Norwich City vs Swansea City Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Championship, England
Carrow Road Sat, 25 Apr - 2:00 PM
Championship
Norwich City NOR
Versus
Swansea City SWA
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 2:00 PM
Round 45 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Norwich City welcome Swansea City to Carrow Road for a Championship regular season clash in the 2025/2026 campaign. The Canaries sit comfortably in 9th place, boasting a power score of 32.33 that dwarfs Swansea's 20.66, translating to an 11.7-point advantage and marking Norwich as the stronger side overall. Form metrics further tilt the scales, with Norwich's 28.83 rating outpacing Swansea's modest 13.39, suggesting momentum in the hosts' camp despite limited recent outing details. Swansea languish in 15th, facing an uphill battle away from home. Set-piece data remains sparse with low confidence proxies, offering no clear edge in dead-ball situations. This matchup pits a structurally superior Norwich against a Swans team needing to defy the numbers.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Norwich City possess a 11.7-point power advantage over Swansea City, reinforced by 9th versus 15th in the league table.
  • Form: Norwich City's form score of 28.83 significantly outstrips Swansea City's 13.39.
  • Squad: Norwich City's higher power score of 32.33 indicates superior squad quality compared to Swansea's 20.66.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition play data is not available for this fixture.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece performance data shows low confidence with proxies used for both Norwich City and Swansea City.
  • xVariable: Projection split: Norwich City 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Swansea City 0% (Δ+0%).
  • Market: Projection split: Norwich City 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Swansea City 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Norwich City P. Clement
P. Clement
VS
Swansea City Vitor Matos
Vitor Matos
1.64
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.36
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Derby County Rank: D
Bristol City Rank: W
Ipswich Town Rank: L
Millwall Rank: W
Portsmouth Rank: D
Charlton Athletic Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Queens Park Rangers Rank: D
Southampton Rank: L
Leicester City Rank: W
Middlesbrough Rank: D
Sheffield United Rank: D
Coventry City Rank: L
10
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
10 - 3 - 10
10
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Norwich City
0%
Draw
0%
Away Swansea City
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
32.33
20.66
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Norwich City
Swansea City
Power Score
32.33
20.66
League Position
9
15
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Norwich City — Opponent-weighted form score
Swansea City — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Norwich City Swansea City

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 23 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Norwich City NOR Home
23 matches
Swansea City SWA Away
Match Record
10
Wins
10
3
Draws
3
10
Losses
10
Goals
35
Goals Scored
35
35
Goals Conceded
35
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:05:50+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Championship, England · Round 45 · Regular Season
Stadium
Carrow Road
Capacity
27244
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

32
Daniel Grimshaw
Daniel Grimshaw Goalkeeper
1
Vladan Kovačević
Vladan Kovačević Goalkeeper
39
Daniel Barden
Daniel Barden Goalkeeper
31
Louie Moulden
Louie Moulden Goalkeeper
34
Vicente Philippe Reyes Nuñez
Vicente Philippe Reyes Nuñez Goalkeeper
4
Shane Duffy
Shane Duffy Defender
3
Jack Stacey
Jack Stacey Defender
6
Harry Darling
Harry Darling Defender
5
Jakov Medić
Jakov Medić Defender
33
José Angel Cordoba Chambers
José Angel Cordoba Chambers Defender
14
Benjamin Joshua Chrisene
Benjamin Joshua Chrisene Defender
35
Kellen Fisher
Kellen Fisher Defender
15
Ruairi McConville
Ruairi McConville Defender
47
Lucien Mahovo
Lucien Mahovo Defender
2
Harry Amass
Harry Amass Defender
27
Jeffrey Schlupp
Jeffrey Schlupp Midfielder
26
Sam Field
Sam Field Midfielder
11
Emiliano Marcondes Camargo Hansen
Emiliano Marcondes Camargo Hansen Midfielder
23
Kenny McLean
Kenny McLean Midfielder
25
Edmond-Paris Maghoma
Edmond-Paris Maghoma Midfielder
7
Pelle Elkjær Mattsson
Pelle Elkjær Mattsson Midfielder
22
Mirko Topić
Mirko Topić Midfielder
20
Anis Ben Slimane
Anis Ben Slimane Midfielder
8
Liam Gibbs
Liam Gibbs Midfielder
18
Forson Amankwah
Forson Amankwah Midfielder
16
Jacob Wright
Jacob Wright Midfielder
21
Ali Ahmed
Ali Ahmed Midfielder
29
Oscar Schwartau
Oscar Schwartau Midfielder
41
Gabriel Forsyth
Gabriel Forsyth Midfielder
42
Tony Springett
Tony Springett Attacker
10
Matěj Jurásek
Matěj Jurásek Attacker
17
Ante Crnac
Ante Crnac Attacker
37
Mohamed Toure
Mohamed Toure Attacker
30
Mathias Kvistgaarden
Mathias Kvistgaarden Attacker
24
Jovon Makama
Jovon Makama Attacker
19
Pape Amadou Diallo
Pape Amadou Diallo Attacker

Squad ▼

1
Andrew Lee Fisher
Andrew Lee Fisher Goalkeeper
22
Lawrence Vigouroux
Lawrence Vigouroux Goalkeeper
29
Paul Farman
Paul Farman Goalkeeper
25
Joel Ward
Joel Ward Defender
14
Josh Tymon
Josh Tymon Defender
15
Cameron Burgess
Cameron Burgess Defender
23
Ricardo Alexandre Almeida Santos
Ricardo Alexandre Almeida Santos Defender
2
Josh Key
Josh Key Defender
5
Benjamin Cabango
Benjamin Cabango Defender
16
Ishé Samuels-Smith
Ishé Samuels-Smith Defender
41
Sam Parker
Sam Parker Defender
4
Jay Fulton
Jay Fulton Midfielder
20
Liam Cullen
Liam Cullen Midfielder
30
Ethan Stuart William Galbraith
Ethan Stuart William Galbraith Midfielder
31
Oliver Cooper
Oliver Cooper Midfielder
17
Gonçalo Baptista Franco
Gonçalo Baptista Franco Midfielder
21
Leo Walta
Leo Walta Midfielder
6
Marko Stamenic
Marko Stamenic Midfielder
7
Melker Widell
Melker Widell Midfielder
8
Malick Junior Yalcouyé
Malick Junior Yalcouyé Midfielder
33
Adam Uche Idah
Adam Uche Idah Attacker
9
Žan Vipotnik
Žan Vipotnik Attacker
35
Ronald Pereira Martins
Ronald Pereira Martins Attacker
10
Ji-Sung Eom
Ji-Sung Eom Attacker
27
Zeidane Inoussa
Zeidane Inoussa Attacker
18
Gustavo Nunes Fernandes Gomes
Gustavo Nunes Fernandes Gomes Attacker

CONCLUSION

Norwich City enter this home fixture with every statistical indicator in their favor, from power and form supremacy to a healthier league standing. Swansea City face a daunting task to bridge the 11.7-point gulf, especially without standout set-piece threats or efficiency edges to lean on. Expect the Canaries to control proceedings at Carrow Road, leveraging their structural depth for a likely victory that could solidify mid-table comfort while pressuring the Swans' survival push.

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