Nice vs Le Havre Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Ligue 1
Le Havre
LEH
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
The match between Nice and Le Havre is finished with a full-time score of 1-1. Le Havre led 1-0 at half-time, but Nice responded after the break to claim a point from a game that ultimately saw the sides share the spoils. Pre-match assessments identified Nice as the stronger team and gave them a 49.6 percent likelihood of victory, with 28.6 percent placed on a draw and 21.8 percent on an away win. The actual result marked a significant deviation, centered on Nice, who were unable to meet those expectations. The outcome did not align with the pre-match projection, while the efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations. Possession was split 46 percent to 54 percent in favor of Le Havre. No red cards were issued and no other major events altered the balance of the contest.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Nice showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
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Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
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xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
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Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
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xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
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Event impact: No major event distortion.
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Red card distortion: None.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Nice
Le Havre
Movement
Changes since opening
Nice
Le Havre
Team Power Ranking
i
16.25
14.53
Nice
Le Havre
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Nice
Le Havre
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Nice
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Nice
⚠ Proxy
Nice
Le Havre
Nice
Le Havre
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Nice
Nice
Le Havre
Nice
Le Havre
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- LEH had peak pressure around 14'.
- LEH started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-04-13T00:07:53+00:00
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General Information
Next Match
Nice
vs
LOSC Lille
League: Ligue 1
Kickoff: Sat, 18 Apr - 7:05 PM
Venue: Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Le Havre
vs
Angers SCO
League: Ligue 1
Kickoff: Sat, 18 Apr - 5:00 PM
Venue: Stade Raymond Kopa
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Manager ▼
Starting XI ▼















Substitutes ▼





Manager ▼
Starting XI ▼















Substitutes ▼






Match Commentary