Real Valladolid vs Real Sociedad II Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla Sat, 25 Apr - 2:15 PM
La Liga 2
Real Valladolid REV
Versus
Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 2:15 PM
Round 37 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Real Valladolid host Real Sociedad II in La Liga 2 (Regular Season) at Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla. Domestically, Real Valladolid sit 17th in the table while Real Sociedad II are 16th. Power ranking favours Real Valladolid by 0.6 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Real Valladolid hold a +0.6 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Real Valladolid sit above baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Real Valladolid show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Real Valladolid have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Real Valladolid carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Real Valladolid hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Real Valladolid 60.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 23.9% (Δ+0%) | Real Sociedad II 15.5% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Real Valladolid F. Escriba Segura
F. Escriba Segura
VS
Real Sociedad II J. Ansotegi Gorostola
J. Ansotegi Gorostola
0.96
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.19
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Andorra Rank: L
SD Eibar Rank: D
Cultural Leonesa Rank: L
Cádiz Rank: W
Burgos Rank: L
Mirandés Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Racing Santander Rank: L
Ceuta Rank: D
Sporting Gijón Rank: L
SD Eibar Rank: L
Almería Rank: L
Granada Rank: L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Real Valladolid
60.62%
Draw
23.87%
Away Real Sociedad II
15.51%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
18.25
17.65
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Real Valladolid
Real Sociedad II
Power Score
18.25
17.65
League Position
17
16
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Real Valladolid — Opponent-weighted form score
Real Sociedad II — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Real Valladolid Real Sociedad II

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Real Valladolid REV Home
3 matches
Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II Away
Match Record
1
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
3
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:06:54+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
Á. Aceves Catalina
1 Á. Aceves Catalina
C. Michelin
2 C. Michelin
P. Tomeo Félez
15 P. Tomeo Félez
D. Torres Ortiz
4 D. Torres Ortiz
C. Clerc Martínez
18 C. Clerc Martínez
I. San José Cantalejo
20 I. San José Cantalejo
S. Jurić
24 S. Jurić
J. Ponceau
21 J. Ponceau
L. Sanseviero
19 L. Sanseviero
J. Latasa Fernandez Layos
9 J. Latasa Fernandez Layos
P. Gonzalez Carmona
22 P. Gonzalez Carmona
E. Arana Aizpurua
13 E. Arana Aizpurua
J. Balda Zubiri
3 J. Balda Zubiri
I. Calderon
37 I. Calderon
U. Ayo Larrañaga
39 U. Ayo Larrañaga
A. Dadie Izagirre
22 A. Dadie Izagirre
M. Rodriguez Ulacia
8 M. Rodriguez Ulacia
J. Eceizabarrena Rezola
21 J. Eceizabarrena Rezola
T. Carbonell Del Rio
14 T. Carbonell Del Rio
D. Díaz Gándara
7 D. Díaz Gándara
A. Mariezkurrena Etxezarreta
10 A. Mariezkurrena Etxezarreta
G. Carrera Zarranz
18 G. Carrera Zarranz

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 02:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 37 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
Capacity
27618
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Álvaro Aceves
Álvaro Aceves Goalkeeper
6.67
22
Peter Federico
Peter Federico Attacker
6.9
9
Juanmi Latasa
Juanmi Latasa Centre Forward
6.9
19
Lucas Sanseviero
Lucas Sanseviero Attacker
6.43
15
Pablo Tomeo
Pablo Tomeo Right Back
6.73
18
Carlos Clerc
Carlos Clerc Left Back
6.68
21
Julien Ponceau
Julien Ponceau Central Midfield
6.84
24
Stanko Juric
Stanko Juric Central Midfield
6.94
2
Clément Michelin
Clément Michelin Right Back
6.72
4
David Torres
David Torres Left Back
6.75
20
Chuki
Chuki Central Midfield
7.02

Starting XI ▼

13
Egoitz Arana
Egoitz Arana Goalkeeper
6.91
8
Mikel Rodriguez
Mikel Rodriguez Midfielder
7
Dani Díaz
Dani Díaz Midfielder
6.78
10
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena Attacker
6.6
18
Gorka Carrera
Gorka Carrera Attacker
6.92
14
Tomy Carbonell
Tomy Carbonell Central Midfield
6.68
21
Joni Eceiza
Joni Eceiza Central Midfield
6.53
3
Jon Balda
Jon Balda Left Back
6.79
22
Alberto Dadie
Alberto Dadie Right Back
6.56
37
Iker Calderon
Iker Calderon Left Back
6.79
39
Unax Larrañaga
Unax Larrañaga Right Back
6.63

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Real Valladolid holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Real Valladolid a 0.6-point edge. External projection is Real Valladolid 60.6%, draw 23.9%, and Real Sociedad II 15.5%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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