Rijeka vs Hajduk Split Prediction, Preview and Stats

Croatia flag 2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia
Stadion HNK Rijeka Sun, 26 Apr - 2:00 PM
1. HNL
Rijeka Rijeka
Versus
Hajduk Split Hajduk Split
KICKOFF : Sun, 26 Apr - 2:00 PM
Round 32 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Rijeka welcome Hajduk Split to Stadion HNK Rijeka in a pivotal 1. HNL regular season encounter during the 2025/2026 campaign. The hosts sit fourth in the standings, trailing the second-placed visitors who harbour title aspirations. Hajduk hold a clear edge with a power score of 32.84 compared to Rijeka's 28.38, granting them a 4.5-point advantage and marking them as the stronger outfit. Recent form underlines this disparity: Hajduk's 27.89 rating dwarfs Rijeka's 13.89, suggesting momentum swings their way. This classic Croatian derby always delivers drama, with Hajduk's higher league position adding stakes. Advanced metrics like set pieces remain unavailable due to missing xG data, forcing focus on core strengths. Rijeka will lean on home support to bridge the gap against a polished Hajduk machine.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Hajduk Split enjoys a 4.5-point power advantage and sits second in the league ahead of fourth-placed Rijeka.
  • Form: Hajduk Split's form score of 27.89 far exceeds Rijeka's 13.89.
  • Squad: Hajduk Split's higher power score of 32.84 reflects superior squad quality over Rijeka's 28.38.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable.
  • Transition: Transition data unavailable.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG.
  • xVariable: xG-based variables unavailable.
  • Market: Projection split: Rijeka 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Hajduk Split 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Rijeka V. Sánchez del Amo
V. Sánchez del Amo
VS
Hajduk Split G. García García
G. García García
1.52
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.8
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Varaždin Rank: D
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: D
Osijek Rank: L
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: W
Gorica Rank: L
Istra 1961 Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Osijek Rank: D
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: D
Gorica Rank: W
Istra 1961 Rank: W
Vukovar Rank: W
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: W
33
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
33 - 21 - 18
18
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Rijeka
0%
Draw
0%
Away Hajduk Split
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
28.38
32.84
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Rijeka
Hajduk Split
Power Score
28.38
32.84
League Position
4
2
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Rijeka — Opponent-weighted form score
Hajduk Split — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Rijeka Hajduk Split

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 72 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Rijeka Rijeka Home
72 matches
Hajduk Split Hajduk Split Away
Match Record
33
Wins
18
21
Draws
21
18
Losses
33
Goals
112
Goals Scored
77
77
Goals Conceded
112
+35
Goal Difference
-35
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:12:50+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion HNK Rijeka
Capacity
8279
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

31
David Samuel Nwolokor
David Samuel Nwolokor Goalkeeper
13
Martin Zlomislić
Martin Zlomislić Goalkeeper
99
Aleksa Todorović
Aleksa Todorović Goalkeeper
6
Stjepan Radeljić
Stjepan Radeljić Defender
5
Mile Škorić
Mile Škorić Defender
45
Ante Majstorović
Ante Majstorović Defender
23
Justas Lasickas
Justas Lasickas Defender
34
Mladen Devetak
Mladen Devetak Defender
22
Ante Oreč
Ante Oreč Defender
51
Anel Husic
Anel Husic Defender
91
Noel Bodetic
Noel Bodetic Defender
28
Teo Barišić
Teo Barišić Defender
—
Roko Valinčić
Roko Valinčić Defender
14
Amer Gojak
Amer Gojak Midfielder
8
Dejan Petrovič
Dejan Petrovič Midfielder
20
Merveille Valthy Streeker Ndockyt
Merveille Valthy Streeker Ndockyt Midfielder
26
Tiago Filipe Oliveira Dantas
Tiago Filipe Oliveira Dantas Midfielder
55
Alfonso Daniel Barco Del Solar
Alfonso Daniel Barco Del Solar Midfielder
10
Toni Fruk
Toni Fruk Midfielder
—
Florent Shehu
Florent Shehu Midfielder
19
Samuele Vignato
Samuele Vignato Midfielder
24
Bruno Burčul
Bruno Burčul Midfielder
66
Branko Pavić
Branko Pavić Midfielder
70
Rajan Žlibanović
Rajan Žlibanović Midfielder
9
Duje Čop
Duje Čop Attacker
7
Tornike Morchiladze
Tornike Morchiladze Attacker
24
Christian Dimitri Legbo Ouguehi
Christian Dimitri Legbo Ouguehi Attacker
11
Gabrijel Rukavina
Gabrijel Rukavina Attacker
77
Ante Matej Jurič
Ante Matej Jurič Attacker
18
Daniel Adu-Adjei
Daniel Adu-Adjei Attacker
—
Matej Momčilovski
Matej Momčilovski Attacker
25
Dominik Thaqi
Dominik Thaqi Attacker
37
Cherno Saho
Cherno Saho Attacker

Squad ▼

44
Dante Stipica
Dante Stipica Goalkeeper
1
Ivica Ivušić
Ivica Ivušić Goalkeeper
33
Toni Silić
Toni Silić Goalkeeper
99
Davyd Fesyuk
Davyd Fesyuk Goalkeeper
15
Dario Maresic
Dario Maresic Defender
17
Dario Melnjak
Dario Melnjak Defender
5
Ismaël Chester Diallo
Ismaël Chester Diallo Defender
31
Zvonimir Šarlija
Zvonimir Šarlija Defender
14
Ron Raçi
Ron Raçi Defender
32
Šimun Hrgović
Šimun Hrgović Defender
36
Marino Skelin
Marino Skelin Defender
38
Luka Hodak
Luka Hodak Defender
23
Filip Krovinović
Filip Krovinović Midfielder
7
Anthony Kalik
Anthony Kalik Midfielder
6
Hugo Guillamón Sanmartín
Hugo Guillamón Sanmartín Midfielder
4
Adrion Pajaziti
Adrion Pajaziti Midfielder
21
Rokas Pukstas
Rokas Pukstas Midfielder
35
Luka Jurak
Luka Jurak Midfielder
37
Noa Skoko
Noa Skoko Midfielder
8
Niko Sigur
Niko Sigur Midfielder
9
Ante Rebić
Ante Rebić Attacker
10
Marko Livaja
Marko Livaja Attacker
11
Michele Šego
Michele Šego Attacker
24
Abdulia Sanyang
Abdulia Sanyang Attacker
28
Roko Brajković
Roko Brajković Attacker
—
Lovre Lončar
Lovre Lončar Attacker
30
Iker Almena Horcajo
Iker Almena Horcajo Attacker
34
Bruno Durdov
Bruno Durdov Attacker

CONCLUSION

Hajduk Split arrive as the form team and power favourites, holding second place and a decisive edge over fourth-placed Rijeka. Their superior ratings across power and form position them to exploit any home vulnerabilities at Stadion HNK Rijeka. While Rijeka's crowd could spark a response, Hajduk's consistency tips the scales in this heated derby. Expect a tactical battle where the visitors' quality shines through, potentially securing vital points in the title race. Limited stats highlight the need for on-pitch execution.

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