Nordsjælland vs Viborg FF Prediction, Preview and Stats

Denmark flag 2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark
Right to Dream Park Sun, 19 Apr - 2:00 PM
Superliga
Nordsjælland FCN
2 Winner 1
Viborg FF Viborg FF
Full Time Sun, 19 Apr 2:00 PM
Round 5 Championship Round
Prince Amoako Junior - 32'
Justin Janssen - 90'
Goal
|
Goal
Charly Nouck - 19'

CONTEXT

FC Nordsjælland claimed a hard-fought 2-1 home win against Viborg FF in the Danish Superliga, overcoming a 1-1 halftime deadlock to secure victory. Dominating possession with 67% to Viborg's 33%, Nordsjælland asserted control, especially after the break, converting opportunities while Viborg struggled to respond. Identified pre-match as the stronger side, Nordsjælland delivered a significant structural deviation of 57.9%, reflecting their outperformance. The result aligned with pre-match expectations, with efficiency holding steady in line throughout. No red cards marred the contest, ensuring uninterrupted flow, and absent xG data leaves performance metrics reliant on observable dominance. This outcome reinforces Nordsjælland's form, extending their edge in the standings, while Viborg's resilience falls short against superior control.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Nordsjælland recorded significant structural deviation of 57.9%.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
  • Market alignment: Outcome aligned with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unavailable due to missing data.
  • Event impact: No notable event impacts from adjustments or ties.
  • Red card distortion: No red card distortion occurred.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
F. Svendsen
F. Svendsen
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.66
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.61
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.07
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
J. Dahl
J. Dahl
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.66
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.61
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.07
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
L. Hummelgaard
L. Hummelgaard
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.66
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.61
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.07
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
S. Funder
S. Funder
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.66
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.61
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.07
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.2
Nordsjælland J. Olsen
J. Olsen
VS
Viborg FF Nickolai Lund
Nickolai Lund
1.73
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.87
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
AGF Rank: D
Brøndby IF Rank: W
Sønderjyske Fodbold Rank: W
FC Midtjylland Rank: W
Viborg FF Rank: L
Vejle Boldklub Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sønderjyske Fodbold Rank: W
AGF Rank: L
FC Midtjylland Rank: D
Brøndby IF Rank: W
Nordsjælland Rank: W
AGF Rank: L
18
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
18 - 6 - 7
7

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Nordsjælland
42.12%
Draw
25.68%
Away Viborg FF
32.21%

Movement

Changes since opening
Nordsjælland
-53.11%
Draw
+21.1%
Viborg FF
+32.02%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
36.42
29.65
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Nordsjælland
Viborg FF
Power Score
36.42
29.65
League Position
6
5
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Nordsjælland — Opponent-weighted form score
Viborg FF — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Nordsjælland Viborg FF

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Nordsjælland

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Viborg FF

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Nordsjælland ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Viborg FF
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
32.46
40.00
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
40.00
32.46
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Nordsjælland -0.75 Efficiency Index
vs
Viborg FF +0.75 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Nordsjælland
Viborg FF
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Nordsjælland ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Viborg FF
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Nordsjælland Viborg FF
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Nordsjælland Viborg FF
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Nordsjælland
Viborg FF
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Nordsjælland
vs
Viborg FF
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Nordsjælland Viborg FF
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Nordsjælland 0.24
Viborg FF 0.50
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Nordsjælland Viborg FF
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Nordsjælland 0.04
Viborg FF 0.03
Nordsjælland
Viborg FF
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • FCN had peak pressure around 97'.
  • FCN started the game with stronger pressure.
FCN Pressure Viborg FF Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: FCN reached the top pressure at 97' (81.62).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 31 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Nordsjælland FCN Home
31 matches
Viborg FF Viborg FF Away
Match Record
18
Wins
7
6
Draws
6
7
Losses
18
Goals
60
Goals Scored
37
37
Goals Conceded
60
+23
Goal Difference
-23
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-20T00:03:53+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
A. Hansen
Denmark
13 A. Hansen
P. Ankersen
Denmark
2 P. Ankersen
T. Salquist
Denmark
3 T. Salquist
C. Yirenkyi
36 C. Yirenkyi
J. Lähteenmäki
Substitution
Finland
25 J. Lähteenmäki
M. Brink Christensen
Substitution
Denmark
6 M. Brink Christensen
J. Meltofte Janssen
18 J. Meltofte Janssen
R. Norheim
Substitution
Norway
23 R. Norheim
P. Amoako Junior
10 P. Amoako Junior
I. Adel
Substitution
Egypt
14 I. Adel
A. Rasmussen
Substitution
Denmark
11 A. Rasmussen
L. Pedersen
Denmark
1 L. Pedersen
S. Kuzmic
Substitution
Slovenia
30 S. Kuzmic
D. Anyembe
Kenya
24 D. Anyembe
L. Kirkegaard
Denmark
32 L. Kirkegaard
H. Bidstrup
Substitution
Denmark
26 H. Bidstrup
M. Clausen
Substitution
Denmark
6 M. Clausen
J. Grønning
Substitution
Denmark
13 J. Grønning
T. Jørgensen
Denmark
10 T. Jørgensen
C. Ngos Nouck Horneman
Denmark
11 C. Ngos Nouck Horneman
D. Hanza Meha
Substitution
Equatorial Guinea
19 D. Hanza Meha
S. Jalal Karchoud
Denmark
29 S. Jalal Karchoud

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 19, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark · Round 5 · Championship Round
Stadium
Right to Dream Park
Capacity
9200
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Frederik Svendsen
Jesper Dahl
Lars Hummelgaard
Svend Funder

Statistics

Possession
FCN
63%
Viborg FF
37%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
4 Big Chances Created 4
5 Shots 1
75 Dangerous attacks 24
67 Possession 33
6 Corners 4
10 Free kicks 9
2 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

12 Goal Attempts 12
11 Throwins 8
5 Substitutions 5
0 Hit Woodwork 1
85 Ball Safe 76
20 Dribble Attempts 19
8 Successful Dribbles 11
40 Successful Dribbles Percentage 58
8 Goal Kicks 12
2 Assists 1

Attacking

3 Counter Attacks 4
3 Big Chances Missed 3
140 Attacks 78

Possession

15 Key Passes 10
626 Successful Passes 260
90 Successful Passes Percentage 79
695 Passes 331
43 Long Passes 40
63 Successful Long Passes Percentage 43
27 Successful Long Passes 17

Defensive

12 Tackles 21
5 Saves 3
12 Interceptions 15
32 Duels Won 48

Build-up

8 Accurate Crosses 1
18 Total Crosses 14

Discipline

9 Fouls 10
3 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Frederik Svendsen

Starting XI ▼

13
Andreas Hansen
Andreas Hansen Goalkeeper
7.03
2
Peter Ankersen
Peter Ankersen Defender
7.02
3
Tobias Salquist
Tobias Salquist Defender
6.76
36
Caleb Yirenkyi
Caleb Yirenkyi Defender
7.08
6
Mark Brink
Mark Brink Midfielder
6.7
47
Malte Heyde
Malte Heyde
Midfielder82'
6.56
18
Justin Janssen
Justin Janssen Midfielder
6.9
23
Runar Norheim
Runar Norheim Midfielder
6.7
45
Noah Markmann
Noah Markmann
Defender62'
6.74
25
Juho Lähteenmäki
Juho Lähteenmäki Midfielder
6.77
32
Victor Gustafsen
Victor Gustafsen
Defender82'
6.34
10
Prince Amoako Junior
Prince Amoako Junior Attacker
6.87
11
Alexander Lind
Alexander Lind Attacker
7.01
17
Levy Nene
Levy Nene
Attacker82'
6.82
14
Ibrahim Adel
Ibrahim Adel Attacker
6.62
37
Mamadou Sadio
Mamadou Sadio
Attacker62'
7.16
Referee : Frederik Svendsen

Starting XI ▼

1
Lucas Lund
Lucas Lund Goalkeeper
6.81
24
Daniel Anyembe
Daniel Anyembe Defender
6.76
26
Hjalte Bidstrup
Hjalte Bidstrup Defender
6.8
18
Jean Manuel Mbom
Jean Manuel Mbom
Defender73'
6.85
30
Srdjan Kuzmic
Srdjan Kuzmic Defender
6.96
23
Oliver Bundgaard
Oliver Bundgaard
Defender87'
6.58
32
Lukas Kirkegaard
Lukas Kirkegaard Defender
7.02
6
Mads Søndergaard
Mads Søndergaard Midfielder
6.87
8
Asker Beck
Asker Beck
Midfielder73'
6.61
10
Thomas Jørgensen
Thomas Jørgensen Midfielder
7.32
13
Jeppe Grønning
Jeppe Grønning Midfielder
6.88
4
Mees Hoedemakers
Mees Hoedemakers
Midfielder81'
6.71
11
Charly Nouck
Charly Nouck Attacker
6.88
19
Dorian Hanza
Dorian Hanza Attacker
6.65
9
Tim Freriks
Tim Freriks
Attacker81'
6.67
29
Sami Jalal
Sami Jalal Attacker
6.99

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Justin Janssen
Header / 3rd Goal
90'
87'
Event
Oliver Bundgaard → Srdjan Kuzmic
10th Substitution
Event
Levy Nene → Alexander Lind
9th Substitution
82'
Event
Malte Heyde → Mark Brink
8th Substitution
82'
Event
Victor Gustafsen → Juho Lähteenmäki
7th Substitution
82'
81'
Event
Tim Freriks → Dorian Hanza
5th Substitution
81'
Event
Mees Hoedemakers → Jeppe Grønning
6th Substitution
73'
Event
Jean Manuel Mbom → Hjalte Bidstrup
4th Substitution
73'
Event
Asker Beck → Mads Søndergaard
3rd Substitution
68'
Event
Charly Nouck
Penalty cancelled
Event
Alexander Lind
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
64'
Event
Mamadou Sadio → Ibrahim Adel
2nd Substitution
62'
Event
Noah Markmann → Runar Norheim
1st Substitution
62'
Event
Peter Ankersen
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
50'
1ST-HALF
45+1'
Event
Hjalte Bidstrup
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
44'
Event
Srdjan Kuzmic
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Prince Amoako Junior
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
32'
21'
Event
Jeppe Grønning
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
19'
Event
Charly Nouck
Left foot shot / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Nordsjælland's 2-1 triumph over Viborg FF underscores their home strength and possession mastery, turning halftime parity into a deserved win without disciplinary interruptions. The significant 57.9% structural deviation highlights their edge as the stronger team, with market alignment affirming pre-match views. Efficiency consistency bolstered the result, absent xG specifics notwithstanding. Viborg's lower possession limited threats, pointing to areas for improvement. This victory propels Nordsjælland forward in the league, potentially widening gaps, while Viborg must regroup to challenge top sides effectively.

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