Olympique Lyonnais vs Auxerre Prediction, Preview and Stats

France flag 2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Groupama Stadium Sat, 25 Apr - 1:00 PM
Ligue 1
Olympique Lyonnais LYO
Versus
Auxerre AUX
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 1:00 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Olympique Lyonnais host Auxerre in Ligue 1 (Regular Season) at Groupama Stadium. Domestically, Olympique Lyonnais sit 4th in the table while Auxerre are 16th. Power ranking favours Olympique Lyonnais by 13.5 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Olympique Lyonnais enjoys a 13.5-point power advantage over Auxerre, with scores of 31.93 to 18.48.
  • Form: Lyon's form score of 26.39 outpaces Auxerre's 16.06.
  • Squad: Lyon, in 4th place, fields a stronger squad than 16th-placed Auxerre based on power metrics.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics are not provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable due to lack of xG and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable as add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Projection split: Olympique Lyonnais 55.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.8% (Δ+0%) | Auxerre 18.5% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Olympique Lyonnais P. Rodrigues Fonseca
P. Rodrigues Fonseca
VS
Auxerre C. Pélissier
C. Pélissier
1.77
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.82
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Paris Saint Germain Rank: W
Lorient Rank: W
Angers SCO Rank: D
Monaco Rank: L
Le Havre Rank: D
Paris Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Monaco Rank: D
Nantes Rank: D
Le Havre Rank: D
Brest Rank: W
Olympique Marseille Rank: L
Strasbourg Rank: D
10
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
10 - 6 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Olympique Lyonnais
55.73%
Draw
25.75%
Away Auxerre
18.51%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
31.93
18.48
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Olympique Lyonnais
Auxerre
Power Score
31.93
18.48
League Position
4
16
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Olympique Lyonnais — Opponent-weighted form score
Auxerre — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Olympique Lyonnais Auxerre

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 19 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Olympique Lyonnais LYO Home
19 matches
Auxerre AUX Away
Match Record
10
Wins
3
6
Draws
6
3
Losses
10
Goals
28
Goals Scored
17
17
Goals Conceded
28
+11
Goal Difference
-11
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:03:52+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
D. Greif
1 D. Greif
A. Maitland-Niles
98 A. Maitland-Niles
C. Mata Pedro Lourenço
22 C. Mata Pedro Lourenço
M. Niakhaté
19 M. Niakhaté
R. Kluivert
21 R. Kluivert
T. Morton
23 T. Morton
O. Mangala
5 O. Mangala
A. Da Silva Santos
16 A. Da Silva Santos
K. Merah
44 K. Merah
E. Moreira de Sousa
9 E. Moreira de Sousa
A. Bastardo Moreira
17 A. Bastardo Moreira
T. De Percin
40 T. De Percin
G. Mensah
14 G. Mensah
B. Okoh
24 B. Okoh
S. Diomande
20 S. Diomande
M. Senaya
29 M. Senaya
E. Owusu
42 E. Owusu
K. Danois
5 K. Danois
J. Casimir
7 J. Casimir
D. Loader
19 D. Loader
R. Faivre
28 R. Faivre
L. Sinayoko
10 L. Sinayoko

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Groupama Stadium
Capacity
59186
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Dominik Greif
Dominik Greif Goalkeeper
7.06
9
Endrick
Endrick Attacker
7.33
17
Afonso Moreira
Afonso Moreira Attacker
7
5
Orel Mangala
Orel Mangala Central Midfield
6.77
16
Abner
Abner Central Midfield
6.85
19
Moussa Niakhaté
Moussa Niakhaté Left Back
7.05
21
Ruben Kluivert
Ruben Kluivert Left Back
6.65
22
Clinton Mata
Clinton Mata Right Back
6.83
23
Tyler Morton
Tyler Morton Central Midfield
7.12
44
Khalis Merah
Khalis Merah Attacking Midfield
6.62
98
Ainsley Maitland-Niles
Ainsley Maitland-Niles Right Back
6.81

Starting XI ▼

40
Théo De Percin
Théo De Percin Goalkeeper
6.62
10
Lassine Sinayoko
Lassine Sinayoko Centre Forward
7.08
5
Kévin Danois
Kévin Danois Defensive Midfield
7.09
7
Josué Casimir
Josué Casimir Left Wing
6.66
14
Gideon Mensah
Gideon Mensah Left Back
6.72
19
Danny Namaso
Danny Namaso Attacking Midfield
6.8
20
Sinaly Diomandé
Sinaly Diomandé Right Back
6.82
24
Bryan Okoh
Bryan Okoh Left Back
7.12
28
Romain Faivre
Romain Faivre Right Wing
6.96
29
Marvin Senaya
Marvin Senaya Right Back
6.86
42
Elisha Owusu
Elisha Owusu Defensive Midfield
6.73

CONCLUSION

Lyon's pronounced power and form edges, coupled with a superior league position, make them poised to dominate Auxerre at Groupama Stadium. The 13.5-point structural advantage highlights their ability to control games against lower-table sides like 16th-placed Auxerre. While gaps in set piece and efficiency data limit granular insights, broader metrics paint a clear picture of home strength. Projections reinforce Lyon's control, likely leading to a measured victory through sustained pressure and midfield mastery. Auxerre's away struggles amplify the hosts' opportunities in transitions and open play.

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