heracles Almelo won a free kick on the right wing.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: SC Heerenveen exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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