Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
The City Ground Sun, 12 Apr - 1:00 PM
Premier League
Nottingham Forest NFO
1 – 1
Aston Villa AVL
Full Time Sun, 12 Apr 1:00 PM
Round 32 Regular Season
Neco Williams - 38'
Goal
|
Goal
Murillo - 23' (Own Goal)

CONTEXT

The match between Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa is finished, ending in a 1-1 draw. Both sides scored in the first half and the score remained level at the break, with neither team able to find a decisive goal after the interval. Pre-match assessments listed Nottingham Forest as narrow favorites, yet the outcome represented a significant deviation, most notably for Aston Villa. The visitors claimed a greater share of possession (59 percent to 41 percent) but could not convert that control into a victory. No red cards were issued and no major disruptive events altered the flow of play. The efficiency shift remained in line with general expectations, though the final result did not align with the pre-match projection. Without reliable xG data available, the draw stands as a fair reflection of a tightly contested encounter that failed to follow the anticipated script.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Aston Villa showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Salisbury
M. Salisbury
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 15.64
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.91
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
L. Betts
L. Betts
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 15.64
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.91
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
N. Aspinall
N. Aspinall
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 15.64
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.91
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
D. England
D. England
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 15.64
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.91
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
Nottingham Forest V. de Oliveira Lopes Pereira
V. de Oliveira Lopes Pereira
VS
Aston Villa U. Emery Etxegoien
U. Emery Etxegoien
1.13
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.88
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Tottenham Hotspur Rank: W
Fulham Rank: D
Manchester City Rank: D
Brighton & Hove Albion Rank: L
Liverpool Rank: L
Wolverhampton Wanderers Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
West Ham United Rank: W
Manchester United Rank: L
Chelsea Rank: L
Wolverhampton Wanderers Rank: L
Leeds United Rank: D
Brighton & Hove Albion Rank: W
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 3 - 7
7

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Nottingham Forest
40.97%
Draw
28.01%
Away Aston Villa
31.02%

Movement

Changes since opening
Nottingham Forest
+35.47%
Draw
-61%
Aston Villa
+25.52%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
29.02
32.74
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Power Score
29.02
32.74
League Position
16
4
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Nottingham Forest — Opponent-weighted form score
Aston Villa — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Nottingham Forest Aston Villa

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Nottingham Forest

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Aston Villa

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Nottingham Forest ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Aston Villa
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
42.44
23.98
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
23.98
42.44
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Nottingham Forest +2.20 Efficiency Index
vs
Aston Villa -2.20 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Nottingham Forest ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Aston Villa
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Nottingham Forest Aston Villa
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Nottingham Forest Aston Villa
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Nottingham Forest
vs
Aston Villa
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Nottingham Forest Aston Villa
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Nottingham Forest 0.31
Aston Villa 0.28
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Nottingham Forest Aston Villa
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Nottingham Forest 0.02
Aston Villa 0.02
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • AVL had peak pressure around 89'.
  • NFO started the game with stronger pressure.
NFO Pressure AVL Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: AVL reached the top pressure at 89' (93.09).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Nottingham Forest NFO Home
13 matches
Aston Villa AVL Away
Match Record
3
Wins
7
3
Draws
3
7
Losses
3
Goals
20
Goals Scored
27
27
Goals Conceded
20
-7
Goal Difference
+7
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-13T00:04:32+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
M. Sels
Belgium
26 M. Sels
T. Olaoluwa Aina
Substitution
Nigeria
34 T. Olaoluwa Aina
N. Milenković
Serbia
31 N. Milenković
M. Santiago Costa dos Santos
Brazil
5 M. Santiago Costa dos Santos
N. Williams
Wales
3 N. Williams
I. Sangaré
Ivory Coast
6 I. Sangaré
E. Anderson
England
8 E. Anderson
O. Giraud-Hutchinson
Substitution
Jamaica
21 O. Giraud-Hutchinson
M. Gibbs-White
Substitution
England
10 M. Gibbs-White
C. Hudson-Odoi
England
7 C. Hudson-Odoi
I. da Cruz
Substitution
Brazil
19 I. da Cruz
M. Bizot
Netherlands
40 M. Bizot
L. Digne
Substitution
France
12 L. Digne
P. Francisco Torres
Spain
14 P. Francisco Torres
V. Nilsson Lindelöf
Sweden
3 V. Nilsson Lindelöf
M. Cash
Substitution
Poland
2 M. Cash
Y. Tielemans
Belgium
8 Y. Tielemans
A. Mvom Onana
Belgium
24 A. Mvom Onana
M. Rogers
Substitution
England
27 M. Rogers
R. Barkley
Substitution
England
6 R. Barkley
J. McGinn
Scotland
7 J. McGinn
O. Watkins
Substitution
England
11 O. Watkins

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 12, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
The City Ground
Capacity
30445
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Michael Salisbury
Lee Betts
Natalie Aspinall
Darren England

Statistics

Possession
NFO
44%
AVL
56%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
0 Big Chances Created 3
9 Shots 8
48 Dangerous attacks 43
41 Possession 59
7 Corners 3
12 Free kicks 16
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

14 Successful Headers 10
5 Throwins 15
11 Dribble Attempts 16
45 Successful Dribbles Percentage 63
5 Successful Dribbles 10
8 Goal Kicks 10
1 Assists 0
52 Ball Safe 66
11 Goal Attempts 12
2 Injuries 0
0 Hit Woodwork 1
4 Substitutions 5

Attacking

85 Attacks 81
0 Big Chances Missed 3

Possession

18 Successful Long Passes 21
82 Successful Passes Percentage 88
39 Long Passes 43
46 Successful Long Passes Percentage 49
12 Key Passes 10
276 Successful Passes 433
335 Passes 491

Defensive

8 Interceptions 8
15 Tackles 14
5 Saves 4

Build-up

21 Total Crosses 14
6 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

15 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Michael Salisbury

Starting XI ▼

26
Matz Sels
Matz Sels Goalkeeper
3
Neco Williams
Neco Williams Defender
5
Murillo
Murillo Defender
31
Nikola Milenković
Nikola Milenković Defender
34
Ola Aina
Ola Aina Defender
14
Dan Ndoye
Dan Ndoye
Attacker89'
6
Ibrahim Sangaré
Ibrahim Sangaré Midfielder
7
Callum Hudson-Odoi
Callum Hudson-Odoi Midfielder
8
Elliot Anderson
Elliot Anderson Midfielder
10
Morgan Gibbs-White
Morgan Gibbs-White Midfielder
16
Nicolás Domínguez
Nicolás Domínguez
Midfielder84'
21
Omari Hutchinson
Omari Hutchinson Midfielder
11
Chris Wood
Chris Wood
Attacker65'
19
Igor Jesus
Igor Jesus Attacker
22
Ryan Yates
Ryan Yates
Midfielder89'
Referee : Michael Salisbury

Starting XI ▼

40
Marco Bizot
Marco Bizot Goalkeeper
2
Matty Cash
Matty Cash Defender
16
Andrés García
Andrés García
Defender90+1'
3
Victor Lindelöf
Victor Lindelöf Defender
12
Lucas Digne
Lucas Digne Defender
22
Ian Maatsen
Ian Maatsen
Defender78'
14
Pau Torres
Pau Torres Defender
6
Ross Barkley
Ross Barkley Midfielder
21
Douglas Luiz
Douglas Luiz
Midfielder77'
7
John McGinn
John McGinn Midfielder
8
Youri Tielemans
Youri Tielemans Midfielder
24
Amadou Onana
Amadou Onana Midfielder
27
Morgan Rogers
Morgan Rogers Midfielder
10
Emiliano Buendía
Emiliano Buendía
Midfielder78'
11
Ollie Watkins
Ollie Watkins Attacker
18
Tammy Abraham
Tammy Abraham
Attacker87'

Events

2ND-HALF
90+1'
Event
Andrés García → Matty Cash
9th Substitution
Event
Dan Ndoye → Ola Aina 
7th Substitution
89'
Event
Ryan Yates  → Igor Jesus
8th Substitution
89'
87'
Event
Tammy Abraham → Ollie Watkins
6th Substitution
Event
Nicolás Domínguez → Morgan Gibbs-White
5th Substitution
84'
78'
Event
Emiliano Buendía → Morgan Rogers
3rd Substitution
78'
Event
Ian Maatsen → Lucas Digne
4th Substitution
77'
Event
Douglas Luiz → Ross Barkley
2nd Substitution
67'
Event
John McGinn
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Chris Wood  → Omari Hutchinson 
1st Substitution
65'
Event
Murillo
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
63'
1ST-HALF
Event
Omari Hutchinson 
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
45'
Event
Neco Williams
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
38'
23'
Event
Murillo
Left foot shot / 1st Own Goal
11'
Event
Matty Cash
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Aston Villa wins a corner after Murillo concedes.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 4 minutes of added time.
90
Update Update
Ian Maatsen of Aston Villa won a free kick in defense.
90
Update Update
Ibrahim Sangaré from Nottingham Forest won a free kick in an attacking position.
90
Update Update
Emiliano Buendía from Aston Villa committed a foul.
90
Update Update
Nicolás Domínguez fouled a player from Nottingham Forest.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with the match finishing 1-1 between Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa.
89
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Nottingham Forest: Ryan Yates replaces Igor Jesus.
89
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Nottingham Forest: Dan Ndoye replaces Ola Aina.
88
Update Update
Ola Aina from Nottingham Forest won a free kick in defense.
88
Update Update
Foul committed by Ian Maatsen of Aston Villa.
87
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: Tammy Abraham replaces Ollie Watkins.
86
Corner Corner
Aston Villa wins a corner, conceded by Matz Sels.
86
Update Update
Neco Williams of Nottingham Forest is flagged for offside.
86
Corner Corner
Victor Lindelöf of Aston Villa misses a header from inside the six-yard box on the left side. The assist came from Youri Tielemans, who delivered a cross after a corner.
86
Attempt Attempt
Matty Cash of Aston Villa attempts an attack with a right-footed shot from outside the box, but Matz Sels of Nottingham Forest saves it in the center of the goal. The assist comes from Emiliano Buendía.
85
Attempt Attempt
Ian Maatsen's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked.
84
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Nottingham Forest: Nicolás Domínguez replaces Morgan Gibbs-White.
82
Update Update
John McGinn of Aston Villa won a free kick on the right wing.
82
Update Update
Elliot Anderson fouled a Nottingham Forest player.
81
Update Update
Amadou Onana from Aston Villa committed a handball.
80
Update Update
Igor Jesus fouled a player from Nottingham Forest.
80
Update Update
Douglas Luiz of Aston Villa won a free kick in the attacking area.
79
Attempt Attempt
Ollie Watkins' shot for Aston Villa from the center of the box is blocked.
78
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: Emiliano Buendía replaces Morgan Rogers.
78
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: Ian Maatsen replaces Lucas Digne.
77
Attempt Attempt
Callum Hudson-Odoi's left-footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: Douglas Luiz replaces Ross Barkley.
74
Update Update
Ross Barkley of Aston Villa won a free kick in defense.
74
Attempt Attempt
Neco Williams of Nottingham Forest has his right-footed shot from the left side of the box blocked.
74
Update Update
Murillo fouls a Nottingham Forest player.
74
Update Update
Nikola Milenkovic's header from the center of the box is blocked. The assist came from Neco Williams, who provided the cross.
73
Corner Corner
Nottingham Forest is awarded a corner after Matty Cash concedes.
71
Update Update
Matty Cash from Aston Villa won a free kick in defense.
71
Update Update
Foul committed by Callum Hudson-Odoi - Nottingham Forest.
70
Attempt Attempt
Callum Hudson-Odoi of Nottingham Forest has his right-footed shot from the left side of the box blocked.
70
Corner Corner
Nottingham Forest is awarded a corner after Amadou Onana concedes.
69
Corner Corner
Nottingham Forest wins a corner after Amadou Onana concedes.
68
Update Update
Ollie Watkins from Aston Villa won a free kick in defense.
68
Update Update
Nikola Milenkovic fouled a player from Nottingham Forest.
67
Update Update
Elliot Anderson from Nottingham Forest misses a chance, shooting with his right foot from outside the box, but it's high and wide to the right. Callum Hudson-Odoi provided the assist.
67
Update Update
Foul committed by John McGinn of Aston Villa.
67
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
John McGinn from Aston Villa receives a yellow card for a foul.
67
Update Update
Neco Williams of Nottingham Forest won a free kick on the left wing.
66
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Ross Barkley of Aston Villa takes a left-footed shot from the left side of the box, but it's saved by Nottingham Forest's goalkeeper Matz Sels, who is positioned in the center of the goal. The assist comes from Lucas Digne with a header.
66
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Morgan Rogers from Aston Villa shoots with his right foot from the center of the box but it goes high. Ollie Watkins provided the assist.
65
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Nottingham Forest: Chris Wood replaces Omari Hutchinson.
65
Update Update
Offside called against Aston Villa. Matty Cash is offside.
64
Corner Corner
Aston Villa wins a corner, conceded by Matz Sels.
64
Attempt Attempt
John McGinn's shot for Aston Villa from the right side of the box is blocked.
63
Update Update
Ross Barkley of Aston Villa won a free kick in an attacking position.
63
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Murillo from Nottingham Forest receives a yellow card for a foul.
63
Update Update
Murillo fouls a Nottingham Forest player.
62
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Morgan Gibbs-White of Nottingham Forest has a right-footed shot from the center of the box, but it's saved.
61
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Elliot Anderson of Nottingham Forest.
61
Attempt Attempt
Amadou Onana's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
59
Update Update
Ross Barkley from Aston Villa won a free kick in an attacking position.
56
Update Update
Ola Aina of Nottingham Forest won a free kick in defense.
56
Update Update
Foul committed by Morgan Rogers of Aston Villa.
53
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Igor Jesus from Nottingham Forest took a shot with his right foot from outside the box.
51
Update Update
Foul committed by Lucas Digne of Aston Villa.
51
Update Update
Ola Aina from Nottingham Forest won a free kick in defense.
50
Attempt Attempt
Youri Tielemans' left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
50
Update Update
Foul committed by Morgan Gibbs-White of Nottingham Forest.
50
Update Update
Amadou Onana from Aston Villa won a free kick in defense.
49
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Igor Jesus from Nottingham Forest headed the ball from the right side of the six-yard box.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa tied at 1-1.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Omari Hutchinson from Nottingham Forest receives a yellow card for a foul.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Omari Hutchinson of Nottingham Forest.
45
Update Update
Youri Tielemans of Aston Villa won a free kick in defense.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 3 minutes of added time.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Amadou Onana of Aston Villa.
45
Update Update
Elliot Anderson from Nottingham Forest won a free kick in defense.
45
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Omari Hutchinson from Nottingham Forest shot with his right foot from the center of the box.
45
Update Update
John McGinn of Aston Villa won a free kick in defense.
45
Update Update
Neco Williams of Nottingham Forest commits a foul.
44
Corner Corner
Morgan Gibbs-White of Nottingham Forest attempts a header from the center of the box, but Marco Bizot of Aston Villa makes a save in the left corner. The assist comes from Ola Aina.
43
Corner Corner
Missed chance for Nottingham Forest. Murillo headed the ball from close range but it went to the left. The assist came from Neco Williams, who provided a cross following a corner.
42
Attempt Attempt
Neco Williams from Nottingham Forest attempts an attack with a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it is saved.
42
Corner Corner
Nottingham Forest wins a corner after Marco Bizot concedes.
40
Attempt Attempt
Elliot Anderson's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. Ola Aina provided the assist.
38
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Neco Williams scores for Nottingham Forest with a right-footed shot from outside the box into the left corner, assisted by Callum Hudson-Odoi. The match is now 1-1.
36
Attempt Attempt
Morgan Rogers from Aston Villa hits the bar with a right-footed shot from the right side of the box, assisted by John McGinn.
33
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Matz Sels of Nottingham Forest.
27
Update Update
Ollie Watkins commits a handball for Aston Villa.
24
Update Update
Ollie Watkins is flagged for offside for Aston Villa.
23
GOAL! GOAL! Important
An own goal by Murillo gives Aston Villa a 1-0 lead over Nottingham Forest.
20
Corner Corner
Missed chance for Aston Villa. Victor Lindelöf heads the ball from the right side of the six-yard box, but it goes high and wide to the right. The assist came from Lucas Digne, who delivered a cross after a corner.
20
Corner Corner
Aston Villa is awarded a corner after Neco Williams concedes.
15
Update Update
Pau Torres of Aston Villa won a free kick in defense.
15
Update Update
Murillo fouls a Nottingham Forest player.
14
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Nottingham Forest after a concession by Marco Bizot.
13
Update Update
Elliot Anderson commits a foul for Nottingham Forest.
13
Update Update
Amadou Onana from Aston Villa won a free kick in defense.
11
Update Update
Morgan Gibbs-White from Nottingham Forest won a free kick in an attacking position.
11
Update Update
Foul committed by Matty Cash of Aston Villa.
11
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Matty Cash of Aston Villa receives a yellow card for a foul.
10
Update Update
Morgan Rogers of Aston Villa won a free kick in defense.
10
Update Update
Murillo fouls a Nottingham Forest player.
9
Corner Corner
Nottingham Forest wins a corner after Ollie Watkins concedes.
8
Corner Corner
Nottingham Forest win a corner, conceded by Marco Bizot.
8
Corner Corner
Neco Williams of Nottingham Forest attempts an attack with a right-footed shot from outside the box, but Marco Bizot of Aston Villa saves it in the left corner. The assist came from Callum Hudson-Odoi.
7
Attempt Attempt
Morgan Gibbs-White's left-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked.
5
Attempt Attempt
John McGinn's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
3
Update Update
Omari Hutchinson fouled a player from Nottingham Forest.
3
Update Update
Youri Tielemans of Aston Villa won a free kick in defense.
1
Update Update
Foul committed by Pau Torres of Aston Villa.
1
Update Update
Igor Jesus from Nottingham Forest won a free kick on the right wing.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Aston Villa exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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