OH Leuven vs Westerlo Prediction, Preview and Stats

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
King Power at Den Dreef Stadion Today - 6:30 PM
Pro League
OH Leuven OHL
Versus
Westerlo KVC
KICKOFF : Today - 6:30 PM
Round 4 Conference League Play-off Group

CONTEXT

OH Leuven host Westerlo in Pro League (Conference League Play-off Group) at King Power at Den Dreef Stadion. Domestically, OH Leuven sit 12th in the table while Westerlo are 9th. Power ranking favours Westerlo by 5.4 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Westerlo hold a 5.4-point power advantage over OH Leuven with scores of 24.79 to 19.43.
  • Form: Westerlo's form score of 22.39 outpaces OH Leuven's 15.39.
  • Squad: League standings place Westerlo 9th and OH Leuven 12th.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available.
  • Transition: Insufficient transition metrics provided.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece stats unavailable due to low-confidence proxies for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG data not available for analysis.
  • Market: OH Leuven 32% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.2% (Δ+0%) | Westerlo 41.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
OH Leuven F. Mazzù
F. Mazzù
VS
Westerlo I. Charai
I. Charai
1.23
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.41
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Antwerp Rank: L
Genk Rank: D
Standard Liège Rank: L
Antwerp Rank: W
Sporting Charleroi Rank: W
Westerlo Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Genk Rank: L
Standard Liège Rank: W
Sporting Charleroi Rank: W
Standard Liège Rank: D
Club Brugge Rank: L
OH Leuven Rank: W
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 5 - 6
6
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home OH Leuven
31.95%
Draw
26.15%
Away Westerlo
41.91%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
19.43
24.79
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
OH Leuven
Westerlo
Power Score
19.43
24.79
League Position
12
9
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
OH Leuven — Opponent-weighted form score
Westerlo — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) OH Leuven Westerlo

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 16 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

OH Leuven OHL Home
16 matches
Westerlo KVC Away
Match Record
5
Wins
6
5
Draws
5
6
Losses
5
Goals
23
Goals Scored
20
20
Goals Conceded
23
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T00:03:30+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
T. Leysen
1 T. Leysen
E. Pletinckx
28 E. Pletinckx
R. Nyakossi
34 R. Nyakossi
T. Ominami
5 T. Ominami
Ł. Łakomy
24 Ł. Łakomy
S. Schrijvers
8 S. Schrijvers
W. George
6 W. George
T. Verlinden
7 T. Verlinden
H. Teklab
14 H. Teklab
S. Kaba
39 S. Kaba
Y. Maziz
10 Y. Maziz
A. Jungdal
99 A. Jungdal
S. Kimura
5 S. Kimura
R. Neustädter
33 R. Neustädter
E. Bayram
40 E. Bayram
B. Reynolds
22 B. Reynolds
A. Piedfort
46 A. Piedfort
D. Haspolat
34 D. Haspolat
J. Alcócer
77 J. Alcócer
S. Saito
38 S. Saito
A. Sayyadmanesh
7 A. Sayyadmanesh
I. Ferri Julià
90 I. Ferri Julià

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 21, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 4 · Conference League Play-off Group
Stadium
King Power at Den Dreef Stadion
Capacity
10020
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Kevin Van Damme
Lennert Jans
Tom Vanpoucke
K. Clerkx

Expected Lineup

Referee : Kevin Van Damme

Starting XI ▼

1
Tobe Leysen
Tobe Leysen Goalkeeper
7.02
7
Thibaud Verlinden
Thibaud Verlinden Midfielder
6.75
24
Lukasz Lakomy
Lukasz Lakomy Midfielder
6.82
14
Henok Teklab
Henok Teklab Attacker
6.74
39
Sory Kaba
Sory Kaba Centre Forward
6.89
10
Youssef Maziz
Youssef Maziz Attacker
6.95
8
Siebe Schrijvers
Siebe Schrijvers Central Midfield
6.99
34
Roggerio Nyakossi
Roggerio Nyakossi Centre Back
6.82
6
Wouter George
Wouter George Central Midfield
6.63
5
Takuma Ominami
Takuma Ominami Left Back
6.67
28
Ewoud Pletinckx
Ewoud Pletinckx Right Back
6.84
Referee : Kevin Van Damme

Starting XI ▼

99
Andreas Jungdal
Andreas Jungdal Goalkeeper
6.85
90
Nacho Ferri
Nacho Ferri Centre Forward
7.05
22
Bryan Reynolds
Bryan Reynolds Right Back
6.74
34
Doğucan Haspolat
Doğucan Haspolat Defensive Midfield
7.27
38
Shunsuke Saito
Shunsuke Saito Attacking Midfield
6.73
46
Arthur Piedfort
Arthur Piedfort Defensive Midfield
7.05
77
Josimar Alcócer
Josimar Alcócer Left Wing
6.65
33
Roman Neustädter
Roman Neustädter Left Back
6.79
5
Seiji Kimura
Seiji Kimura Left Back
6.8
7
Allahyar Sayyadmanesh
Allahyar Sayyadmanesh Right Wing
6.99
40
Emin Bayram
Emin Bayram Right Back
7.14

CONCLUSION

Westerlo's superior power and form metrics position them as marginal favorites in this evenly poised encounter. OH Leuven will lean on home advantage at Den Dreef to counter the visitors' edge, but lack of detailed set-piece and efficiency insights adds unpredictability. With league positions close and projections balanced, expect a tactical battle where execution in open play could decide the outcome. Westerlo's higher ratings suggest they can edge it, yet Leuven's resilience might force a draw.

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